Football · Brazil Paulista Cup · 09/08, 15:00

Prediction: Noroeste vs XV Piracicaba

Team pages: Noroeste · XV Piracicaba

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.33Total
Noroeste1.31
XV Piracicaba1.03
1X2
42% 29% 29%
Noroeste Draw XV Piracicaba
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Noroeste 3-4-3 (W-D-L)
WWLDWDLLDD
XV Piracicaba 1-6-3 (W-D-L)
DDLDWLDDLD
Head-to-head
Noroeste 1–3–2 XV Piracicaba (6 last)
  • XV Piracicaba1-1Noroeste
  • XV Piracicaba1-1Noroeste
  • Noroeste2-2XV Piracicaba
  • XV Piracicaba5-2Noroeste
  • Noroeste1-3XV Piracicaba
  • Noroeste2-0XV Piracicaba
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Noroeste 1500 · XV Piracicaba 1476
NoroesteDrawXV Piracicaba
Our model42%30%28%
Market43%28%29%
Estimated total (ours) 2.33 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours XV Piracicaba: 2-3-1.
  • High corners: 12.4 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

NoroesteXV Piracicaba
Goals for / against (FT)1.3 / 1.10.6 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.40.3 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/40/20%10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)2.3 / 4.73.8 / 7.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.1 / 0.13.9 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Noroeste 132 XV Piracicaba

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DateHomeScoreAway
01/08/26
Brazil Paulista Cup
XV Piracicaba1-1
HT 0-1
Noroeste
30/05/26
Brazil Serie D
XV Piracicaba1-1
HT 0-1
Noroeste
11/04/26
Brazil Serie D
Noroeste2-2
HT 0-0
XV Piracicaba
07/03/24
Brazil Campeonato Paulista A2
XV Piracicaba5-2
HT 2-1
Noroeste
14/01/23
Brazil Campeonato Paulista A2
Noroeste1-3
HT 0-2
XV Piracicaba
05/10/21
Brazil Paulista Cup
Noroeste2-0
HT 1-0
XV Piracicaba

Standings · Brazil Paulista Cup · Copa Paulista 2026, Group 2

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Comercial FC 3201 416
2 Uniao Sao Joao 3120 325
3 Noroeste 3021 352
4 XV Piracicaba 3021 132

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentNoroesteXV Piracicaba
Uniao Sao Joao 2-2 D 0-0 D
Comercial FC 0-2 L 0-2 L
Nova Iguacu 0-1 L 0-1 L
Velo Clube SP 3-0 W 1-1 D
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 2 L 0 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Noroeste (1 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Noroeste

WWLDWDLLDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/08 XV Piracicaba
Brazil Paulista Cup
1-0 1-1 24 D
25/07 Uniao Sao Joao
Brazil Paulista Cup
1-0 2-2 23 D
18/07 Comercial FC
Brazil Paulista Cup
0-0 0-2 45 L
28/06 Portuguesa RJ
Brazil Serie D
0-2 1-3 76 L
21/06 Portuguesa RJ
Brazil Serie D
1-1 1-1 46 D
07/06 Sampaio Correa RJ
Brazil Serie D
0-0 1-0 64 W
30/05 XV Piracicaba
Brazil Serie D
1-0 1-1 24 D
23/05 Nova Iguacu
Brazil Serie D
0-1 0-1 116 L
16/05 Velo Clube SP
Brazil Serie D
0-0 3-0 66 W
09/05 Marica RJ
Brazil Serie D
2-0 3-0 38 W

XV Piracicaba

DDLDWLDDLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/08 Noroeste
Brazil Paulista Cup
0-1 1-1 34 D
25/07 Comercial FC
Brazil Paulista Cup
0-1 0-2 123 L
23/07 Uniao Sao Joao
Brazil Paulista Cup
0-0 0-0 42 D
11/07 Cianorte
Brazil Serie D
0-0 0-0 93 D
04/07 Cianorte
Brazil Serie D
0-1 0-4 147 L
27/06 America RJ
Brazil Serie D
2-0 2-0 53 W
20/06 America RJ
Brazil Serie D
1-1 1-1 86 D
07/06 Nova Iguacu
Brazil Serie D
0-0 0-1 45 L
30/05 Noroeste
Brazil Serie D
0-1 1-1 74 D
24/05 Velo Clube SP
Brazil Serie D
0-0 1-1 114 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Noroeste vs XV Piracicaba?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Noroeste win (42%). Probabilities: Noroeste 42%, draw 29%, XV Piracicaba 29%.

How many goals are expected in Noroeste vs XV Piracicaba?

The model expects 2.33 goals (Noroeste 1.31 · XV Piracicaba 1.03), with a 52% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Noroeste vs XV Piracicaba?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.