Football · Romania Liga 2 · 07/11, 10:00

Prediction: FC Unirea 2004 Slobozia vs CSM Satu Mare

Team pages: FC Unirea 2004 Slobozia · CSM Satu Mare

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.23Total

FC Unirea 2004 Slobozia1.38

CSM Satu Mare0.85

1X2

49% 28% 23%

FC Unirea 2004 Slobozia Draw CSM Satu Mare

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 62% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Unirea 2004 Slobozia 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LLLWLLWLDW

CSM Satu Mare 1-5-4 (W-D-L)

LDLDDLDDLW

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Unirea 2004 Slobozia 1472 · CSM Satu Mare 1467

	FC Unirea 2004 Slobozia	Draw	CSM Satu Mare
Our model	48%	30%	22%
Market	50%	27%	23%

Estimated total (ours) 2.23 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Unirea 2004 Slobozia	CSM Satu Mare
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.1	0.8 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.3	0.5 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/60/10%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1 / 2.7	2.3 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0.2	5 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.80

X3.30

23.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.85

2 (+0.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.77

Under 2.252.02

Diff.: 0 · xG: 2.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:17

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.80 → 1.80	Pinn 1.85 ★
X	3.30 → 3.30	Pinn 3.34
2	3.80 → 3.80	Pinn 3.87

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.2% Pinnacle margin 9.9%

Time*	1	X	2
12:08 +9’	1.80	3.30	3.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
12:37 +39’	1.85	3.34	3.87

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · Romania Liga 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Chindia Targoviste	13	10	0	3	34	15	30
2	Stiinta Poli Timisoara	12	8	4	0	23	10	28
3	Gloria Popesti Leordeni	13	8	3	2	29	20	27
4	CSM Slatina	12	8	1	3	20	12	25
5	Scolar Resita	12	8	0	4	17	13	24
6	Cetate Suceava	12	6	4	2	24	14	22
7	CS Concordia Chiajna	12	7	1	4	28	19	22
8	AFC Metalul Buzau	12	6	3	3	14	9	21
9	FC Bihor Oradea	12	5	4	3	20	12	19
10	FC Bacau	12	5	3	4	23	14	18
11	Metaloglobus Bucuresti	12	5	3	4	17	16	18
12	Gloria Bistrita	12	6	0	6	15	15	18
13	CS Afumati	12	5	2	5	19	20	17
14	CSM Ramnicu Valcea	12	4	2	6	13	19	14
15	FC Unirea 2004 Slobozia	12	3	2	7	15	15	11
16	CSA Steaua Bucuresti	12	2	5	5	13	19	11
17	ASA Targu Mures	12	3	2	7	14	22	11
18	CSM Satu Mare	12	1	6	5	9	15	9
19	CSC 1599 Selimbar	12	2	3	7	8	22	9
20	CS Dinamo Bucuresti	12	2	2	8	16	32	8
21	CS Stefanesti	12	2	0	10	7	29	6
22	CSC Dumbravita	12	0	4	8	9	25	4

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Unirea 2004 Slobozia	CSM Satu Mare
CSC 1599 Selimbar	1-0 W	2-0 W
Chindia Targoviste	0-1 L	2-3 L
AFC Metalul Buzau	0-2 L	0-0 D
CS Dinamo Bucuresti	8-0 W	2-2 D
CS Afumati	1-2 L	0-2 L
Metaloglobus Bucuresti	1-2 L	1-1 D
Stiinta Poli Timisoara	0-1 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 5 L	1 W 4 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: CSM Satu Mare (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Unirea 2004 Slobozia

LLLWLLWLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	ASA Targu Mures Romania Liga 2	0-0	1-0	1	2	W
24/10	CS Concordia Chiajna Romania Liga 2	1-1	2-2	7	8	D
17/10	CSM Slatina Romania Liga 2	0-1	0-1	1	1	L
10/10	CSC 1599 Selimbar Romania Liga 2	1-0	1-0	3	4	W
19/09	Chindia Targoviste Romania Liga 2	0-0	0-1	4	3	L
13/09	AFC Metalul Buzau Romania Liga 2	0-0	0-2	0	3	L
05/09	CS Dinamo Bucuresti Romania Liga 2	5-0	8-0	3	4	W
29/08	CS Afumati Romania Liga 2	1-1	1-2	2	3	L
25/08	Metaloglobus Bucuresti Romania Liga 2	1-0	1-2	3	1	L
15/08	Stiinta Poli Timisoara Romania Liga 2	0-0	0-1	3	8	L

CSM Satu Mare

LDLDDLDDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	CSC 1599 Selimbar Romania Liga 2	1-0	2-0	4	7	W
25/10	Chindia Targoviste Romania Liga 2	0-2	2-3	3	2	L
17/10	AFC Metalul Buzau Romania Liga 2	0-0	0-0	8	7	D
10/10	CS Dinamo Bucuresti Romania Liga 2	2-1	2-2	7	9	D
19/09	CS Afumati Romania Liga 2	0-0	0-2	4	4	L
12/09	Metaloglobus Bucuresti Romania Liga 2	1-0	1-1	2	5	D
06/09	Stiinta Poli Timisoara Romania Liga 2	1-0	1-1	4	6	D
29/08	Gloria Bistrita Romania Liga 2	0-0	0-1	7	4	L
22/08	FC Bihor Oradea Romania Liga 2	0-0	0-0	4	1	D
15/08	Cetate Suceava Romania Liga 2	0-1	0-2	5	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Unirea 2004 Slobozia vs CSM Satu Mare?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Unirea 2004 Slobozia win (49%). Probabilities: FC Unirea 2004 Slobozia 49%, draw 28%, CSM Satu Mare 23%.

How many goals are expected in FC Unirea 2004 Slobozia vs CSM Satu Mare?

The model expects 2.23 goals (FC Unirea 2004 Slobozia 1.38 · CSM Satu Mare 0.85), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Unirea 2004 Slobozia vs CSM Satu Mare?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.