Football · Romania Liga 2 · 07/11, 10:00

Prediction: CSC 1599 Selimbar vs CS Stefanesti

Team pages: CSC 1599 Selimbar · CS Stefanesti

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.54Total

CSC 1599 Selimbar1.67

CS Stefanesti0.87

1X2

56% 25% 19%

CSC 1599 Selimbar Draw CS Stefanesti

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

CSC 1599 Selimbar 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LDWDLLLLWL

CS Stefanesti 1-0-9 (W-D-L)

LWLLLLLLLL

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CSC 1599 Selimbar 1436 · CS Stefanesti 1385

	CSC 1599 Selimbar	Draw	CS Stefanesti
Our model	55%	27%	18%
Market	57%	24%	20%

Estimated total (ours) 2.54 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CSC 1599 Selimbar (rating 1436 vs 1385).
Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CSC 1599 Selimbar	CS Stefanesti
Goals for / against (FT)	0.6 / 1.9	0.6 / 2.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.6	0.4 / 1.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/20/60%	20/0/80%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 3.7	1 / 3.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.6 / 0.1	3.6 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.57

X3.75

24.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.77

2 (+0.75)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.88

Under 2.51.93

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.85

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 13:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.67 → 1.57▼	Bet365 1.57
X	3.60 → 3.75▲	Pinn 3.92
2	4.10 → 4.50▲	Pinn 5.57 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 12.5% Pinnacle margin 9.9%

Time*	1	X	2
12:12 +6’	1.67	3.60	4.10
13:05 +10’	1.57▼	3.75▲	4.50▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
12:14 +3’	1.50	3.94	5.58
13:07 +8’	1.50▲	3.92▼	5.57▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Standings · Romania Liga 2

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Chindia Targoviste	13	10	0	3	34	15	30
2	Stiinta Poli Timisoara	12	8	4	0	23	10	28
3	Gloria Popesti Leordeni	13	8	3	2	29	20	27
4	CSM Slatina	12	8	1	3	20	12	25
5	Scolar Resita	12	8	0	4	17	13	24
6	Cetate Suceava	12	6	4	2	24	14	22
7	CS Concordia Chiajna	12	7	1	4	28	19	22
8	AFC Metalul Buzau	12	6	3	3	14	9	21
9	FC Bihor Oradea	12	5	4	3	20	12	19
10	FC Bacau	12	5	3	4	23	14	18
11	Metaloglobus Bucuresti	12	5	3	4	17	16	18
12	Gloria Bistrita	12	6	0	6	15	15	18
13	CS Afumati	12	5	2	5	19	20	17
14	CSM Ramnicu Valcea	12	4	2	6	13	19	14
15	FC Unirea 2004 Slobozia	12	3	2	7	15	15	11
16	CSA Steaua Bucuresti	12	2	5	5	13	19	11
17	ASA Targu Mures	12	3	2	7	14	22	11
18	CSM Satu Mare	12	1	6	5	9	15	9
19	CSC 1599 Selimbar	12	2	3	7	8	22	9
20	CS Dinamo Bucuresti	12	2	2	8	16	32	8
21	CS Stefanesti	12	2	0	10	7	29	6
22	CSC Dumbravita	12	0	4	8	9	25	4

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CSC 1599 Selimbar	CS Stefanesti
Chindia Targoviste	0-4 L	0-3 L
AFC Metalul Buzau	1-1 D	0-3 L
CS Dinamo Bucuresti	1-0 W	1-4 L
CS Afumati	1-1 D	0-4 L
Metaloglobus Bucuresti	1-3 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 2 L	0 W 0 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: CSC 1599 Selimbar (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CSC 1599 Selimbar

LDWDLLLLWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	CSM Satu Mare Romania Liga 2	0-1	0-2	4	7	L
25/10	ASA Targu Mures Romania Liga 2	0-0	1-0	3	3	W
17/10	CS Concordia Chiajna Romania Liga 2	0-1	0-5	7	6	L
10/10	FC Unirea 2004 Slobozia Romania Liga 2	0-1	0-1	5	4	L
19/09	CSM Slatina Romania Liga 2	1-0	1-2	5	2	L
13/09	Chindia Targoviste Romania Liga 2	0-1	0-4	0	7	L
05/09	AFC Metalul Buzau Romania Liga 2	0-1	1-1	3	4	D
29/08	CS Dinamo Bucuresti Romania Liga 2	1-0	1-0	2	8	W
23/08	CS Afumati Romania Liga 2	0-0	1-1	5	4	D
15/08	Metaloglobus Bucuresti Romania Liga 2	0-1	1-3	3	2	L

CS Stefanesti

LWLLLLLLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Chindia Targoviste Romania Liga 2	0-1	0-3	4	2	L
24/10	AFC Metalul Buzau Romania Liga 2	0-2	0-3	0	2	L
17/10	CS Dinamo Bucuresti Romania Liga 2	0-3	1-4	8	6	L
11/10	CS Afumati Romania Liga 2	0-2	0-4	3	4	L
19/09	Metaloglobus Bucuresti Romania Liga 2	0-1	0-1	2	6	L
12/09	Stiinta Poli Timisoara Romania Liga 2	1-0	1-2	5	4	L
05/09	Gloria Bistrita Romania Liga 2	1-2	1-2	4	3	L
29/08	FC Bihor Oradea Romania Liga 2	0-2	0-4	0	5	L
22/08	Cetate Suceava Romania Liga 2	2-1	3-1	7	2	W
15/08	Scolar Resita Romania Liga 2	0-1	0-2	1	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CSC 1599 Selimbar vs CS Stefanesti?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CSC 1599 Selimbar win (56%). Probabilities: CSC 1599 Selimbar 56%, draw 25%, CS Stefanesti 19%.

How many goals are expected in CSC 1599 Selimbar vs CS Stefanesti?

The model expects 2.54 goals (CSC 1599 Selimbar 1.67 · CS Stefanesti 0.87), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in CSC 1599 Selimbar vs CS Stefanesti?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.