Football · Türkiye Super Lig · 15/08, 18:00

Prediction: Konyaspor vs Caykur Rizespor

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.84Total

Konyaspor1.49

Caykur Rizespor1.35

1X2

40% 27% 33%

Konyaspor Draw Caykur Rizespor

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Konyaspor 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

WLWLLLWLLW

Caykur Rizespor 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DLWLDWWLDW

Head-to-head

Konyaspor 1–3–2 Caykur Rizespor (6 last)

Caykur Rizespor3-2Konyaspor
Konyaspor1-1Caykur Rizespor
Konyaspor2-1Caykur Rizespor
Caykur Rizespor1-1Konyaspor
Caykur Rizespor0-0Konyaspor
Konyaspor1-2Caykur Rizespor

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Konyaspor 1483 · Caykur Rizespor 1514

	Konyaspor	Draw	Caykur Rizespor
Our model	40%	27%	33%
Market	40%	27%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 2.84 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Caykur Rizespor: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Konyaspor	Caykur Rizespor
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.8	1.6 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.4	0.6 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 3.3	2.4 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.1 / 0.1	3.6 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.30

X3.40

22.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.02

2 (+0.25)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.82

Under 2.51.98

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:28

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.30 → 2.30	Pinn 2.50
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	2.75 → 2.75	Pinn 3.12 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.3% Pinnacle margin 5.4%

Time*	1	X	2
01:26 +2’	2.30	3.40	2.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
01:28	2.50	3.00	3.12

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Konyaspor 1–3–2 Caykur Rizespor

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/05/26 Türkiye Super Lig	Caykur Rizespor	3-2 HT 1-1	Konyaspor
06/12/25 Türkiye Super Lig	Konyaspor	1-1 HT 0-1	Caykur Rizespor
10/05/25 Türkiye Super Lig	Konyaspor	2-1 HT 0-0	Caykur Rizespor
14/12/24 Türkiye Super Lig	Caykur Rizespor	1-1 HT 1-0	Konyaspor
03/02/24 Türkiye Super Lig	Caykur Rizespor	0-0 HT 0-0	Konyaspor
16/09/23 Türkiye Super Lig	Konyaspor	1-2 HT 1-0	Caykur Rizespor

Standings · Türkiye Super Lig

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Alanyaspor	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Amedspor	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Besiktas	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Caykur Rizespor	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Corum Belediyespor	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Erzurumspor FK	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Eyupspor	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Fenerbahce	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Galatasaray	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Gazisehir Gaziantep FK	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Genclerbirligi	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Goztepe	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Istanbul Basaksehir	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Kasimpasa	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Kocaelispor	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Konyaspor	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Samsunspor	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Trabzonspor	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Konyaspor	Caykur Rizespor
Hull	0-3 L	1-2 L
Kayserispor	1-2 L	0-2 L
Fenerbahce	0-3 L	2-2 D
Besiktas	1-0 W	2-2 D
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 3 L	0 W 2 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Konyaspor

WLWLLLWLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/07	Al Dhafra SCC World Club Friendlies	1-0	2-0	2	0	W
25/07	Hull Elite Club Friendlies	0-1	0-3	3	2	L
18/07	Zalaegerszegi TE Europe Friendlies	0-0	1-3	2	6	L
15/07	FC Zorya Lugansk Europe Friendlies	1-0	2-1	2	4	W
22/05	Trabzonspor Türkiye Cup	0-1	1-2	2	12	L
17/05	Kayserispor Türkiye Super Lig	0-0	1-2	3	2	L
09/05	Fenerbahce Türkiye Super Lig	0-1	0-3	6	4	L
05/05	Besiktas Türkiye Cup	0-0	1-0	4	5	W
01/05	Caykur Rizespor Türkiye Super Lig	1-1	2-3	2	3	L
27/04	Trabzonspor Türkiye Super Lig	2-0	2-1	7	4	W

Caykur Rizespor

DLWLDWWLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/08	Orijent Europe Friendlies	0-0	2-1	12	2	W
31/07	Abha World Club Friendlies	0-0	0-0	3	5	D
28/07	Hull Europe Friendlies	0-0	1-2	3	2	L
25/07	NK Osijek Europe Friendlies	1-0	3-1	3	3	W
15/07	Dinamo Batumi Club Friendly List	2-0	3-0	–	–	W
15/05	Besiktas Türkiye Super Lig	2-0	2-2	8	5	D
09/05	Eyupspor Türkiye Super Lig	0-3	0-4	6	0	L
01/05	Konyaspor Türkiye Super Lig	1-1	3-2	1	3	W
25/04	Kayserispor Türkiye Super Lig	0-0	0-2	6	5	L
17/04	Fenerbahce Türkiye Super Lig	0-0	2-2	3	8	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Konyaspor vs Caykur Rizespor?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Konyaspor win (40%). Probabilities: Konyaspor 40%, draw 27%, Caykur Rizespor 33%.

How many goals are expected in Konyaspor vs Caykur Rizespor?

The model expects 2.84 goals (Konyaspor 1.49 · Caykur Rizespor 1.35), with a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Konyaspor vs Caykur Rizespor?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.