Football · Italy Serie C Group B · 04/10, 14:30

Prediction: FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937 vs ASD Pineto Calcio

Team pages: FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937 · ASD Pineto Calcio

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.37Total
FC Guidonia Montecelio 19371.38
ASD Pineto Calcio0.99
1X2
45% 29% 26%
FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937 Draw ASD Pineto Calcio
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937 2-3-5 (W-D-L)
LLLWLWDDDL
ASD Pineto Calcio 1-5-4 (W-D-L)
DLLDDLWDDL
Head-to-head
FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937 0–1–1 ASD Pineto Calcio (2 last)
  • ASD Pineto Calcio3-3FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937
  • FC Guidonia Montecelio 19370-2ASD Pineto Calcio
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937 1491 · ASD Pineto Calcio 1432
FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937DrawASD Pineto Calcio
Our model44%30%26%
Market45%29%26%
Estimated total (ours) 2.37 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937 (rating 1491 vs 1432).
  • Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937ASD Pineto Calcio
Goals for / against (FT)1.1 / 1.20.7 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.80.2 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/40/50%0/60/40%
Corners (HT / FT)1.8 / 3.21.1 / 3.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.6 / 0.24.6 / 0.6

Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937 0–1–1 ASD Pineto Calcio

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DateHomeScoreAway
11/01/26
Italy Serie C Group B
ASD Pineto Calcio3-3
HT 3-1
FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937
01/09/25
Italy Serie C Group B
FC Guidonia Montecelio 19370-2
HT 0-1
ASD Pineto Calcio

Standings · Italy Serie C Group B

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Spezia 7610 14419
2 Ravenna 7520 12217
3 Grosseto 7430 13415
4 AC Reggiana 7421 12614
5 Livorno 7421 10814
6 Campobasso 7322 111011
7 Torres 7322 8811
8 Forli 7241 131110
9 Perugia 7313 61110
10 Atalanta U23 6303 799
11 FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937 7232 979
12 Pescara 7223 9118
13 AS Ostia Mare 7214 897
14 Gubbio 7214 9137
15 ASD Pineto Calcio 7142 6107
16 US Latina Calcio 6123 585
16 FC Vado 7124 585
18 Vis Pesaro 7115 8164
19 US Pianese 7034 493
20 Sambenedettese 7025 8132

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentFC Guidonia Montecelio 1937ASD Pineto Calcio
Livorno 1-1 D 0-0 D
US Latina Calcio 1-1 D 0-0 D
Gubbio 3-0 W 0-2 L
Record vs common 1 W 2 D 0 L 0 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937 (1 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937

LLLWLWDDDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/09 Vis Pesaro
Italy Serie C Group B
1-2 1-2 41 L
21/09 Livorno
Italy Serie C Group B
0-1 1-1 24 D
16/09 US Latina Calcio
Italy Serie C Group B
0-1 1-1 36 D
12/09 AC Reggiana
Italy Serie C Group B
1-1 1-1 22 D
05/09 US Pianese
Italy Serie C Group B
0-0 1-0 13 W
30/08 Atalanta U23
Italy Serie C Group B
0-1 1-2 23 L
22/08 Gubbio
Italy Serie C Group B
1-0 3-0 34 W
26/04 AC Carpi
Italy Serie C Group B
1-2 2-3 61 L
18/04 Ascoli
Italy Serie C Group B
0-0 0-1 42 L
12/04 Juventus U23
Italy Serie C Group B
0-0 0-1 52 L

ASD Pineto Calcio

DLLDDLWDDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
26/09 Grosseto
Italy Serie C Group B
0-3 0-4 35 L
20/09 Campobasso
Italy Serie C Group B
0-2 2-2 03 D
16/09 Forli
Italy Serie C Group B
1-1 1-1 64 D
12/09 Sambenedettese
Italy Serie C Group B
0-0 2-1 57 W
06/09 Perugia
Italy Serie C Group B
1-1 1-2 32 L
29/08 Livorno
Italy Serie C Group B
0-0 0-0 89 D
23/08 US Latina Calcio
Italy Serie C Group B
0-0 0-0 43 D
26/04 Gubbio
Italy Serie C Group B
0-1 0-2 47 L
18/04 Arezzo
Italy Serie C Group B
0-1 1-4 06 L
11/04 Torres
Italy Serie C Group B
0-0 0-0 06 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937 vs ASD Pineto Calcio?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937 win (45%). Probabilities: FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937 45%, draw 29%, ASD Pineto Calcio 26%.

How many goals are expected in FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937 vs ASD Pineto Calcio?

The model expects 2.37 goals (FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937 1.38 · ASD Pineto Calcio 0.99), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937 vs ASD Pineto Calcio?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.