Football · Spain Segunda · 17/08, 19:00
Prediction: Sporting Gijon vs Sabadell
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.39Total
Sporting Gijon1.5
Sabadell0.89
1X2
Sporting Gijon
Draw
Sabadell
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Sporting Gijon
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Sabadell
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Sporting Gijon
2–2–0
Sabadell
(4 last)
- Sabadell1-1Sporting Gijon
- Sporting Gijon3-1Sabadell
- Sporting Gijon2-0Sabadell
- Sabadell2-2Sporting Gijon
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sporting Gijon 1511 · Sabadell 1544
| Sporting Gijon | Draw | Sabadell | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 29% | 21% |
| Market | 50% | 29% | 21% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.39 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Sporting Gijon: 2-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sporting Gijon | Sabadell | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1.6 | 1.6 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.9 | 0.6 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 4 | 2.1 / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0.2 | 3.3 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sporting Gijon 2–2–0 Sabadell
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/03/21 Spain Segunda | Sabadell | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Sporting Gijon |
| 25/11/20 Spain Segunda | Sporting Gijon | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Sabadell |
| 31/05/15 Spain Segunda | Sporting Gijon | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Sabadell |
| 11/01/15 Spain Segunda | Sabadell | 2-2 HT 1-2 | Sporting Gijon |
Standings · Spain Segunda
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AD Ceuta FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Albacete | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Cadiz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | CD Castellon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Eldense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Leganes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Tenerife | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sabadell | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Burgos | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Cordoba | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FC Andorra | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Girona | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Granada | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Celta Fortuna | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Mallorca | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Oviedo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Real Sociedad B | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Valladolid | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Eibar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sporting Gijon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Almeria | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Las Palmas | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sporting Gijon
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08 | Racing Santander Europe Friendlies |
1-3 | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 25/07 | Celta Vigo Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 18/07 | Marino de Luanco Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 2-1 | 13 | 1 | W |
| 30/05 | Granada Spain Segunda |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 24/05 | Almeria Spain Segunda |
2-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 9 | W |
| 17/05 | Real Zaragoza Spain Segunda |
2-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 09/05 | Malaga Spain Segunda |
1-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 8 | L |
| 03/05 | AD Ceuta FC Spain Segunda |
1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 26/04 | Cordoba Spain Segunda |
1-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 19/04 | Cadiz Spain Segunda |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
Sabadell
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | UE Olot Europe Friendlies |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 07/08 | Girona Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 01/08 | FC Andorra Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 31/07 | Inter Club d'Escaldes Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 29/07 | CE Manresa Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 25/07 | Espanyol Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 18/07 | CD Castellon Club Friendly List |
0-2 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 19/06 | Zamora CF Spain Primera Division RFEF Play-Offs |
1-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 13/06 | Zamora CF Spain Primera Division RFEF Play-Offs |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 05/06 | Real Madrid B Spain Primera Division RFEF Play-Offs |
2-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sporting Gijon vs Sabadell?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Sporting Gijon win (50%). Probabilities: Sporting Gijon 50%, draw 29%, Sabadell 21%.
How many goals are expected in Sporting Gijon vs Sabadell?
The model expects 2.39 goals (Sporting Gijon 1.5 · Sabadell 0.89), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Sporting Gijon vs Sabadell?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.