Football · Spain Segunda · 23/08, 19:00
Prediction: CD Castellon vs Sabadell
Team pages: CD Castellon · Sabadell
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.39Total
CD Castellon1.66
Sabadell0.73
1X2
CD Castellon
Draw
Sabadell
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 57%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
CD Castellon
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Sabadell
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
CD Castellon
4–2
Sabadell
(6 last)
- CD Castellon2-0Sabadell
- Sabadell3-1CD Castellon
- CD Castellon3-1Sabadell
- Sabadell1-3CD Castellon
- CD Castellon0-1Sabadell
- CD Castellon2-1Sabadell
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · CD Castellon 1511 · Sabadell 1535
| CD Castellon | Draw | Sabadell | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 26% | 15% |
| Market | 59% | 25% | 16% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.39 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours CD Castellon: 4-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CD Castellon | Sabadell | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.5 | 1.3 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.5 | 0.4 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 6.1 | 2.2 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0.5 | 3.2 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · CD Castellon 4–0–2 Sabadell
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07/26 Club Friendly List | CD Castellon | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Sabadell |
| 16/04/23 Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 | Sabadell | 3-1 HT 2-0 | CD Castellon |
| 04/09/22 Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 | CD Castellon | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Sabadell |
| 12/03/22 Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 | Sabadell | 1-3 HT 1-1 | CD Castellon |
| 19/12/21 Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 | CD Castellon | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Sabadell |
| 13/03/21 Spain Segunda | CD Castellon | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Sabadell |
Standings · Spain Segunda
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Las Palmas | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 2 | Leganes | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | FC Andorra | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Almeria | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Tenerife | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Mallorca | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Burgos | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 8 | CD Castellon | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Cordoba | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| 10 | Real Sociedad B | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 11 | Cadiz | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Sabadell | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Granada | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Celta Fortuna | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Sporting Gijon | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 16 | Girona | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 17 | Oviedo | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| 18 | Albacete | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 | Eibar | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 | Valladolid | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 | Eldense | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 | AD Ceuta FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CD Castellon
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Real Sociedad B Spain Segunda |
1-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 08/08 | Levante Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 07/08 | Hercules Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 31/07 | CD Alaves Europe Friendlies |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 29/07 | Girona Europe Friendlies |
2-1 | 3-3 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 25/07 | Valencia Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 18/07 | Sabadell Club Friendly List |
2-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 09/06 | Almeria Spain Segunda |
0-1 | 2-3 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 06/06 | Almeria Spain Segunda |
1-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 31/05 | Eibar Spain Segunda |
1-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 1 | W |
Sabadell
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08 | Sporting Gijon Spain Segunda |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 09/08 | UE Olot Europe Friendlies |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 07/08 | Girona Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 01/08 | FC Andorra Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 31/07 | Inter Club d'Escaldes Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 29/07 | CE Manresa Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 25/07 | Espanyol Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 18/07 | CD Castellon Club Friendly List |
0-2 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 19/06 | Zamora CF Spain Primera Division RFEF Play-Offs |
1-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 13/06 | Zamora CF Spain Primera Division RFEF Play-Offs |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CD Castellon vs Sabadell?
According to our model, the most likely result is a CD Castellon win (59%). Probabilities: CD Castellon 59%, draw 26%, Sabadell 16%.
How many goals are expected in CD Castellon vs Sabadell?
The model expects 2.39 goals (CD Castellon 1.66 · Sabadell 0.73), with a 57% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in CD Castellon vs Sabadell?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.