Football · Tanzania Premier League · 05/09, 18:00

Prediction: JKT Tanzania vs Pamba SC

Team pages: JKT Tanzania · Pamba SC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.48Total

JKT Tanzania1.52

Pamba SC0.96

1X2

49% 29% 23%

JKT Tanzania Draw Pamba SC

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

JKT Tanzania 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

DLLDWLDLLW

Pamba SC 1-1-8 (W-D-L)

LLWLLLDLLL

Head-to-head

JKT Tanzania 3–1–2 Pamba SC (6 last)

Pamba SC1-2JKT Tanzania
JKT Tanzania3-0Pamba SC
Pamba SC1-0JKT Tanzania
JKT Tanzania3-1Pamba SC
JKT Tanzania0-0Pamba SC
Pamba SC1-0JKT Tanzania

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · JKT Tanzania 1468 · Pamba SC 1408

	JKT Tanzania	Draw	Pamba SC
Our model	49%	28%	23%
Market	49%	29%	22%

Estimated total (ours) 2.48 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours JKT Tanzania (rating 1468 vs 1408).
H2H favours JKT Tanzania: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	JKT Tanzania	Pamba SC
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 1.7	1.2 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 1	0.6 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/30/60%	10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 3.7	1.6 / 3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0.2	2.9 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.85

X3.10

24.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.95

2 (+0.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 21.90

Under 21.90

Diff.: 0.75 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:40

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.85 → 1.85	Bet365 1.85
X	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
2	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
16:38 +2’	1.85	3.10	4.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · JKT Tanzania 3–1–2 Pamba SC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
27/06/26 Tanzania Premier League	Pamba SC	1-2 HT 1-1	JKT Tanzania
02/02/26 Tanzania Premier League	JKT Tanzania	3-0 HT 1-0	Pamba SC
18/06/25 Tanzania Premier League	Pamba SC	1-0 HT 1-0	JKT Tanzania
14/04/25 Tanzania Cup	JKT Tanzania	3-1 HT 1-0	Pamba SC
11/12/24 Tanzania Premier League	JKT Tanzania	0-0 HT 0-0	Pamba SC
06/05/23 Tanzania First Division	Pamba SC	1-0 HT 0-0	JKT Tanzania

Standings · Tanzania Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Young Africans	5	5	0	0	15	2	15
2	Simba Sports Club	5	5	0	0	9	2	15
3	Azam FC	5	3	2	0	9	5	11
4	Singida Black Stars	5	3	1	1	12	7	10
5	Mbeya City	5	3	1	1	6	2	10
6	Geita Gold	5	2	1	2	9	7	7
7	Polisi Tanzania FC	4	2	1	1	6	5	7
8	Dodoma Jiji FC	5	2	1	2	3	4	7
9	Mashujaa FC	5	2	0	3	4	5	6
10	Namungo FC	5	2	0	3	6	8	6
11	JKT Tanzania	4	1	1	2	3	8	4
12	TRA United	5	0	3	2	3	5	3
13	Singida Fountain Gate FC	5	1	0	4	1	8	3
14	Pamba SC	4	0	1	3	3	7	1
15	Coastal Union	4	0	1	3	2	7	1
16	Kagera Sugar	5	0	1	4	4	13	1

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	JKT Tanzania	Pamba SC
Young Africans	0-4 L	0-2 L
Dodoma Jiji FC	0-0 D	1-1 D
Tanzania Prisons	0-1 L	2-3 L
Mtibwa Sugar	2-2 D	4-0 W
Record vs common	0 W 2 D 2 L	1 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Pamba SC (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

JKT Tanzania

DLLDWLDLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Namungo FC Tanzania Premier League	0-0	2-1	3	4	W
24/08	Young Africans Tanzania Premier League	0-3	0-4	1	4	L
20/08	Polisi Tanzania FC Tanzania Premier League	0-1	0-2	9	2	L
16/08	TRA United Tanzania Premier League	0-1	1-1	4	2	D
30/06	Young Africans Tanzania Premier League	0-1	0-3	0	4	L
27/06	Pamba SC Tanzania Premier League	1-1	2-1	5	1	W
24/06	Dodoma Jiji FC Tanzania Premier League	0-0	0-0	3	5	D
18/06	Tanzania Prisons Tanzania Premier League	0-1	0-1	6	9	L
13/06	Singida Black Stars Tanzania Premier League	0-1	1-2	2	2	L
24/05	Mtibwa Sugar Tanzania Premier League	2-1	2-2	–	–	D

Pamba SC

LLWLLLDLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/08	Young Africans Tanzania Premier League	0-2	0-2	1	2	L
23/08	Azam FC Tanzania Premier League	1-1	1-2	4	4	L
19/08	Simba Sports Club Tanzania Premier League	0-2	1-2	0	6	L
14/08	Dodoma Jiji FC Tanzania Premier League	1-1	1-1	7	1	D
30/06	Coastal Union Tanzania Premier League	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
27/06	JKT Tanzania Tanzania Premier League	1-1	1-2	3	1	L
24/06	Mbeya City Tanzania Premier League	0-1	0-2	3	1	L
18/06	Mtibwa Sugar Tanzania Premier League	2-0	4-0	–	–	W
14/06	Simba Sports Club Tanzania Premier League	1-1	1-2	3	6	L
26/05	Tanzania Prisons Tanzania Premier League	0-1	2-3	3	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in JKT Tanzania vs Pamba SC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a JKT Tanzania win (49%). Probabilities: JKT Tanzania 49%, draw 29%, Pamba SC 23%.

How many goals are expected in JKT Tanzania vs Pamba SC?

The model expects 2.48 goals (JKT Tanzania 1.52 · Pamba SC 0.96), with a 55% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in JKT Tanzania vs Pamba SC?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.