Football · Tunisia League 1 · 23/08, 17:30
Prediction: Bizertin vs Avenir de La Marsa
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.76Total
Bizertin1.12
Avenir de La Marsa0.64
1X2
Bizertin
Draw
Avenir de La Marsa
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 54%
Not both to score 55%
Most likely score
0-0
Recent form · 10 last
Bizertin
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Avenir de La Marsa
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Bizertin
2–2–2
Avenir de La Marsa
(6 last)
- Bizertin1-2Avenir de La Marsa
- Bizertin1-1Avenir de La Marsa
- Avenir de La Marsa2-0Bizertin
- Avenir de La Marsa2-2Bizertin
- Bizertin1-0Avenir de La Marsa
- Bizertin3-1Avenir de La Marsa
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Bizertin 1448 · Avenir de La Marsa 1494
| Bizertin | Draw | Avenir de La Marsa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 34% | 20% |
| Market | 48% | 30% | 22% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.76 goals · Bet365 line 1.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 66%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Avenir de La Marsa (rating 1448 vs 1494).
- Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Bizertin | Avenir de La Marsa | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 0.9 | 0.8 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.7 | 0.6 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/60/40% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 4.8 | 0.6 / 1.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0.1 | 3.3 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Bizertin 2–2–2 Avenir de La Marsa
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/05/26 Tunisia League 1 | Bizertin | 1-2 HT 1-2 | Avenir de La Marsa |
| 22/03/26 Tunisia Cup | Bizertin | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Avenir de La Marsa |
| 05/11/25 Tunisia League 1 | Avenir de La Marsa | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Bizertin |
| 01/06/24 Tunisia League 1 | Avenir de La Marsa | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Bizertin |
| 09/03/24 Tunisia League 1 | Bizertin | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Avenir de La Marsa |
| 25/11/23 Tunisia League 1 | Bizertin | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Avenir de La Marsa |
Standings · Tunisia League 1
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Progres Sakiet Eddaier | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Avenir de La Marsa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Bizertin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Club Africain | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | CS Hammam Lif | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | CS Sfaxien | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | ES Hammam Sousse | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | ES Metlaoui | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Etoile Sportive Sahel | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | ES Zarzis | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Esperance de Tunis | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | JS Omrane | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Olympique de Beja | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Stade Tunisien | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | US Ben Guerdane | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | US Monastir | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Bizertin | Avenir de La Marsa |
|---|---|---|
| ES Zarzis | 0-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Etoile Sportive Sahel | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Olympique de Beja | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Esperance de Tunis | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Stade Tunisien | 1-1 D | 0-4 L |
| AS Soliman | 1-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 3 L | 3 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Avenir de La Marsa (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Bizertin
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/05 | ES Zarzis Tunisia League 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 09/05 | Etoile Sportive Sahel Tunisia League 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 04/05 | Avenir de La Marsa Tunisia League 1 |
1-2 | 1-2 | 11 | 6 | L |
| 30/04 | Olympique de Beja Tunisia League 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 26/04 | Esperance de Tunis Tunisia League 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 11/04 | Stade Tunisien Tunisia League 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 03/04 | AS Soliman Tunisia League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 08/03 | JS Kairouanaise Tunisia League 1 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 28/02 | US Monastir Tunisia League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 13/02 | AS Gabes Tunisia League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | D |
Avenir de La Marsa
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/05 | JS Omrane Tunisia League 1 |
1-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 09/05 | CS Sfaxien Tunisia League 1 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 04/05 | Bizertin Tunisia League 1 |
2-1 | 2-1 | 0 | 6 | W |
| 30/04 | ES Zarzis Tunisia League 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 3 | W |
| 25/04 | Etoile Sportive Sahel Tunisia League 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 13/04 | ES Metlaoui Tunisia League 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 03/04 | Olympique de Beja Tunisia League 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 07/03 | Esperance de Tunis Tunisia League 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 28/02 | Stade Tunisien Tunisia League 1 |
0-2 | 0-4 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 14/02 | AS Soliman Tunisia League 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Bizertin vs Avenir de La Marsa?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Bizertin win (47%). Probabilities: Bizertin 47%, draw 32%, Avenir de La Marsa 21%.
How many goals are expected in Bizertin vs Avenir de La Marsa?
The model expects 1.76 goals (Bizertin 1.12 · Avenir de La Marsa 0.64), with a 50% chance of over 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Bizertin vs Avenir de La Marsa?
The model gives a 55% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.