Football · Romania Liga 2 · 10/11, 18:30
Prediction: AFC Metalul Buzau vs CSA Steaua Bucuresti
Team pages: AFC Metalul Buzau · CSA Steaua Bucuresti
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.52Total
AFC Metalul Buzau1.43
CSA Steaua Bucuresti1.09
1X2
AFC Metalul Buzau
Draw
CSA Steaua Bucuresti
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
AFC Metalul Buzau
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
CSA Steaua Bucuresti
2-5-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
AFC Metalul Buzau
1–2–1
CSA Steaua Bucuresti
(4 last)
- AFC Metalul Buzau1-1CSA Steaua Bucuresti
- CSA Steaua Bucuresti2-3AFC Metalul Buzau
- AFC Metalul Buzau0-1CSA Steaua Bucuresti
- AFC Metalul Buzau2-2CSA Steaua Bucuresti
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · AFC Metalul Buzau 1526 · CSA Steaua Bucuresti 1507
| AFC Metalul Buzau | Draw | CSA Steaua Bucuresti | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 29% | 28% |
| Market | 45% | 26% | 29% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.52 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| AFC Metalul Buzau | CSA Steaua Bucuresti | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 0.8 | 1.1 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.4 | 0.5 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 6.2 | 1.8 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0.2 | 4.2 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · AFC Metalul Buzau 1–2–1 CSA Steaua Bucuresti
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/11/25 Romania Liga 2 | AFC Metalul Buzau | 1-1 HT 0-0 | CSA Steaua Bucuresti |
| 11/10/24 Europe Friendlies | CSA Steaua Bucuresti | 2-3 HT 2-3 | AFC Metalul Buzau |
| 10/08/24 Romania Liga 2 | AFC Metalul Buzau | 0-1 HT 0-1 | CSA Steaua Bucuresti |
| 07/11/20 Romania Liga III | AFC Metalul Buzau | 2-2 HT 0-1 | CSA Steaua Bucuresti |
Standings · Romania Liga 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chindia Targoviste | 13 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 34 | 15 | 30 |
| 2 | Stiinta Poli Timisoara | 13 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 23 | 10 | 29 |
| 3 | CSM Slatina | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 12 | 28 |
| 4 | Gloria Popesti Leordeni | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 29 | 20 | 27 |
| 5 | CS Concordia Chiajna | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 33 | 19 | 25 |
| 6 | Scolar Resita | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 25 |
| 7 | Cetate Suceava | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 17 | 22 |
| 8 | AFC Metalul Buzau | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 9 | 21 |
| 9 | Gloria Bistrita | 13 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 18 | 16 | 21 |
| 9 | Metaloglobus Bucuresti | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 16 | 21 |
| 11 | FC Bacau | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 15 | 19 |
| 12 | FC Bihor Oradea | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 13 | 19 |
| 13 | CS Afumati | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 21 | 18 |
| 14 | CSM Ramnicu Valcea | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 21 | 17 |
| 15 | FC Unirea 2004 Slobozia | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 15 | 14 |
| 16 | CSA Steaua Bucuresti | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 11 |
| 17 | ASA Targu Mures | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 27 | 11 |
| 18 | CSM Satu Mare | 13 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 9 |
| 19 | CSC 1599 Selimbar | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 24 | 9 |
| 20 | CS Stefanesti | 13 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 9 | 29 | 9 |
| 21 | CS Dinamo Bucuresti | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 18 | 35 | 8 |
| 22 | CSC Dumbravita | 13 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 26 | 4 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
AFC Metalul Buzau
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Gloria Popesti Leordeni Romania Liga 2 |
1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 24/10 | CS Stefanesti Romania Liga 2 |
2-0 | 3-0 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 17/10 | CSM Satu Mare Romania Liga 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 10/10 | ASA Targu Mures Romania Liga 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 19/09 | CS Concordia Chiajna Romania Liga 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 13/09 | FC Unirea 2004 Slobozia Romania Liga 2 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 12 | 3 | W |
| 05/09 | CSC 1599 Selimbar Romania Liga 2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 29/08 | Chindia Targoviste Romania Liga 2 |
1-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 22/08 | CSM Slatina Romania Liga 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 15/08 | CS Dinamo Bucuresti Romania Liga 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
CSA Steaua Bucuresti
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10 | CS Dinamo Bucuresti Romania Liga 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 6 | D |
| 25/10 | CS Afumati Romania Liga 2 |
2-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 17/10 | Metaloglobus Bucuresti Romania Liga 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 08/10 | Stiinta Poli Timisoara Romania Liga 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 19/09 | Gloria Bistrita Romania Liga 2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 12/09 | FC Bihor Oradea Romania Liga 2 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 05/09 | Cetate Suceava Romania Liga 2 |
1-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 10 | D |
| 29/08 | Scolar Resita Romania Liga 2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 23/08 | CSC Dumbravita Romania Liga 2 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 10 | 4 | D |
| 16/08 | FC Bacau Romania Liga 2 |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in AFC Metalul Buzau vs CSA Steaua Bucuresti?
According to our model, the most likely result is a AFC Metalul Buzau win (44%). Probabilities: AFC Metalul Buzau 44%, draw 27%, CSA Steaua Bucuresti 28%.
How many goals are expected in AFC Metalul Buzau vs CSA Steaua Bucuresti?
The model expects 2.52 goals (AFC Metalul Buzau 1.43 · CSA Steaua Bucuresti 1.09), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in AFC Metalul Buzau vs CSA Steaua Bucuresti?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.