Football · Spain Segunda · 15/08, 17:00

Prediction: FC Andorra vs AD Ceuta FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.47Total

FC Andorra1.65

AD Ceuta FC0.81

1X2

57% 25% 18%

FC Andorra Draw AD Ceuta FC

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-0

Recent form · 10 last

FC Andorra 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LLWDWWDDWL

AD Ceuta FC 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

DWDLWWLLWW

Head-to-head

FC Andorra 0–2 AD Ceuta FC (2 last)

FC Andorra0-2AD Ceuta FC
AD Ceuta FC2-1FC Andorra

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Andorra 1496 · AD Ceuta FC 1535

	FC Andorra	Draw	AD Ceuta FC
Our model	56%	27%	17%
Market	57%	24%	18%

Estimated total (ours) 2.47 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours AD Ceuta FC: 2-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Andorra	AD Ceuta FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1	1.3 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.3	0.8 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 3.8	1 / 3.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0.1	4.6 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.60

X3.80

25.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.77

2 (+0.75)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.95

Under 2.751.85

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 2.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:27

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.60 → 1.60	Pinn 1.61
X	3.80 → 3.80	Pinn 4.08 ★
2	5.00 → 5.00	Pinn 5.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.8% Pinnacle margin 6.1%

Time*	1	X	2
01:26 +1’	1.60	3.80	5.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
01:27	1.61	4.08	5.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Andorra 0–0–2 AD Ceuta FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/05/26 Spain Segunda	FC Andorra	0-2 HT 0-1	AD Ceuta FC
04/01/26 Spain Segunda	AD Ceuta FC	2-1 HT 1-0	FC Andorra

Standings · Spain Segunda

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	AD Ceuta FC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Albacete	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Cadiz	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	CD Castellon	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Eldense	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Leganes	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Tenerife	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Sabadell	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Burgos	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Cordoba	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FC Andorra	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Girona	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Granada	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Celta Fortuna	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Mallorca	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Oviedo	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Real Sociedad B	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Valladolid	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Eibar	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Sporting Gijon	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Almeria	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Las Palmas	0	0	0	0	0	0

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

FC Andorra

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/08	Huesca Europe Friendlies	0-1	0-4	1	7	L
06/08	Real Zaragoza Europe Friendlies	0-0	1-0	3	4	W
01/08	Sabadell Europe Friendlies	0-0	0-0	8	6	D
30/07	CE Europa Europe Friendlies	0-0	0-0	5	2	D
25/07	Gimnastic Europe Friendlies	1-0	2-0	7	2	W
24/07	Inter Club d'Escaldes Europe Friendlies	2-0	5-2	2	0	W
18/07	Stevenage Europe Friendlies	0-0	0-0	4	2	D
14/07	Millwall Europe Friendlies	0-0	2-1	4	7	W
31/05	Burgos Spain Segunda	0-1	0-1	2	4	L
24/05	AD Ceuta FC Spain Segunda	0-1	0-2	2	10	L

AD Ceuta FC

DWDLWWLLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/08	Malaga Europe Friendlies	2-1	2-1	5	4	W
29/07	Cadiz Europe Friendlies	2-1	3-1	0	3	W
26/07	Sevilla Europe Friendlies	0-0	1-2	3	3	L
22/07	Juventud Torremolinos CF Europe Friendlies	0-0	0-1	5	0	L
30/05	Albacete Spain Segunda	1-0	1-0	6	2	W
24/05	FC Andorra Spain Segunda	1-0	2-0	0	10	W
16/05	Malaga Spain Segunda	0-3	1-4	5	6	L
09/05	CD Castellon Spain Segunda	0-0	1-1	6	6	D
03/05	Sporting Gijon Spain Segunda	2-1	2-1	2	7	W
26/04	Racing Santander Spain Segunda	0-0	0-0	1	6	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Andorra vs AD Ceuta FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Andorra win (57%). Probabilities: FC Andorra 57%, draw 25%, AD Ceuta FC 18%.

How many goals are expected in FC Andorra vs AD Ceuta FC?

The model expects 2.47 goals (FC Andorra 1.65 · AD Ceuta FC 0.81), with a 56% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Andorra vs AD Ceuta FC?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.