Football · Greece Cup · 18/08, 18:00
Prediction: Atromitos Athinon vs Pyrgos AFC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.1Total
Atromitos Athinon2.46
Pyrgos AFC0.63
1X2
Atromitos Athinon
Draw
Pyrgos AFC
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 63%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
2-0
Recent form · 10 last
Atromitos Athinon
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Pyrgos AFC
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Atromitos Athinon 1475 · Pyrgos AFC 1510
| Atromitos Athinon | Draw | Pyrgos AFC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 77% | 16% | 7% |
| Market | 77% | 15% | 8% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.1 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Atromitos Athinon | Pyrgos AFC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.3 / 1.4 | 1.5 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.4 / 0.8 | 0.4 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/20/30% | 13/63/25% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.8 / 5.4 | 2.3 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.1 | 3.8 / 0.3 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Atromitos Athinon
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08 | Levadiakos Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 7 | L |
| 06/08 | AEL Limassol Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 21/05 | Panserraikos Greece Super League 1 |
4-0 | 6-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 16/05 | Larissa Greece Super League 1 |
0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 12/05 | Kifisias FC Greece Super League 1 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 09/05 | Panetolikos Greece Super League 1 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 02/05 | Asteras Tripolis Greece Super League 1 |
0-3 | 2-4 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 26/04 | Asteras Tripolis Greece Super League 1 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 22/04 | Panserraikos Greece Super League 1 |
3-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 18/04 | Larissa Greece Super League 1 |
3-0 | 3-2 | 2 | 7 | W |
Pyrgos AFC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05 | Aris Petroupolis Greece Gamma Ethniki |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 13/05 | Ethnikos OFPF Greece Gamma Ethniki |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 10/05 | Zakynthos Greece Gamma Ethniki |
0-0 | 0-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 03/05 | Aris Petroupolis Greece Gamma Ethniki |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 29/04 | Ethnikos OFPF Greece Gamma Ethniki |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 26/04 | Zakynthos Greece Gamma Ethniki |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 08/04 | Pelopas Kiatou Greece Gamma Ethniki |
0-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 05/04 | AO Miltiadis Greece Gamma Ethniki |
2-0 | 5-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 01/04 | Panegialios Greece Gamma Ethniki |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 28/03 | PAS Korinthos Greece Gamma Ethniki |
1-1 | 3-3 | 6 | 1 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Atromitos Athinon vs Pyrgos AFC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Atromitos Athinon win (77%). Probabilities: Atromitos Athinon 77%, draw 16%, Pyrgos AFC 7%.
How many goals are expected in Atromitos Athinon vs Pyrgos AFC?
The model expects 3.1 goals (Atromitos Athinon 2.46 · Pyrgos AFC 0.63), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Atromitos Athinon vs Pyrgos AFC?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.