Football · Brazil Paulista Cup · 09/08, 16:00

Prediction: Osasco Sporting vs Paulista FC

Team pages: Osasco Sporting · Paulista FC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.24Total
Osasco Sporting1.15
Paulista FC1.09
1X2
37% 30% 33%
Osasco Sporting Draw Paulista FC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Osasco Sporting 5-1-4 (W-D-L)
WWDLWWLLLW
Paulista FC 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
DWDWWWLWLL
Head-to-head
Osasco Sporting 2–0 Paulista FC (2 last)
  • Paulista FC0-2Osasco Sporting
  • Paulista FC1-3Osasco Sporting
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Osasco Sporting 1518 · Paulista FC 1521
Osasco SportingDrawPaulista FC
Our model36%31%33%
Market37%29%34%
Estimated total (ours) 2.24 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Osasco Sporting: 2-0-0.
  • High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 11.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Osasco SportingPaulista FC
Goals for / against (FT)1.4 / 1.11.3 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)0.9 / 0.40.7 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)60/30/10%50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)3.2 / 6.52 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.2 / 0.36.7 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Osasco Sporting 200 Paulista FC

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DateHomeScoreAway
01/08/26
Brazil Paulista Cup
Paulista FC0-2
HT 0-2
Osasco Sporting
01/03/15
Brazil Campeonato Paulista A2
Paulista FC1-3
HT 0-2
Osasco Sporting

Standings · Brazil Paulista Cup · Copa Paulista 2026, Group 3

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#Team PWL GFGAPts
1 CA Juventus 321 426
2 Primavera SP 321 316
3 Osasco Sporting 312 233
4 Paulista FC 312 253

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentOsasco SportingPaulista FC
Primavera SP 0-2 L 1-0 W
CA Juventus 0-1 L 1-3 L
Record vs common 0 W 0 D 2 L 1 W 0 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Osasco Sporting

WWDLWWLLLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/08 Paulista FC
Brazil Paulista Cup
2-0 2-0 76 W
26/07 Primavera SP
Brazil Paulista Cup
0-2 0-2 61 L
19/07 CA Juventus
Brazil Paulista Cup
0-0 0-1 124 L
07/03 EC Agua Santa
Brazil Campeonato Paulista A2
1-0 1-2 96 L
01/03 Ituano
Brazil Campeonato Paulista A2
0-0 2-0 56 W
26/02 Inter de Limeira
Brazil Campeonato Paulista A2
1-0 3-1 44 W
22/02 CA Votuporanguense
Brazil Campeonato Paulista A2
1-1 1-2 34 L
18/02 Monte Azul SP
Brazil Campeonato Paulista A2
1-0 1-1 59 D
14/02 Sao Bento
Brazil Campeonato Paulista A2
2-1 2-1 105 W
12/02 Santo Andre SP
Brazil Campeonato Paulista A2
1-0 2-1 410 W

Paulista FC

DWDWWWLWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/08 Osasco Sporting
Brazil Paulista Cup
0-2 0-2 66 L
26/07 CA Juventus
Brazil Paulista Cup
1-0 1-3 57 L
18/07 Primavera SP
Brazil Paulista Cup
0-0 1-0 47 W
05/04 Portuguesa Santista
Brazil Campeonato Paulista A3
0-0 0-1 26 L
28/03 Portuguesa Santista
Brazil Campeonato Paulista A3
2-0 2-1 42 W
21/03 Catanduva FC
Brazil Campeonato Paulista A3
2-1 3-1 29 W
14/03 Uniao Sao Joao
Brazil Campeonato Paulista A3
1-0 3-0 56 W
11/03 Uniao Barbarense
Brazil Campeonato Paulista A3
0-0 1-1 66 D
07/03 Uniao Suzano
Brazil Campeonato Paulista A3
1-0 2-0 211 W
05/03 Bandeirante
Brazil Campeonato Paulista A3
0-0 0-0 88 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Osasco Sporting vs Paulista FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Osasco Sporting win (37%). Probabilities: Osasco Sporting 37%, draw 30%, Paulista FC 33%.

How many goals are expected in Osasco Sporting vs Paulista FC?

The model expects 2.24 goals (Osasco Sporting 1.15 · Paulista FC 1.09), with a 53% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Osasco Sporting vs Paulista FC?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.