Football · Türkiye Super Lig · 14/08, 20:30
Prediction: Galatasaray vs Corum Belediyespor
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3Total
Galatasaray2.39
Corum Belediyespor0.6
1X2
Galatasaray
Draw
Corum Belediyespor
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 58%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
2-0
Recent form · 10 last
Galatasaray
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Corum Belediyespor
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Galatasaray 1461 · Corum Belediyespor 1559
| Galatasaray | Draw | Corum Belediyespor | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 76% | 17% | 7% |
| Market | 77% | 15% | 8% |
Estimated total (ours)
3 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Corum Belediyespor (rating 1461 vs 1559).
- High corners: 12.9 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Galatasaray | Corum Belediyespor | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 2 | 1.4 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.8 | 0.6 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 5.6 | 3.1 / 7.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0.2 | 4.3 / 0.2 |
Standings · Türkiye Super Lig
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alanyaspor | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Amedspor | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Besiktas | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Caykur Rizespor | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Corum Belediyespor | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Erzurumspor FK | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Eyupspor | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Fenerbahce | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Galatasaray | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Gazisehir Gaziantep FK | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Genclerbirligi | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Goztepe | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Istanbul Basaksehir | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Kasimpasa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Kocaelispor | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Konyaspor | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Samsunspor | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Trabzonspor | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Galatasaray
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Villarreal Europe Friendlies |
1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 02/08 | Rennes Elite Club Friendlies |
1-1 | 3-3 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 27/07 | Venezia Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-3 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 24/07 | Monza Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 17/07 | Umraniyespor Club Friendly List |
2-1 | 5-1 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 17/05 | Kasimpasa Türkiye Super Lig |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 09/05 | Antalyaspor Türkiye Super Lig |
0-1 | 4-2 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 02/05 | Samsunspor Türkiye Super Lig |
1-1 | 1-4 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 26/04 | Fenerbahce Türkiye Super Lig |
1-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 11 | W |
| 22/04 | Genclerbirligi Türkiye Cup |
0-0 | 0-2 | 10 | 5 | L |
Corum Belediyespor
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/05 | Esenler Erokspor Türkiye 1 Lig |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 15/05 | Bodrum FK Türkiye 1 Lig |
0-0 | 1-0 | 14 | 10 | W |
| 11/05 | Bodrum FK Türkiye 1 Lig |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 07/05 | Keciorengucu Türkiye 1 Lig |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 02/05 | Erzurumspor FK Türkiye 1 Lig |
1-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 26/04 | Sakaryaspor Türkiye 1 Lig |
1-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 19/04 | Sivasspor Türkiye 1 Lig |
1-1 | 3-1 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 11/04 | Pendikspor Türkiye 1 Lig |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 07/04 | Bodrum FK Türkiye 1 Lig |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 03/04 | Bandirmaspor Türkiye 1 Lig |
0-1 | 0-1 | 13 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Galatasaray vs Corum Belediyespor?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Galatasaray win (77%). Probabilities: Galatasaray 77%, draw 16%, Corum Belediyespor 7%.
How many goals are expected in Galatasaray vs Corum Belediyespor?
The model expects 3 goals (Galatasaray 2.39 · Corum Belediyespor 0.6), with a 56% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Galatasaray vs Corum Belediyespor?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.