Football · Italy Serie C Group B · 23/08, 21:00

Prediction: Sambenedettese vs Forli

Team pages: Sambenedettese · Forli

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2Total
Sambenedettese1.07
Forli0.94
1X2
38% 31% 31%
Sambenedettese Draw Forli
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 61% Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Sambenedettese 3-4-3 (W-D-L)
LDLWLDDDWW
Forli 2-4-4 (W-D-L)
WLDDLDLLWD
Head-to-head
Sambenedettese 2–3 Forli (5 last)
  • Forli0-2Sambenedettese
  • Sambenedettese1-2Forli
  • Forli3-1Sambenedettese
  • Sambenedettese1-2Forli
  • Forli0-1Sambenedettese
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sambenedettese 1518 · Forli 1492
SambenedetteseDrawForli
Our model37%33%30%
Market39%30%32%
Estimated total (ours) 2 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Forli: 3-0-2.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

SambenedetteseForli
Goals for / against (FT)0.7 / 0.71 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 0.20.6 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/60/20%30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)1.2 / 3.72.5 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.7 / 0.33.5 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Sambenedettese 203 Forli

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DateHomeScoreAway
18/01/26
Italy Serie C Group B
Forli0-2
HT 0-2
Sambenedettese
07/09/25
Italy Serie C Group B
Sambenedettese1-2
HT 0-0
Forli
11/05/25
Italy Serie D
Forli3-1
HT 3-1
Sambenedettese
12/02/17
Italy Serie C Group B
Sambenedettese1-2
HT 0-0
Forli
24/09/16
Italy Serie C Group B
Forli0-1
HT 0-1
Sambenedettese

Standings · Italy Serie C Group B

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#Team PWL GFGAPts
1 FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937 110 303
2 Pescara 110 203
2 FC Vado 110 203
4 AS Ostia Mare 000 000
4 ASD Pineto Calcio 000 000
4 Campobasso 000 000
4 Forli 000 000
4 US Latina Calcio 000 000
4 Perugia 000 000
4 Ravenna 000 000
4 AC Reggiana 000 000
4 Torres 000 000
4 Spezia 000 000
4 Grosseto 000 000
4 Livorno 000 000
4 US Pianese 000 000
4 Sambenedettese 000 000
18 Atalanta U23 101 020
18 Vis Pesaro 101 020
20 Gubbio 101 030

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentSambenedetteseForli
ASD Pineto Calcio 0-0 D 2-3 L
Campobasso 0-1 L 0-2 L
Ascoli 0-1 L 0-3 L
Livorno 0-0 D 1-1 D
Record vs common 0 W 2 D 2 L 0 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Sambenedettese (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sambenedettese

LDLWLDDDWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
26/04 Vis Pesaro
Italy Serie C Group B
1-0 3-2 56 W
18/04 Pontedera
Italy Serie C Group B
2-0 2-1 62 W
04/04 Arezzo
Italy Serie C Group B
0-0 0-0 14 D
29/03 ASD Pineto Calcio
Italy Serie C Group B
0-0 0-0 57 D
20/03 Ternana
Italy Serie C Group B
0-0 1-1 23 D
14/03 Campobasso
Italy Serie C Group B
0-1 0-1 67 L
08/03 FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937
Italy Serie C Group B
0-0 1-0 46 W
04/03 Ascoli
Italy Serie C Group B
0-0 0-1 15 L
28/02 Livorno
Italy Serie C Group B
0-0 0-0 46 D
21/02 Ravenna
Italy Serie C Group B
0-1 0-1 34 L

Forli

WLDDLDLLWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
26/04 Perugia
Italy Serie C Group B
0-0 1-1 30 D
18/04 AC Carpi
Italy Serie C Group B
1-0 1-0 46 W
11/04 Ascoli
Italy Serie C Group B
0-1 0-3 34 L
04/04 AC Bra
Italy Serie C Group B
1-1 1-2 73 L
29/03 US Pianese
Italy Serie C Group B
0-0 0-0 83 D
21/03 Campobasso
Italy Serie C Group B
0-0 0-2 84 L
15/03 Juventus U23
Italy Serie C Group B
1-0 2-2 74 D
08/03 Livorno
Italy Serie C Group B
1-1 1-1 23 D
04/03 ASD Pineto Calcio
Italy Serie C Group B
0-1 2-3 45 L
28/02 Torres
Italy Serie C Group B
2-0 2-0 44 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sambenedettese vs Forli?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Sambenedettese win (38%). Probabilities: Sambenedettese 38%, draw 31%, Forli 31%.

How many goals are expected in Sambenedettese vs Forli?

The model expects 2 goals (Sambenedettese 1.07 · Forli 0.94), with a 56% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Sambenedettese vs Forli?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.