Football · Spain Segunda · 16/08, 17:00
Prediction: Eibar vs Tenerife
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.39Total
Eibar1.55
Tenerife0.84
1X2
Eibar
Draw
Tenerife
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Eibar
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Tenerife
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Eibar
4–1–1
Tenerife
(6 last)
- Tenerife1-1Eibar
- Eibar1-0Tenerife
- Tenerife2-1Eibar
- Eibar3-0Tenerife
- Tenerife0-1Eibar
- Eibar2-1Tenerife
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Eibar 1524 · Tenerife 1531
| Eibar | Draw | Tenerife | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 28% | 19% |
| Market | 52% | 29% | 19% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.39 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Eibar: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Eibar | Tenerife | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.2 | 2.1 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 0.4 | 0.7 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 70/20/10% | 40/60/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 3.4 | 2.3 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0 | 3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Eibar 4–1–1 Tenerife
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/04/25 Spain Segunda | Tenerife | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Eibar |
| 14/09/24 Spain Segunda | Eibar | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Tenerife |
| 07/04/24 Spain Segunda | Tenerife | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Eibar |
| 30/09/23 Spain Segunda | Eibar | 3-0 HT 0-0 | Tenerife |
| 04/03/23 Spain Segunda | Tenerife | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Eibar |
| 13/08/22 Spain Segunda | Eibar | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Tenerife |
Standings · Spain Segunda
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AD Ceuta FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Albacete | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Cadiz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | CD Castellon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Eldense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Leganes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Tenerife | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sabadell | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Burgos | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Cordoba | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FC Andorra | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Girona | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Granada | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Celta Fortuna | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Mallorca | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Oviedo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Real Sociedad B | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Valladolid | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Eibar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sporting Gijon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Almeria | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Las Palmas | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Eibar
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Real Unión Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 29/07 | Real Sociedad B Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 25/07 | Athletic Bilbao Europe Friendlies |
2-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 18/07 | CD Alaves Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 31/05 | CD Castellon Spain Segunda |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 24/05 | Cordoba Spain Segunda |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 16/05 | Cultural Leonesa Spain Segunda |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 10/05 | Mirandes Spain Segunda |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 02/05 | Malaga Spain Segunda |
2-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 24/04 | Albacete Spain Segunda |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
Tenerife
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Leganes Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 04/08 | UD Tamaraceite Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 3-2 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 01/08 | Cadiz Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 29/07 | UD Anaza Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 26/07 | CD Marino Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 6-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 22/07 | Getafe Elite Club Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 23/05 | Ourense Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 |
1-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 17/05 | Pontevedra Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 09/05 | Unionistas de Salamanca CF Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 01/05 | Barakaldo Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Eibar vs Tenerife?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Eibar win (52%). Probabilities: Eibar 52%, draw 29%, Tenerife 19%.
How many goals are expected in Eibar vs Tenerife?
The model expects 2.39 goals (Eibar 1.55 · Tenerife 0.84), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Eibar vs Tenerife?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.