Prediction: Santiago Morning vs General Velásquez
Team pages: Santiago Morning · General Velásquez
- Santiago Morning0-1General Velásquez
- General Velásquez3-1Santiago Morning
| Santiago Morning | Draw | General Velásquez | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 31% | 23% |
| Market | 47% | 28% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours General Velásquez (rating 1467 vs 1513).
- H2H favours General Velásquez: 2-0-0.
- High corners: 11 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 10.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Santiago Morning | General Velásquez | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.2 | 0.9 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.5 | 0.3 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 10/60/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4.3 | 3.2 / 6.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5 / 0.1 | 5.3 / 0.7 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Santiago Morning 0–0–2 General Velásquez
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/06/26 Chile Segunda | Santiago Morning | 0-1 HT 0-0 | General Velásquez |
| 12/04/26 Chile Segunda | General Velásquez | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Santiago Morning |
Standings · Chile Segunda · Segunda Division 2026, Relegation Round
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CD Rengo Unido | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 11 |
| 2 | Santiago Morning | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 7 |
| 3 | Lota Schwager | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 5 |
| 4 | General Velásquez | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 5 |
| 5 | Provincial Ovalle | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 |
| 6 | Real Juventud San Joaquin | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 3 |
| 7 | AC Colina | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Santiago Morning | General Velásquez |
|---|---|---|
| CD Rengo Unido | 2-2 D | 1-1 D |
| Provincial Ovalle | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Lota Schwager | 1-1 D | 1-3 L |
| Real Juventud San Joaquin | 2-2 D | 1-1 D |
| Provincial Osorno | 0-0 D | 0-3 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 5 D 0 L | 1 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Santiago Morning (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Santiago Morning
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | CD Rengo Unido Chile Segunda |
0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 30/08 | Provincial Ovalle Chile Segunda |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 22/08 | Lota Schwager Chile Segunda |
0-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 17/08 | AC Colina Chile Segunda |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 10/08 | Real Juventud San Joaquin Chile Segunda |
2-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 04/07 | CD Rengo Unido Chile Segunda |
1-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 28/06 | Deportes Linares Chile Segunda |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 21/06 | Lota Schwager Chile Segunda |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 8 | D |
| 07/06 | General Velásquez Chile Segunda |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 30/05 | Provincial Osorno Chile Segunda |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
General Velásquez
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Real Juventud San Joaquin Chile Segunda |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 8 | D |
| 22/08 | CD Rengo Unido Chile Segunda |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 16/08 | Provincial Ovalle Chile Segunda |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 08/08 | Lota Schwager Chile Segunda |
1-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 01/08 | CD Trasandino de Los Andes Chile Segunda |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 26/07 | CD Trasandino de Los Andes Chile Segunda |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 10 | D |
| 12/07 | CD Rengo Unido Chile Segunda |
0-0 | 2-0 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 04/07 | Provincial Osorno Chile Segunda |
0-1 | 0-3 | 10 | 5 | L |
| 28/06 | Lota Schwager Chile Segunda |
2-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 07/06 | Santiago Morning Chile Segunda |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Santiago Morning vs General Velásquez?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Santiago Morning win (46%). Probabilities: Santiago Morning 46%, draw 29%, General Velásquez 24%.
How many goals are expected in Santiago Morning vs General Velásquez?
The model expects 2.15 goals (Santiago Morning 1.29 · General Velásquez 0.85), with a 53% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Santiago Morning vs General Velásquez?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.