Football · Spain Segunda · 14/08, 20:30

Prediction: Real Sociedad B vs CD Castellon

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.35Total

Real Sociedad B1.31

CD Castellon2.04

1X2

23% 24% 53%

Real Sociedad B Draw CD Castellon

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Real Sociedad B 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LLDWDLDLWL

CD Castellon 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Real Sociedad B 1–2–1 CD Castellon (4 last)

Real Sociedad B4-2CD Castellon
CD Castellon5-4Real Sociedad B
Real Sociedad B1-1CD Castellon
CD Castellon1-1Real Sociedad B

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Real Sociedad B 1464 · CD Castellon 1503

	Real Sociedad B	Draw	CD Castellon
Our model	23%	23%	53%
Market	22%	25%	52%

Estimated total (ours) 3.35 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Real Sociedad B	CD Castellon
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.4	1.4 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.8	0.7 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 3.8	3 / 6.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0.1	3.3 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

14.10

X3.60

21.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.80

2 (-0.75)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.85

Under 2.751.95

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:46

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.10 → 4.10	Bet365 4.10
X	3.60 → 3.60	Pinn 4.04 ★
2	1.75 → 1.75	Pinn 1.80

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.3% Pinnacle margin 5.8%

Time*	1	X	2
02:43 +3’	4.10	3.60	1.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
02:46	3.92	4.04	1.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Real Sociedad B 1–2–1 CD Castellon

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/03/26 Spain Segunda	Real Sociedad B	4-2 HT 2-2	CD Castellon
15/11/25 Spain Segunda	CD Castellon	5-4 HT 1-1	Real Sociedad B
27/05/23 Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	Real Sociedad B	1-1 HT 1-0	CD Castellon
17/12/22 Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	CD Castellon	1-1 HT 1-1	Real Sociedad B

Standings · Spain Segunda

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	AD Ceuta FC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Albacete	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Cadiz	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	CD Castellon	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Eldense	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Leganes	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Tenerife	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Sabadell	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Burgos	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Cordoba	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FC Andorra	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Girona	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Granada	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Celta Fortuna	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Mallorca	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Oviedo	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Real Sociedad B	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Valladolid	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Eibar	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Sporting Gijon	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Almeria	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Las Palmas	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Real Sociedad B	CD Castellon
Eibar	0-1 L	2-1 W
Huesca	2-1 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 1 L	2 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: CD Castellon (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Real Sociedad B

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/07	Eibar Europe Friendlies	0-1	0-1	4	0	L
25/07	Pau Europe Friendlies	1-0	4-0	4	6	W
18/07	Burgos Europe Friendlies	0-2	0-2	1	1	L
30/05	Cultural Leonesa Spain Segunda	0-0	1-1	6	1	D
24/05	Albacete Spain Segunda	0-2	1-3	6	1	L
16/05	Mirandes Spain Segunda	1-1	2-2	5	3	D
11/05	Huesca Spain Segunda	1-0	2-1	7	11	W
03/05	Burgos Spain Segunda	0-0	0-0	2	6	D
25/04	Valladolid Spain Segunda	0-0	0-1	1	3	L
17/04	Racing Santander Spain Segunda	0-2	1-3	2	8	L

CD Castellon

WWDLWWDLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Levante Europe Friendlies	1-1	1-3	–	–	L
07/08	Hercules Europe Friendlies	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
31/07	CD Alaves Europe Friendlies	0-2	0-3	3	4	L
29/07	Girona Europe Friendlies	2-1	3-3	7	1	D
25/07	Valencia Europe Friendlies	0-0	2-1	3	6	W
18/07	Sabadell Club Friendly List	2-0	2-0	–	–	W
09/06	Almeria Spain Segunda	0-1	2-3	7	5	L
06/06	Almeria Spain Segunda	1-0	1-1	8	6	D
31/05	Eibar Spain Segunda	1-0	2-1	8	1	W
24/05	Huesca Spain Segunda	0-0	1-0	9	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Real Sociedad B vs CD Castellon?

According to our model, the most likely result is an CD Castellon win (53%). Probabilities: Real Sociedad B 23%, draw 24%, CD Castellon 53%.

How many goals are expected in Real Sociedad B vs CD Castellon?

The model expects 3.35 goals (Real Sociedad B 1.31 · CD Castellon 2.04), with a 55% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Real Sociedad B vs CD Castellon?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.