Football · Spain Segunda · 16/08, 19:00
Prediction: Girona vs Leganes
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2Total
Girona1.39
Leganes0.61
1X2
Girona
Draw
Leganes
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 60%
Not both to score 54%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Girona
1-6-3 (W-D-L)
Leganes
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Girona
3–2–1
Leganes
(6 last)
- Leganes1-1Girona
- Girona4-3Leganes
- Leganes1-1Girona
- Girona3-0Leganes
- Girona0-2Leganes
- Leganes0-1Girona
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Girona 1460 · Leganes 1492
| Girona | Draw | Leganes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 30% | 15% |
| Market | 56% | 27% | 16% |
Estimated total (ours)
2 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 68%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Girona: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Girona | Leganes | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.6 | 0.7 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.7 | 0.2 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/20/50% | 10/60/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 5.7 | 1.6 / 3.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.8 / 0.1 | 4.2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Girona 3–2–1 Leganes
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/04/25 Spain La Liga | Leganes | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Girona |
| 02/11/24 Spain La Liga | Girona | 4-3 HT 2-2 | Leganes |
| 27/02/22 Spain Segunda | Leganes | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Girona |
| 06/12/21 Spain Segunda | Girona | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Leganes |
| 07/02/21 Spain Segunda | Girona | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Leganes |
| 11/10/20 Spain Segunda | Leganes | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Girona |
Standings · Spain Segunda
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AD Ceuta FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Albacete | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Cadiz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | CD Castellon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Eldense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Leganes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Tenerife | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sabadell | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Burgos | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Cordoba | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FC Andorra | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Girona | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Granada | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Celta Fortuna | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Mallorca | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Oviedo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Real Sociedad B | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Valladolid | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Eibar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sporting Gijon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Almeria | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Las Palmas | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Girona
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Gimnastic Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 07/08 | Sabadell Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 01/08 | Arsenal Elite Club Friendlies |
0-2 | 1-4 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 29/07 | CD Castellon Europe Friendlies |
1-2 | 3-3 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 25/07 | CD Alaves Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 0 | L |
| 22/07 | UE Olot Europe Friendlies |
2-0 | 3-1 | 12 | 0 | W |
| 23/05 | Elche Spain La Liga |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 8 | D |
| 17/05 | Atletico Madrid Spain La Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 14/05 | Real Sociedad Spain La Liga |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 9 | D |
| 11/05 | Rayo Vallecano Spain La Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
Leganes
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Tenerife Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | D |
| 07/08 | Merida Europe Friendlies |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 04/08 | Al-Rayyan SC World Club Friendlies |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 01/08 | Swansea Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 22/07 | Nacional Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 17/07 | Albacete Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | D |
| 11/07 | Levante Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 31/05 | Mirandes Spain Segunda |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 24/05 | Cadiz Spain Segunda |
0-1 | 0-3 | 6 | 9 | L |
| 18/05 | Huesca Spain Segunda |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Girona vs Leganes?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Girona win (56%). Probabilities: Girona 56%, draw 29%, Leganes 16%.
How many goals are expected in Girona vs Leganes?
The model expects 2 goals (Girona 1.39 · Leganes 0.61), with a 54% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Girona vs Leganes?
The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.