Prediction: Pamba SC vs Simba Sports Club
Team pages: Pamba SC · Simba Sports Club
- Simba Sports Club2-1Pamba SC
- Pamba SC1-1Simba Sports Club
- Simba Sports Club5-1Pamba SC
- Pamba SC0-1Simba Sports Club
| Pamba SC | Draw | Simba Sports Club | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 16% | 30% | 54% |
| Market | 18% | 26% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Simba Sports Club (rating 1446 vs 1600).
- H2H favours Simba Sports Club: 3-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Pamba SC | Simba Sports Club | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.4 | 1.5 / 0.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.6 | 0.6 / 0 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 56/44/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.3 / 4.1 | 2.7 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0 | 4.4 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Pamba SC 0–1–3 Simba Sports Club
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/06/26 Tanzania Premier League | Simba Sports Club | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Pamba SC |
| 19/03/26 Tanzania Premier League | Pamba SC | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Simba Sports Club |
| 08/05/25 Tanzania Premier League | Simba Sports Club | 5-1 HT 2-0 | Pamba SC |
| 22/11/24 Tanzania Premier League | Pamba SC | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Simba Sports Club |
Standings · Tanzania Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Singida Black Stars | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Young Africans | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Simba Sports Club | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Geita Gold | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Mashujaa FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Azam FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 6 | Dodoma Jiji FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 6 | JKT Tanzania | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 6 | Pamba SC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 6 | Polisi Tanzania FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 6 | TRA United | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 12 | Coastal Union | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 | Mbeya City | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 | Namungo FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 | Kagera Sugar | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 | Singida Fountain Gate FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Pamba SC | Simba Sports Club |
|---|---|---|
| Coastal Union | 1-2 L | 4-0 W |
| Mtibwa Sugar | 4-0 W | 3-0 W |
| KMC FC | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Azam FC | 0-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 2 L | 4 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Simba Sports Club (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pamba SC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Dodoma Jiji FC Tanzania Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 30/06 | Coastal Union Tanzania Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 27/06 | JKT Tanzania Tanzania Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 24/06 | Mbeya City Tanzania Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 18/06 | Mtibwa Sugar Tanzania Premier League |
2-0 | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 14/06 | Simba Sports Club Tanzania Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 26/05 | Tanzania Prisons Tanzania Premier League |
0-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 20/05 | KMC FC Tanzania Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 14/05 | Azam FC Tanzania Premier League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 10/05 | Dodoma Jiji FC Tanzania Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | D |
Simba Sports Club
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Kagera Sugar Tanzania Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 12/08 | Young Africans Tanzania Community Shield |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 31/07 | Singida Black Stars CECAFA Club Cup |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 28/07 | Jamus Juba CECAFA Club Cup |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 25/07 | Mogadishu City FC CECAFA Club Cup |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 04/07 | Azam FC Tanzania Cup |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 30/06 | KMC FC Tanzania Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 27/06 | Singida Black Stars Tanzania Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 24/06 | Mtibwa Sugar Tanzania Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 20/06 | Coastal Union Tanzania Cup |
1-0 | 4-0 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pamba SC vs Simba Sports Club?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Simba Sports Club win (55%). Probabilities: Pamba SC 17%, draw 28%, Simba Sports Club 55%.
How many goals are expected in Pamba SC vs Simba Sports Club?
The model expects 2.06 goals (Pamba SC 0.65 · Simba Sports Club 1.4), with a 55% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Pamba SC vs Simba Sports Club?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.