Football · Greece Cup · 17/08, 17:00
Prediction: Anagennisi Karditsas vs Aris Salonika
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.02Total
Anagennisi Karditsas0.51
Aris Salonika2.51
1X2
Anagennisi Karditsas
Draw
Aris Salonika
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 64%
Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
0-2
Recent form · 10 last
Anagennisi Karditsas
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Aris Salonika
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Anagennisi Karditsas
0–1–3
Aris Salonika
(4 last)
- Anagennisi Karditsas0-1Aris Salonika
- Aris Salonika3-0Anagennisi Karditsas
- Aris Salonika3-0Anagennisi Karditsas
- Anagennisi Karditsas1-1Aris Salonika
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Anagennisi Karditsas 1454 · Aris Salonika 1553
| Anagennisi Karditsas | Draw | Aris Salonika | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 5% | 15% | 80% |
| Market | 4% | 14% | 81% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.02 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Aris Salonika (rating 1454 vs 1553).
- H2H favours Aris Salonika: 3-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Anagennisi Karditsas | Aris Salonika | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.1 | 2.1 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.5 | 0.9 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/70/20% | 50/10/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 4.6 | 2.3 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0.2 | 4.2 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Anagennisi Karditsas 0–1–3 Aris Salonika
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/05/18 Greece Super League 2 | Anagennisi Karditsas | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Aris Salonika |
| 18/02/18 Greece Super League 2 | Aris Salonika | 3-0 HT 0-0 | Anagennisi Karditsas |
| 26/02/17 Greece Super League 2 | Aris Salonika | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Anagennisi Karditsas |
| 01/11/16 Greece Super League 2 | Anagennisi Karditsas | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Aris Salonika |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Anagennisi Karditsas
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/03 | Iraklis 1908 FC Greece Super League 2 |
1-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 14/03 | Asteras Tripolis B Greece Super League 2 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 08/03 | Niki Volou Greece Super League 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 28/02 | Iraklis 1908 FC Greece Super League 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 10 | L |
| 22/02 | Asteras Tripolis B Greece Super League 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 1 | L |
| 14/02 | Niki Volou Greece Super League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 9 | D |
| 24/01 | Nestos Chrisoupolis Greece Super League 2 |
1-2 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 17/01 | Iraklis 1908 FC Greece Super League 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 11/01 | Kavala Greece Super League 2 |
2-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 22/12 | Asteras Tripolis B Greece Super League 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
Aris Salonika
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08 | Napoli Elite Club Friendlies |
1-2 | 2-6 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 08/08 | Panserraikos Club Friendly List |
0-2 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 30/07 | Monza Europe Friendlies |
2-0 | 3-1 | 1 | 0 | W |
| 17/05 | Levadiakos Greece Super League 1 |
0-0 | 3-0 | 11 | 8 | W |
| 13/05 | Volos NFC Greece Super League 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 10/05 | OFI Crete Greece Super League 1 |
2-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 03/05 | OFI Crete Greece Super League 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 18/04 | Volos NFC Greece Super League 1 |
1-2 | 3-2 | 4 | 10 | W |
| 05/04 | Levadiakos Greece Super League 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 22/03 | OFI Crete Greece Super League 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 7 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Anagennisi Karditsas vs Aris Salonika?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Aris Salonika win (81%). Probabilities: Anagennisi Karditsas 5%, draw 14%, Aris Salonika 81%.
How many goals are expected in Anagennisi Karditsas vs Aris Salonika?
The model expects 3.02 goals (Anagennisi Karditsas 0.51 · Aris Salonika 2.51), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Anagennisi Karditsas vs Aris Salonika?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.