Football · Spain Segunda · 15/08, 19:00
Prediction: Oviedo vs Granada
Team pages: Oviedo
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.24Total
Oviedo1.47
Granada0.77
1X2
Oviedo
Draw
Granada
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 57%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Oviedo
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Granada
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Oviedo
3–1–2
Granada
(6 last)
- Granada1-0Oviedo
- Oviedo2-0Granada
- Granada1-0Oviedo
- Oviedo1-0Granada
- Oviedo1-0Granada
- Oviedo1-1Granada
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Oviedo 1459 · Granada 1499
| Oviedo | Draw | Granada | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 29% | 18% |
| Market | 53% | 27% | 19% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.24 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Granada (rating 1459 vs 1499).
- H2H favours Oviedo: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Oviedo | Granada | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.5 | 1.1 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 1.1 | 0.6 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/30/60% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 4.1 | 1.9 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.8 / 0.5 | 3.2 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Oviedo 3–1–2 Granada
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/03/25 Spain Segunda | Granada | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Oviedo |
| 14/12/24 Spain Segunda | Oviedo | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Granada |
| 26/03/23 Spain Segunda | Granada | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Oviedo |
| 22/12/22 Spain Copa del Rey | Oviedo | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Granada |
| 06/11/22 Spain Segunda | Oviedo | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Granada |
| 05/05/19 Spain Segunda | Oviedo | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Granada |
Standings · Spain Segunda
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AD Ceuta FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Albacete | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Cadiz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | CD Castellon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Eldense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Leganes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Tenerife | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sabadell | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Burgos | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Cordoba | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FC Andorra | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Girona | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Granada | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Celta Fortuna | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Mallorca | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Oviedo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Real Sociedad B | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Valladolid | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Eibar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sporting Gijon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Almeria | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Las Palmas | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Oviedo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Le Havre Europe Friendlies |
2-2 | 3-2 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 01/08 | Nurnberg Europe Friendlies |
0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 11 | L |
| 29/07 | Ponferradina Europe Friendlies |
2-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 25/07 | Deportivo La Coruna Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 23/05 | Mallorca Spain La Liga |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 17/05 | CD Alaves Spain La Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 14/05 | Real Madrid Spain La Liga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 10/05 | Getafe Spain La Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 03/05 | Real Betis Spain La Liga |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 26/04 | Elche Spain La Liga |
0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
Granada
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Antequera Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 05/08 | Cadiz Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 29/07 | Almeria Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 25/07 | Real Betis Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 22/07 | Neom SC World Club Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 18/07 | Juventud Torremolinos CF Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 30/05 | Sporting Gijon Spain Segunda |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 24/05 | Mirandes Spain Segunda |
1-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 16/05 | Burgos Spain Segunda |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 10/05 | Cordoba Spain Segunda |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Oviedo vs Granada?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Oviedo win (53%). Probabilities: Oviedo 53%, draw 28%, Granada 19%.
How many goals are expected in Oviedo vs Granada?
The model expects 2.24 goals (Oviedo 1.47 · Granada 0.77), with a 57% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Oviedo vs Granada?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.