Football · Türkiye Super Lig · 15/08, 20:30

Prediction: Gazisehir Gaziantep FK vs Alanyaspor

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.62Total

Gazisehir Gaziantep FK1.34

Alanyaspor1.29

1X2

37% 28% 35%

Gazisehir Gaziantep FK Draw Alanyaspor

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Gazisehir Gaziantep FK 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

DWLDLWLLLL

Alanyaspor 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

WDDLLLDWLL

Head-to-head

Gazisehir Gaziantep FK 1–2–3 Alanyaspor (6 last)

Gazisehir Gaziantep FK1-1Alanyaspor
Alanyaspor0-0Gazisehir Gaziantep FK
Gazisehir Gaziantep FK0-1Alanyaspor
Alanyaspor3-0Gazisehir Gaziantep FK
Gazisehir Gaziantep FK0-3Alanyaspor
Alanyaspor0-3Gazisehir Gaziantep FK

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Gazisehir Gaziantep FK 1452 · Alanyaspor 1460

	Gazisehir Gaziantep FK	Draw	Alanyaspor
Our model	37%	29%	34%
Market	37%	28%	35%

Estimated total (ours) 2.62 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Alanyaspor: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Gazisehir Gaziantep FK	Alanyaspor
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.8	1.3 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.7	0.6 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 5.3	2.2 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.2 / 0	3.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.45

X3.30

22.63

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.85

2 (0)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.85

Under 2.51.95

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 2.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:33

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.45 → 2.45	Pinn 2.56
X	3.30 → 3.30	Pinn 3.34
2	2.63 → 2.63	Pinn 2.79 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.2% Pinnacle margin 4.8%

Time*	1	X	2
01:26 +6’	2.45	3.30	2.63

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
01:33	2.56	3.34	2.79

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Gazisehir Gaziantep FK 1–2–3 Alanyaspor

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/04/26 Türkiye Super Lig	Gazisehir Gaziantep FK	1-1 HT 0-1	Alanyaspor
03/11/25 Türkiye Super Lig	Alanyaspor	0-0 HT 0-0	Gazisehir Gaziantep FK
09/05/25 Türkiye Super Lig	Gazisehir Gaziantep FK	0-1 HT 0-0	Alanyaspor
14/12/24 Türkiye Super Lig	Alanyaspor	3-0 HT 0-0	Gazisehir Gaziantep FK
02/04/24 Türkiye Super Lig	Gazisehir Gaziantep FK	0-3 HT 0-2	Alanyaspor
11/11/23 Türkiye Super Lig	Alanyaspor	0-3 HT 0-2	Gazisehir Gaziantep FK

Standings · Türkiye Super Lig

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Alanyaspor	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Amedspor	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Besiktas	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Caykur Rizespor	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Corum Belediyespor	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Erzurumspor FK	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Eyupspor	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Fenerbahce	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Galatasaray	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Gazisehir Gaziantep FK	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Genclerbirligi	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Goztepe	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Istanbul Basaksehir	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Kasimpasa	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Kocaelispor	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Konyaspor	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Samsunspor	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Trabzonspor	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Gazisehir Gaziantep FK	Alanyaspor
Besiktas	0-2 L	0-3 L
Kayserispor	3-0 W	3-1 W
Antalyaspor	4-1 W	0-0 D
Fatih Karagumruk	1-1 D	1-2 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 1 L	1 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Gazisehir Gaziantep FK (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Gazisehir Gaziantep FK

DWLDLWLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/05	Istanbul Basaksehir Türkiye Super Lig	0-2	1-2	6	5	L
09/05	Goztepe Türkiye Super Lig	0-1	1-2	7	4	L
01/05	Besiktas Türkiye Super Lig	0-2	0-2	8	1	L
25/04	Eyupspor Türkiye Super Lig	0-0	0-3	5	4	L
20/04	Kayserispor Türkiye Super Lig	2-0	3-0	5	5	W
13/04	Caykur Rizespor Türkiye Super Lig	1-0	1-2	1	6	L
04/04	Alanyaspor Türkiye Super Lig	0-1	1-1	2	5	D
17/03	Fenerbahce Türkiye Super Lig	0-1	1-4	7	1	L
13/03	Antalyaspor Türkiye Super Lig	0-0	4-1	6	7	W
08/03	Fatih Karagumruk Türkiye Super Lig	0-0	1-1	6	4	D

Alanyaspor

WDDLLLDWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/07	Pyramids FC Club Friendly List	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
16/05	Fatih Karagumruk Türkiye Super Lig	1-0	1-2	4	1	L
09/05	Kayserispor Türkiye Super Lig	2-1	3-1	1	4	W
03/05	Antalyaspor Türkiye Super Lig	0-0	0-0	8	5	D
27/04	Samsunspor Türkiye Super Lig	0-2	2-3	12	5	L
23/04	Besiktas Türkiye Cup	0-1	0-3	5	1	L
19/04	Kasimpasa Türkiye Super Lig	0-0	0-1	1	6	L
11/04	Trabzonspor Türkiye Super Lig	0-0	1-1	2	4	D
04/04	Gazisehir Gaziantep FK Türkiye Super Lig	1-0	1-1	2	5	D
18/03	Kocaelispor Türkiye Super Lig	2-0	5-0	3	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Gazisehir Gaziantep FK vs Alanyaspor?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Gazisehir Gaziantep FK win (37%). Probabilities: Gazisehir Gaziantep FK 37%, draw 28%, Alanyaspor 35%.

How many goals are expected in Gazisehir Gaziantep FK vs Alanyaspor?

The model expects 2.62 goals (Gazisehir Gaziantep FK 1.34 · Alanyaspor 1.29), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Gazisehir Gaziantep FK vs Alanyaspor?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.