Football · Romania Liga 2 · 07/11, 10:00

Prediction: Gloria Bistrita vs Cetate Suceava

Team pages: Gloria Bistrita · Cetate Suceava

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.59Total

Gloria Bistrita1.29

Cetate Suceava1.3

1X2

36% 28% 36%

Gloria Bistrita Draw Cetate Suceava

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Gloria Bistrita 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

LLWWLLWLWL

Cetate Suceava 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

WLDDWDWWWD

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Gloria Bistrita 1472 · Cetate Suceava 1554

	Gloria Bistrita	Draw	Cetate Suceava
Our model	35%	29%	36%
Market	36%	27%	37%

Estimated total (ours) 2.59 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cetate Suceava (rating 1472 vs 1554).
High corners: 12.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 11.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Gloria Bistrita	Cetate Suceava
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.4	2.1 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 1.2	0.9 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/40/50%	40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 5.7	4.3 / 7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5 / 0.3	6.4 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.50

X3.30

22.45

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.93

2 (0)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.95

Under 2.51.85

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:17

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50
X	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
2	2.45 → 2.45	Pinn 2.71 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1% Pinnacle margin 9.8%

Time*	1	X	2
12:02 +15’	2.50	3.30	2.45

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
12:11 +6’	2.42	3.17	2.71

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · Romania Liga 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Chindia Targoviste	13	10	0	3	34	15	30
2	Stiinta Poli Timisoara	12	8	4	0	23	10	28
3	Gloria Popesti Leordeni	13	8	3	2	29	20	27
4	CSM Slatina	12	8	1	3	20	12	25
5	Scolar Resita	12	8	0	4	17	13	24
6	Cetate Suceava	12	6	4	2	24	14	22
7	CS Concordia Chiajna	12	7	1	4	28	19	22
8	AFC Metalul Buzau	12	6	3	3	14	9	21
9	FC Bihor Oradea	12	5	4	3	20	12	19
10	FC Bacau	12	5	3	4	23	14	18
11	Metaloglobus Bucuresti	12	5	3	4	17	16	18
12	Gloria Bistrita	12	6	0	6	15	15	18
13	CS Afumati	12	5	2	5	19	20	17
14	CSM Ramnicu Valcea	12	4	2	6	13	19	14
15	FC Unirea 2004 Slobozia	12	3	2	7	15	15	11
16	CSA Steaua Bucuresti	12	2	5	5	13	19	11
17	ASA Targu Mures	12	3	2	7	14	22	11
18	CSM Satu Mare	12	1	6	5	9	15	9
19	CSC 1599 Selimbar	12	2	3	7	8	22	9
20	CS Dinamo Bucuresti	12	2	2	8	16	32	8
21	CS Stefanesti	12	2	0	10	7	29	6
22	CSC Dumbravita	12	0	4	8	9	25	4

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Gloria Bistrita	Cetate Suceava
Scolar Resita	0-1 L	2-0 W
CSC Dumbravita	2-1 W	3-1 W
FC Bacau	0-3 L	2-2 D
CSM Ramnicu Valcea	1-0 W	4-0 W
CSA Steaua Bucuresti	1-2 L	2-2 D
Gloria Popesti Leordeni	2-3 L	1-1 D
CS Stefanesti	2-1 W	1-3 L
CSM Satu Mare	1-0 W	2-0 W
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 4 L	4 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Cetate Suceava (7 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Gloria Bistrita

LLWWLLWLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	Scolar Resita Romania Liga 2	0-1	0-1	8	9	L
24/10	CSC Dumbravita Romania Liga 2	1-1	2-1	4	5	W
18/10	FC Bacau Romania Liga 2	0-3	0-3	4	4	L
10/10	CSM Ramnicu Valcea Romania Liga 2	0-0	1-0	10	4	W
19/09	CSA Steaua Bucuresti Romania Liga 2	0-1	1-2	5	4	L
12/09	Gloria Popesti Leordeni Romania Liga 2	2-3	2-3	2	6	L
05/09	CS Stefanesti Romania Liga 2	2-1	2-1	5	3	W
29/08	CSM Satu Mare Romania Liga 2	0-0	1-0	13	4	W
22/08	ASA Targu Mures Romania Liga 2	0-1	0-1	1	5	L
15/08	CS Concordia Chiajna Romania Liga 2	1-1	1-2	5	9	L

Cetate Suceava

WLDDWDWWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	FC Bihor Oradea Romania Liga 2	2-2	2-2	14	10	D
24/10	CSM Slatina Romania Liga 2	1-0	2-0	12	9	W
17/10	Scolar Resita Romania Liga 2	2-0	2-0	8	11	W
10/10	CSC Dumbravita Romania Liga 2	0-0	3-1	5	3	W
19/09	FC Bacau Romania Liga 2	0-1	2-2	8	4	D
12/09	CSM Ramnicu Valcea Romania Liga 2	2-0	4-0	4	9	W
05/09	CSA Steaua Bucuresti Romania Liga 2	0-1	2-2	2	10	D
29/08	Gloria Popesti Leordeni Romania Liga 2	0-1	1-1	3	4	D
22/08	CS Stefanesti Romania Liga 2	1-2	1-3	7	2	L
15/08	CSM Satu Mare Romania Liga 2	1-0	2-0	7	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Gloria Bistrita vs Cetate Suceava?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Gloria Bistrita win (36%). Probabilities: Gloria Bistrita 36%, draw 28%, Cetate Suceava 36%.

How many goals are expected in Gloria Bistrita vs Cetate Suceava?

The model expects 2.59 goals (Gloria Bistrita 1.29 · Cetate Suceava 1.3), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Gloria Bistrita vs Cetate Suceava?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.