Football · Tunisia League 1 · 30/08, 17:30
Prediction: Olympique de Beja vs US Ben Guerdane
Team pages: Olympique de Beja
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.82Total
Olympique de Beja1
US Ben Guerdane0.83
1X2
Olympique de Beja
Draw
US Ben Guerdane
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 56%
Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
0-0 18%
Recent form · 10 last
Olympique de Beja
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
US Ben Guerdane
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Olympique de Beja
3–2–1
US Ben Guerdane
(6 last)
- Olympique de Beja2-2US Ben Guerdane
- US Ben Guerdane2-0Olympique de Beja
- Olympique de Beja0-0US Ben Guerdane
- US Ben Guerdane0-1Olympique de Beja
- Olympique de Beja2-1US Ben Guerdane
- US Ben Guerdane0-1Olympique de Beja
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Olympique de Beja 1485 · US Ben Guerdane 1469
| Olympique de Beja | Draw | US Ben Guerdane | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 35% | 28% |
| Market | 38% | 33% | 29% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.82 goals · Bet365 line 1.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 70%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Olympique de Beja: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Olympique de Beja | US Ben Guerdane | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 1.2 | 0.5 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.6 | 0.1 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 10/60/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 2.6 | 1.5 / 2.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0 | 5 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Olympique de Beja 3–2–1 US Ben Guerdane
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/01/26 Tunisia League 1 | Olympique de Beja | 2-2 HT 1-0 | US Ben Guerdane |
| 10/08/25 Tunisia League 1 | US Ben Guerdane | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Olympique de Beja |
| 08/02/25 Tunisia League 1 | Olympique de Beja | 0-0 HT 0-0 | US Ben Guerdane |
| 29/09/24 Tunisia League 1 | US Ben Guerdane | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Olympique de Beja |
| 02/06/24 Tunisia League 1 | Olympique de Beja | 2-1 HT 1-1 | US Ben Guerdane |
| 10/03/24 Tunisia League 1 | US Ben Guerdane | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Olympique de Beja |
Standings · Tunisia League 1
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Progres Sakiet Eddaier | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Esperance de Tunis | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Bizertin | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Club Africain | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | ES Zarzis | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | CS Sfaxien | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 6 | Stade Tunisien | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 8 | ES Hammam Sousse | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | US Monastir | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | CS Hammam Lif | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | US Ben Guerdane | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Etoile Sportive Sahel | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 | Avenir de La Marsa | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 | ES Metlaoui | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 | Olympique de Beja | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 | JS Omrane | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Olympique de Beja | US Ben Guerdane |
|---|---|---|
| Club Africain | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| JS Omrane | 2-1 W | 1-2 L |
| CS Sfaxien | 0-2 L | 0-1 L |
| ES Metlaoui | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| Esperance de Tunis | 0-3 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 2 L | 0 W 1 D 4 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Olympique de Beja
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | ES Zarzis Tunisia League 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 14/05 | Club Africain Tunisia League 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 08/05 | JS Omrane Tunisia League 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 03/05 | CS Sfaxien Tunisia League 1 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 30/04 | Bizertin Tunisia League 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 26/04 | ES Zarzis Tunisia League 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 11/04 | Etoile Sportive Sahel Tunisia League 1 |
1-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 03/04 | Avenir de La Marsa Tunisia League 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 07/03 | ES Metlaoui Tunisia League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 01/03 | Esperance de Tunis Tunisia League 1 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 6 | L |
US Ben Guerdane
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/05 | Esperance de Tunis Tunisia League 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 08/05 | Stade Tunisien Tunisia League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 03/05 | AS Soliman Tunisia League 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 30/04 | JS Kairouanaise Tunisia League 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 25/04 | US Monastir Tunisia League 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 10/04 | AS Gabes Tunisia League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 05/04 | ES Metlaoui Tunisia League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 08/03 | Club Africain Tunisia League 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 27/02 | JS Omrane Tunisia League 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 10 | L |
| 15/02 | CS Sfaxien Tunisia League 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Olympique de Beja vs US Ben Guerdane?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Olympique de Beja win (38%). Probabilities: Olympique de Beja 38%, draw 34%, US Ben Guerdane 28%.
How many goals are expected in Olympique de Beja vs US Ben Guerdane?
The model expects 1.82 goals (Olympique de Beja 1 · US Ben Guerdane 0.83), with a 50% chance of over 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Olympique de Beja vs US Ben Guerdane?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.