Prediction: Etoile Sportive Sahel vs ES Metlaoui
Team pages: Etoile Sportive Sahel · ES Metlaoui
- ES Metlaoui2-0Etoile Sportive Sahel
- Etoile Sportive Sahel2-0ES Metlaoui
- Etoile Sportive Sahel2-1ES Metlaoui
- ES Metlaoui0-0Etoile Sportive Sahel
- ES Metlaoui1-1Etoile Sportive Sahel
- Etoile Sportive Sahel2-0ES Metlaoui
| Etoile Sportive Sahel | Draw | ES Metlaoui | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 27% | 15% |
| Market | 57% | 28% | 15% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Etoile Sportive Sahel: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Etoile Sportive Sahel | ES Metlaoui | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.5 | 0.5 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.8 | 0.3 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.6 / 6.7 | 2 / 3.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.1 | 3.4 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Etoile Sportive Sahel 3–2–1 ES Metlaoui
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/04/26 Tunisia League 1 | ES Metlaoui | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Etoile Sportive Sahel |
| 01/11/25 Tunisia League 1 | Etoile Sportive Sahel | 2-0 HT 0-0 | ES Metlaoui |
| 22/02/25 Tunisia League 1 | Etoile Sportive Sahel | 2-1 HT 2-0 | ES Metlaoui |
| 26/10/24 Tunisia League 1 | ES Metlaoui | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Etoile Sportive Sahel |
| 03/03/21 Tunisia League 1 | ES Metlaoui | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Etoile Sportive Sahel |
| 12/12/20 Tunisia League 1 | Etoile Sportive Sahel | 2-0 HT 1-0 | ES Metlaoui |
Standings · Tunisia League 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Progres Sakiet Eddaier | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Esperance de Tunis | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Bizertin | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Club Africain | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | ES Zarzis | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | CS Sfaxien | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 6 | Stade Tunisien | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 8 | ES Hammam Sousse | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | US Monastir | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | CS Hammam Lif | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | US Ben Guerdane | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Etoile Sportive Sahel | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 | Avenir de La Marsa | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 | ES Metlaoui | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 | Olympique de Beja | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 | JS Omrane | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Etoile Sportive Sahel | ES Metlaoui |
|---|---|---|
| ES Zarzis | 1-3 L | 0-1 L |
| Avenir de La Marsa | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Olympique de Beja | 1-3 L | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 2 L | 1 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: ES Metlaoui (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Etoile Sportive Sahel
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | Esperance de Tunis Tunisia League 1 |
0-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 14/05 | CS Sfaxien Tunisia League 1 |
0-3 | 1-3 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 09/05 | Bizertin Tunisia League 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 04/05 | ES Zarzis Tunisia League 1 |
1-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 29/04 | ES Metlaoui Tunisia League 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 25/04 | Avenir de La Marsa Tunisia League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 11/04 | Olympique de Beja Tunisia League 1 |
1-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 04/04 | Esperance de Tunis Tunisia League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 08/03 | Stade Tunisien Tunisia League 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 28/02 | AS Soliman Tunisia League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 17 | 3 | W |
ES Metlaoui
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | Club Africain Tunisia League 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 14/05 | JS Kairouanaise Tunisia League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 09/05 | ES Zarzis Tunisia League 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 04/05 | US Monastir Tunisia League 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 29/04 | Etoile Sportive Sahel Tunisia League 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 25/04 | AS Gabes Tunisia League 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 13/04 | Avenir de La Marsa Tunisia League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 05/04 | US Ben Guerdane Tunisia League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 07/03 | Olympique de Beja Tunisia League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 01/03 | Club Africain Tunisia League 1 |
0-2 | 0-5 | 3 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Etoile Sportive Sahel vs ES Metlaoui?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Etoile Sportive Sahel win (57%). Probabilities: Etoile Sportive Sahel 57%, draw 28%, ES Metlaoui 15%.
How many goals are expected in Etoile Sportive Sahel vs ES Metlaoui?
The model expects 2.26 goals (Etoile Sportive Sahel 1.57 · ES Metlaoui 0.69), with a 54% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Etoile Sportive Sahel vs ES Metlaoui?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.

