Football · Spain Segunda · 23/08, 21:30
Prediction: Tenerife vs Almeria
Team pages: Tenerife · Almeria
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.33Total
Tenerife1.04
Almeria1.29
1X2
Tenerife
Draw
Almeria
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 59%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Tenerife
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Almeria
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Tenerife
0–6
Almeria
(6 last)
- Almeria2-0Tenerife
- Tenerife0-1Almeria
- Tenerife0-1Almeria
- Almeria3-1Tenerife
- Tenerife0-1Almeria
- Almeria2-0Tenerife
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tenerife 1542 · Almeria 1547
| Tenerife | Draw | Almeria | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 29% | 30% | 41% |
| Market | 29% | 29% | 42% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.33 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 66%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Almeria: 6-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 5.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Tenerife | Almeria | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 1.1 | 1.5 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.3 | 0.4 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/50/0% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4.3 | 1.9 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.6 / 0.1 | 2.8 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tenerife 0–0–6 Almeria
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/06/25 Spain Segunda | Almeria | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Tenerife |
| 24/08/24 Spain Segunda | Tenerife | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Almeria |
| 21/03/22 Spain Segunda | Tenerife | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Almeria |
| 24/09/21 Spain Segunda | Almeria | 3-1 HT 0-0 | Tenerife |
| 07/05/21 Spain Segunda | Tenerife | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Almeria |
| 26/11/20 Spain Segunda | Almeria | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Tenerife |
Standings · Spain Segunda
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Las Palmas | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 2 | Leganes | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | FC Andorra | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Almeria | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Tenerife | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Mallorca | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Burgos | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 8 | CD Castellon | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Cordoba | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| 10 | Real Sociedad B | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 11 | Cadiz | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Sabadell | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Granada | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Celta Fortuna | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Sporting Gijon | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 16 | Girona | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 17 | Oviedo | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| 18 | Albacete | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 | Eibar | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 | Valladolid | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 | Eldense | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 | AD Ceuta FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tenerife
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Eibar Spain Segunda |
2-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 08/08 | Leganes Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 04/08 | UD Tamaraceite Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 3-2 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 01/08 | Cadiz Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 29/07 | UD Anaza Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 26/07 | CD Marino Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 6-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 22/07 | Getafe Elite Club Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 23/05 | Ourense Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 |
1-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 17/05 | Pontevedra Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 09/05 | Unionistas de Salamanca CF Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
Almeria
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08 | Eldense Spain Segunda |
3-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 07/08 | Cordoba Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 4-0 | 1 | 0 | W |
| 04/08 | Al-Nassr Riyadh World Club Friendlies |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 01/08 | Real Betis Elite Club Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 0 | L |
| 29/07 | Granada Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 25/07 | Aguilas Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 20/06 | Malaga Spain Segunda |
0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 14/06 | Malaga Spain Segunda |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 09/06 | CD Castellon Spain Segunda |
1-0 | 3-2 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 06/06 | CD Castellon Spain Segunda |
0-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tenerife vs Almeria?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Almeria win (41%). Probabilities: Tenerife 29%, draw 30%, Almeria 41%.
How many goals are expected in Tenerife vs Almeria?
The model expects 2.33 goals (Tenerife 1.04 · Almeria 1.29), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Tenerife vs Almeria?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.