Football · Italy Serie C Group B · 04/10, 14:30
Prediction: US Pianese vs Ravenna
Team pages: US Pianese · Ravenna
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.91Total
US Pianese0.63
Ravenna1.28
1X2
US Pianese
Draw
Ravenna
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 58%
Not both to score 54%
Most likely score
0-1 18%
Recent form · 10 last
US Pianese
1-5-4 (W-D-L)
Ravenna
8-2-0 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
US Pianese
0–2–2
Ravenna
(4 last)
- Ravenna0-0US Pianese
- US Pianese0-1Ravenna
- US Pianese2-2Ravenna
- Ravenna1-0US Pianese
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · US Pianese 1464 · Ravenna 1612
| US Pianese | Draw | Ravenna | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 17% | 32% | 51% |
| Market | 20% | 26% | 54% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.91 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 70%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ravenna (rating 1464 vs 1612).
- H2H favours Ravenna: 2-2-0.
- High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| US Pianese | Ravenna | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.1 | 1.5 / 0.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.6 | 0.6 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 5.7 | 2.4 / 5.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.2 | 2.2 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · US Pianese 0–2–2 Ravenna
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/03/26 Italy Serie C Group B | Ravenna | 0-0 HT 0-0 | US Pianese |
| 26/10/25 Italy Serie C Group B | US Pianese | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Ravenna |
| 19/02/17 Italy Serie D | US Pianese | 2-2 | Ravenna |
| 16/10/16 Italy Serie D | Ravenna | 1-0 | US Pianese |
Standings · Italy Serie C Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spezia | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 4 | 19 |
| 2 | Ravenna | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 2 | 17 |
| 3 | Grosseto | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 13 | 4 | 15 |
| 4 | AC Reggiana | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 14 |
| 5 | Livorno | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 14 |
| 6 | Campobasso | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 10 | 11 |
| 7 | Torres | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 11 |
| 8 | Forli | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 11 | 10 |
| 9 | Perugia | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 10 |
| 10 | Atalanta U23 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 9 |
| 11 | FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 9 |
| 12 | Pescara | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 8 |
| 13 | AS Ostia Mare | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 7 |
| 14 | Gubbio | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 7 |
| 15 | ASD Pineto Calcio | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 7 |
| 16 | US Latina Calcio | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 5 |
| 16 | FC Vado | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 5 |
| 18 | Vis Pesaro | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 4 |
| 19 | US Pianese | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 3 |
| 20 | Sambenedettese | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 2 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
US Pianese
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | Livorno Italy Serie C Group B |
0-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 21/09 | Sambenedettese Italy Serie C Group B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 16/09 | Torres Italy Serie C Group B |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 12/09 | Grosseto Italy Serie C Group B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 05/09 | FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937 Italy Serie C Group B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 28/08 | FC Vado Italy Serie C Group B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 23/08 | Campobasso Italy Serie C Group B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 26/04 | Ternana Italy Serie C Group B |
0-1 | 3-1 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 18/04 | Juventus U23 Italy Serie C Group B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 11/04 | Gubbio Italy Serie C Group B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
Ravenna
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Gubbio Italy Serie C Group B |
2-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 20/09 | Atalanta U23 Italy Serie C Group B |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 16/09 | AS Ostia Mare Italy Serie C Group B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 13/09 | Perugia Italy Serie C Group B |
0-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 06/09 | Pescara Italy Serie C Group B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 29/08 | US Latina Calcio Italy Serie C Group B |
2-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 24/08 | AC Reggiana Italy Serie C Group B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 18/04 | Vis Pesaro Italy Serie C Group B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 12/04 | Pontedera Italy Serie C Group B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 04/04 | ASD Pineto Calcio Italy Serie C Group B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in US Pianese vs Ravenna?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Ravenna win (53%). Probabilities: US Pianese 19%, draw 29%, Ravenna 53%.
How many goals are expected in US Pianese vs Ravenna?
The model expects 1.91 goals (US Pianese 0.63 · Ravenna 1.28), with a 55% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in US Pianese vs Ravenna?
The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.