Football · Spain Segunda · 15/08, 21:30
Prediction: Mallorca vs Valladolid
Team pages: Mallorca · Valladolid
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.56Total
Mallorca1.67
Valladolid0.89
1X2
Mallorca
Draw
Valladolid
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Mallorca
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Valladolid
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Mallorca
3–1–2
Valladolid
(6 last)
- Mallorca2-1Valladolid
- Valladolid1-2Mallorca
- Valladolid3-3Mallorca
- Mallorca1-0Valladolid
- Mallorca0-1Valladolid
- Valladolid3-0Mallorca
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mallorca 1529 · Valladolid 1497
| Mallorca | Draw | Valladolid | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 27% | 19% |
| Market | 54% | 28% | 18% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.56 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Mallorca: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Mallorca | Valladolid | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1.1 | 1.2 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.5 | 0.5 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/20/20% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.3 | 2.1 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.7 / 0.4 | 3.4 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Mallorca 3–1–2 Valladolid
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/25 Spain La Liga | Mallorca | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Valladolid |
| 27/09/24 Spain La Liga | Valladolid | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Mallorca |
| 09/04/23 Spain La Liga | Valladolid | 3-3 HT 1-0 | Mallorca |
| 07/01/23 Spain La Liga | Mallorca | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Valladolid |
| 01/02/20 Spain La Liga | Mallorca | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Valladolid |
| 03/11/19 Spain La Liga | Valladolid | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Mallorca |
Standings · Spain Segunda
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AD Ceuta FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Albacete | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Cadiz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | CD Castellon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Eldense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Leganes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Tenerife | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sabadell | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Burgos | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Cordoba | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FC Andorra | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Girona | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Granada | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Celta Fortuna | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Mallorca | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Oviedo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Real Sociedad B | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Valladolid | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Eibar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sporting Gijon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Almeria | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Las Palmas | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mallorca
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Elversberg Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 05/08 | PSG Elite Club Friendlies |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 30/07 | Al Ittihad Jeddah World Club Friendlies |
2-1 | 4-2 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 25/07 | Al Fateh SC World Club Friendlies |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 23/05 | Oviedo Spain La Liga |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 17/05 | Levante Spain La Liga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 13/05 | Getafe Spain La Liga |
0-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 10/05 | Villarreal Spain La Liga |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 01/05 | Girona Spain La Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 25/04 | CD Alaves Spain La Liga |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
Valladolid
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08 | Gimnastica Segoviana Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 3-0 | 10 | 0 | W |
| 01/08 | FC Groningen Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 29/07 | CD Coria Europe Friendlies |
2-0 | 4-1 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 25/07 | Getafe Elite Club Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 31/05 | Almeria Spain Segunda |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 24/05 | Deportivo La Coruna Spain Segunda |
0-2 | 0-2 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 16/05 | Racing Santander Spain Segunda |
1-1 | 1-4 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 09/05 | Real Zaragoza Spain Segunda |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 10 | W |
| 03/05 | Las Palmas Spain Segunda |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 25/04 | Real Sociedad B Spain Segunda |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mallorca vs Valladolid?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Mallorca win (54%). Probabilities: Mallorca 54%, draw 27%, Valladolid 19%.
How many goals are expected in Mallorca vs Valladolid?
The model expects 2.56 goals (Mallorca 1.67 · Valladolid 0.89), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Mallorca vs Valladolid?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.