Football · Tunisia League 1 · 30/08, 17:30

Prediction: Etoile Sportive Sahel vs ES Metlaoui

Team pages: Etoile Sportive Sahel · ES Metlaoui

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.26Total
Etoile Sportive Sahel1.57
ES Metlaoui0.69
1X2
57% 28% 15%
Etoile Sportive Sahel Draw ES Metlaoui
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 61% Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
1-0 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Etoile Sportive Sahel 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
WDDLWLLWLL
ES Metlaoui 3-4-3 (W-D-L)
LDDWDWWLDL
Head-to-head
Etoile Sportive Sahel 3–2–1 ES Metlaoui (6 last)
  • ES Metlaoui2-0Etoile Sportive Sahel
  • Etoile Sportive Sahel2-0ES Metlaoui
  • Etoile Sportive Sahel2-1ES Metlaoui
  • ES Metlaoui0-0Etoile Sportive Sahel
  • ES Metlaoui1-1Etoile Sportive Sahel
  • Etoile Sportive Sahel2-0ES Metlaoui
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Etoile Sportive Sahel 1489 · ES Metlaoui 1473
Etoile Sportive SahelDrawES Metlaoui
Our model57%27%15%
Market57%28%15%
Estimated total (ours) 2.26 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Etoile Sportive Sahel: 3-2-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Etoile Sportive SahelES Metlaoui
Goals for / against (FT)0.9 / 1.50.5 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 0.80.3 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/50/40%30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)3.6 / 6.72 / 3.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.9 / 0.13.4 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Etoile Sportive Sahel 321 ES Metlaoui

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DateHomeScoreAway
29/04/26
Tunisia League 1
ES Metlaoui2-0
HT 1-0
Etoile Sportive Sahel
01/11/25
Tunisia League 1
Etoile Sportive Sahel2-0
HT 0-0
ES Metlaoui
22/02/25
Tunisia League 1
Etoile Sportive Sahel2-1
HT 2-0
ES Metlaoui
26/10/24
Tunisia League 1
ES Metlaoui0-0
HT 0-0
Etoile Sportive Sahel
03/03/21
Tunisia League 1
ES Metlaoui1-1
HT 0-0
Etoile Sportive Sahel
12/12/20
Tunisia League 1
Etoile Sportive Sahel2-0
HT 1-0
ES Metlaoui

Standings · Tunisia League 1

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Progres Sakiet Eddaier 1100 203
2 Esperance de Tunis 1100 323
3 Bizertin 1100 103
3 Club Africain 1100 103
3 ES Zarzis 1100 103
6 CS Sfaxien 1010 111
6 Stade Tunisien 1010 111
8 ES Hammam Sousse 1010 001
8 US Monastir 1010 001
10 CS Hammam Lif 0000 000
10 US Ben Guerdane 0000 000
12 Etoile Sportive Sahel 1001 230
13 Avenir de La Marsa 1001 010
13 ES Metlaoui 1001 010
13 Olympique de Beja 1001 010
16 JS Omrane 1001 020

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentEtoile Sportive SahelES Metlaoui
ES Zarzis 1-3 L 0-1 L
Avenir de La Marsa 1-0 W 1-0 W
Olympique de Beja 1-3 L 0-0 D
Record vs common 1 W 0 D 2 L 1 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: ES Metlaoui (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Etoile Sportive Sahel

WDDLWLLWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
23/08 Esperance de Tunis
Tunisia League 1
0-1 2-3 55 L
14/05 CS Sfaxien
Tunisia League 1
0-3 1-3 45 L
09/05 Bizertin
Tunisia League 1
1-0 1-0 75 W
04/05 ES Zarzis
Tunisia League 1
1-1 1-3 54 L
29/04 ES Metlaoui
Tunisia League 1
0-1 0-2 L
25/04 Avenir de La Marsa
Tunisia League 1
0-0 1-0 34 W
11/04 Olympique de Beja
Tunisia League 1
1-1 1-3 75 L
04/04 Esperance de Tunis
Tunisia League 1
0-0 0-0 73 D
08/03 Stade Tunisien
Tunisia League 1
0-1 1-1 52 D
28/02 AS Soliman
Tunisia League 1
0-0 1-0 173 W

ES Metlaoui

LDDWDWWLDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
23/08 Club Africain
Tunisia League 1
0-0 0-1 L
14/05 JS Kairouanaise
Tunisia League 1
0-0 0-0 D
09/05 ES Zarzis
Tunisia League 1
0-1 0-1 L
04/05 US Monastir
Tunisia League 1
1-0 1-0 46 W
29/04 Etoile Sportive Sahel
Tunisia League 1
1-0 2-0 W
25/04 AS Gabes
Tunisia League 1
1-0 1-1 D
13/04 Avenir de La Marsa
Tunisia League 1
0-0 1-0 12 W
05/04 US Ben Guerdane
Tunisia League 1
0-0 0-0 43 D
07/03 Olympique de Beja
Tunisia League 1
0-0 0-0 64 D
01/03 Club Africain
Tunisia League 1
0-2 0-5 33 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Etoile Sportive Sahel vs ES Metlaoui?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Etoile Sportive Sahel win (57%). Probabilities: Etoile Sportive Sahel 57%, draw 28%, ES Metlaoui 15%.

How many goals are expected in Etoile Sportive Sahel vs ES Metlaoui?

The model expects 2.26 goals (Etoile Sportive Sahel 1.57 · ES Metlaoui 0.69), with a 54% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Etoile Sportive Sahel vs ES Metlaoui?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.