Football · Tanzania Premier League · 07/09, 18:00
Prediction: Azam FC vs Namungo FC
Team pages: Azam FC · Namungo FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.45Total
Azam FC1.93
Namungo FC0.52
1X2
Azam FC
Draw
Namungo FC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53%
Not both to score 54%
Most likely score
2-0 16%
Recent form · 10 last
Azam FC
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
Namungo FC
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Azam FC
4–2–0
Namungo FC
(6 last)
- Azam FC1-0Namungo FC
- Namungo FC1-1Azam FC
- Azam FC1-1Namungo FC
- Namungo FC0-1Azam FC
- Azam FC4-1Namungo FC
- Namungo FC0-2Azam FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Azam FC 1572 · Namungo FC 1494
| Azam FC | Draw | Namungo FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 70% | 21% | 8% |
| Market | 72% | 19% | 9% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.45 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Azam FC (rating 1572 vs 1494).
- H2H favours Azam FC: 4-2-0.
- High corners: 11 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Azam FC | Namungo FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 0.8 | 1.2 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.3 | 0.6 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/40/10% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.2 / 6.8 | 1.7 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.3 | 2.1 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Azam FC 4–2–0 Namungo FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/05/26 Tanzania Premier League | Azam FC | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Namungo FC |
| 09/11/25 Tanzania Premier League | Namungo FC | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Azam FC |
| 27/02/25 Tanzania Premier League | Azam FC | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Namungo FC |
| 03/10/24 Tanzania Premier League | Namungo FC | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Azam FC |
| 03/05/24 Tanzania Cup | Azam FC | 4-1 HT 3-1 | Namungo FC |
| 14/04/24 Tanzania Premier League | Namungo FC | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Azam FC |
Standings · Tanzania Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Young Africans | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 2 | 15 |
| 2 | Simba Sports Club | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 15 |
| 3 | Azam FC | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 11 |
| 4 | Singida Black Stars | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 10 |
| 5 | Mbeya City | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 10 |
| 6 | Geita Gold | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 7 |
| 7 | Polisi Tanzania FC | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 7 |
| 8 | Dodoma Jiji FC | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 9 | JKT Tanzania | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 7 |
| 10 | Mashujaa FC | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
| 11 | Namungo FC | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 6 |
| 12 | Coastal Union | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 4 |
| 13 | TRA United | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
| 14 | Singida Fountain Gate FC | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 3 |
| 15 | Pamba SC | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 1 |
| 16 | Kagera Sugar | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 1 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Azam FC | Namungo FC |
|---|---|---|
| Geita Gold | 2-2 D | 1-0 W |
| TRA United | 2-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Coastal Union | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Young Africans | 0-3 L | 1-3 L |
| Singida Fountain Gate FC | 2-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 1 L | 2 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Azam FC (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Azam FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08 | Kagera Sugar Tanzania Premier League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 28/08 | Geita Gold Tanzania Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 3 | D |
| 23/08 | Pamba SC Tanzania Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 20/08 | TRA United Tanzania Premier League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 15/08 | Polisi Tanzania FC Tanzania Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 30/06 | Dodoma Jiji FC Tanzania Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 12 | 4 | W |
| 27/06 | Coastal Union Tanzania Premier League |
2-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 24/06 | Young Africans Tanzania Premier League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 16/06 | Mashujaa FC Tanzania Premier League |
2-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 12/06 | Singida Fountain Gate FC Tanzania Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
Namungo FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09 | Singida Black Stars Tanzania Premier League |
1-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 29/08 | JKT Tanzania Tanzania Premier League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 25/08 | Singida Fountain Gate FC Tanzania Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 18/08 | Geita Gold Tanzania Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 15/08 | Young Africans Tanzania Premier League |
0-0 | 1-3 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 30/06 | Mtibwa Sugar Tanzania Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 27/06 | Singida Fountain Gate FC Tanzania Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 24/06 | KMC FC Tanzania Premier League |
2-1 | 3-2 | 11 | 0 | W |
| 16/06 | TRA United Tanzania Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 12/06 | Coastal Union Tanzania Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Azam FC vs Namungo FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Azam FC win (71%). Probabilities: Azam FC 71%, draw 20%, Namungo FC 9%.
How many goals are expected in Azam FC vs Namungo FC?
The model expects 2.45 goals (Azam FC 1.93 · Namungo FC 0.52), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Azam FC vs Namungo FC?
The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.