Football · Greece Cup · 17/08, 20:00
Prediction: Iraklis 1908 FC vs Volos NFC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.87Total
Iraklis 1908 FC1.38
Volos NFC1.49
1X2
Iraklis 1908 FC
Draw
Volos NFC
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Iraklis 1908 FC
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
Volos NFC
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Iraklis 1908 FC 1568 · Volos NFC 1447
| Iraklis 1908 FC | Draw | Volos NFC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 27% | 39% |
| Market | 33% | 29% | 38% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.87 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Iraklis 1908 FC (rating 1568 vs 1447).
- Cards-heavy: 10.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Iraklis 1908 FC | Volos NFC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 0.4 | 1.2 / 2.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.2 | 0.5 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/60/0% | 20/20/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 5 | 2.7 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6.3 / 0.3 | 3.8 / 0.2 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Iraklis 1908 FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/03 | Kalamata Greece Super League 2 Super Cup |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 8 | L |
| 22/03 | Anagennisi Karditsas Greece Super League 2 |
1-1 | 3-1 | 11 | 4 | W |
| 14/03 | Niki Volou Greece Super League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 08/03 | Asteras Tripolis B Greece Super League 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 28/02 | Anagennisi Karditsas Greece Super League 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 10 | W |
| 22/02 | Niki Volou Greece Super League 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 9 | W |
| 14/02 | Asteras Tripolis B Greece Super League 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 24/01 | Giannina Greece Super League 2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 17/01 | Anagennisi Karditsas Greece Super League 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 10/01 | Niki Volou Greece Super League 2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 8 | D |
Volos NFC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08 | Olympiacos B Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 10/08 | Kalamata Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 01/08 | Heerenveen Europe Friendlies |
0-2 | 2-3 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 28/07 | Cambuur Leeuwarden Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 25/07 | FC Groningen Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 17/05 | OFI Crete Greece Super League 1 |
1-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 13/05 | Aris Salonika Greece Super League 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 10/05 | Levadiakos Greece Super League 1 |
0-1 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 03/05 | Levadiakos Greece Super League 1 |
0-2 | 2-5 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 18/04 | Aris Salonika Greece Super League 1 |
2-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 10 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Iraklis 1908 FC vs Volos NFC?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Volos NFC win (38%). Probabilities: Iraklis 1908 FC 33%, draw 28%, Volos NFC 38%.
How many goals are expected in Iraklis 1908 FC vs Volos NFC?
The model expects 2.87 goals (Iraklis 1908 FC 1.38 · Volos NFC 1.49), with a 56% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Iraklis 1908 FC vs Volos NFC?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.