Football · Tunisia League 1 · 23/08, 17:30
Prediction: ES Zarzis vs Olympique de Beja
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.96Total
ES Zarzis1.3
Olympique de Beja0.65
1X2
ES Zarzis
Draw
Olympique de Beja
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 59%
Not both to score 54%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
ES Zarzis
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Olympique de Beja
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
ES Zarzis
5–1
Olympique de Beja
(6 last)
- ES Zarzis2-0Olympique de Beja
- Olympique de Beja0-3ES Zarzis
- ES Zarzis1-0Olympique de Beja
- Olympique de Beja1-2ES Zarzis
- ES Zarzis1-0Olympique de Beja
- Olympique de Beja3-0ES Zarzis
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · ES Zarzis 1548 · Olympique de Beja 1489
| ES Zarzis | Draw | Olympique de Beja | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 31% | 17% |
| Market | 52% | 29% | 19% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.96 goals · Bet365 line 2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours ES Zarzis (rating 1548 vs 1489).
- H2H favours ES Zarzis: 5-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| ES Zarzis | Olympique de Beja | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 0.9 | 0.8 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.5 | 0.3 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 3.6 | 1.6 / 2.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.1 | 4.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · ES Zarzis 5–0–1 Olympique de Beja
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04/26 Tunisia League 1 | ES Zarzis | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Olympique de Beja |
| 26/10/25 Tunisia League 1 | Olympique de Beja | 0-3 HT 0-1 | ES Zarzis |
| 02/03/25 Tunisia League 1 | ES Zarzis | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Olympique de Beja |
| 09/11/24 Tunisia League 1 | Olympique de Beja | 1-2 HT 1-0 | ES Zarzis |
| 23/05/22 Tunisia League 1 | ES Zarzis | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Olympique de Beja |
| 07/05/22 Tunisia League 1 | Olympique de Beja | 3-0 HT 1-0 | ES Zarzis |
Standings · Tunisia League 1
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Progres Sakiet Eddaier | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Avenir de La Marsa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Bizertin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Club Africain | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | CS Hammam Lif | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | CS Sfaxien | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | ES Hammam Sousse | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | ES Metlaoui | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Etoile Sportive Sahel | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | ES Zarzis | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Esperance de Tunis | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | JS Omrane | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Olympique de Beja | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Stade Tunisien | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | US Ben Guerdane | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | US Monastir | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | ES Zarzis | Olympique de Beja |
|---|---|---|
| Bizertin | 2-0 W | 1-0 W |
| ES Metlaoui | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Etoile Sportive Sahel | 3-1 W | 3-1 W |
| Avenir de La Marsa | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Esperance de Tunis | 2-2 D | 0-3 L |
| AS Soliman | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 2 L | 3 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: ES Zarzis (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
ES Zarzis
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/05 | Bizertin Tunisia League 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 09/05 | ES Metlaoui Tunisia League 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 04/05 | Etoile Sportive Sahel Tunisia League 1 |
1-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 30/04 | Avenir de La Marsa Tunisia League 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 26/04 | Olympique de Beja Tunisia League 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 23/04 | Esperance de Tunis Tunisia League 1 |
2-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 5 | D |
| 04/04 | Stade Tunisien Tunisia League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 06/03 | AS Soliman Tunisia League 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 27/02 | JS Kairouanaise Tunisia League 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 15/02 | US Monastir Tunisia League 1 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
Olympique de Beja
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/05 | Club Africain Tunisia League 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 08/05 | JS Omrane Tunisia League 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 03/05 | CS Sfaxien Tunisia League 1 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 30/04 | Bizertin Tunisia League 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 26/04 | ES Zarzis Tunisia League 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 11/04 | Etoile Sportive Sahel Tunisia League 1 |
1-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 03/04 | Avenir de La Marsa Tunisia League 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 07/03 | ES Metlaoui Tunisia League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 01/03 | Esperance de Tunis Tunisia League 1 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 07/02 | AS Soliman Tunisia League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in ES Zarzis vs Olympique de Beja?
According to our model, the most likely result is a ES Zarzis win (52%). Probabilities: ES Zarzis 52%, draw 30%, Olympique de Beja 18%.
How many goals are expected in ES Zarzis vs Olympique de Beja?
The model expects 1.96 goals (ES Zarzis 1.3 · Olympique de Beja 0.65), with a 54% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in ES Zarzis vs Olympique de Beja?
The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.