Football · Costa Rica Segunda · 15/08, 22:00

Prediction: Guadalupe FC vs FC Aserri

Team pages: Guadalupe FC · FC Aserri

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Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.09Total
Guadalupe FC2.07
FC Aserri1.03
1X2
61% 21% 18%
Guadalupe FC Draw FC Aserri
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Guadalupe FC 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
LWDDLWLLWD
FC Aserri 1-4-5 (W-D-L)
LDWLDLDLDL
Head-to-head
Guadalupe FC 3–1–2 FC Aserri (6 last)
  • Guadalupe FC3-1FC Aserri
  • FC Aserri4-2Guadalupe FC
  • Guadalupe FC1-2FC Aserri
  • FC Aserri0-2Guadalupe FC
  • FC Aserri0-0Guadalupe FC
  • Guadalupe FC3-2FC Aserri
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Guadalupe FC 1491 · FC Aserri 1439
Guadalupe FCDrawFC Aserri
Our model60%23%17%
Market62%19%19%
Estimated total (ours) 3.09 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Guadalupe FC (rating 1491 vs 1439).
  • H2H favours Guadalupe FC: 3-1-2.
  • Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Guadalupe FCFC Aserri
Goals for / against (FT)0.8 / 20.9 / 2.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 0.70.6 / 1.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/40/40%20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)1.6 / 4.11.7 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.7 / 03.3 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · Guadalupe FC 312 FC Aserri

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DateHomeScoreAway
27/08/25
Costa Rica Cup
Guadalupe FC3-1
HT 1-0
FC Aserri
15/08/25
Costa Rica Cup
FC Aserri4-2
HT 2-1
Guadalupe FC
13/04/25
Costa Rica Segunda
Guadalupe FC1-2
HT 1-0
FC Aserri
01/03/25
Costa Rica Segunda
FC Aserri0-2
HT 0-1
Guadalupe FC
03/11/24
Costa Rica Segunda
FC Aserri0-0
HT 0-0
Guadalupe FC
15/09/24
Costa Rica Segunda
Guadalupe FC3-2
HT 1-1
FC Aserri

Standings · Costa Rica Segunda · Liga de Ascenso, Apertura 26/27, Group B

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Santa Ana 2200 426
2 Guadalupe FC 2110 434
3 Cariari Pococi 1100 103
4 AD Carmelita 3021 562
5 Pitbulls Santa Barbara 1010 221
6 CS Uruguay de Coronado 2011 231
6 Futbol Consultants Desamparados 2011 231
8 FC Aserri 1001 010

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentGuadalupe FCFC Aserri
Pitbulls Santa Barbara 2-2 D 0-0 D
Futbol Consultants Desamparados 2-1 W 2-6 L
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 0 L 0 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Guadalupe FC (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Guadalupe FC

LWDDLWLLWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
11/08 Pitbulls Santa Barbara
Costa Rica Segunda
2-1 2-2 42 D
02/08 Futbol Consultants Desamparados
Costa Rica Segunda
1-0 2-1 72 W
27/04 Cartagines
Costa Rica Primera Division
0-2 0-5 21 L
23/04 Deportivo Saprissa
Costa Rica Primera Division
0-1 0-5 25 L
19/04 Municipal Perez Zeledon
Costa Rica Primera Division
0-0 1-0 76 W
13/04 AD San Carlos
Costa Rica Primera Division
0-2 0-4 24 L
06/04 Alajuelense
Costa Rica Primera Division
0-1 1-1 47 D
21/03 Sporting San Jose
Costa Rica Primera Division
0-0 0-0 66 D
15/03 Puntarenas
Costa Rica Primera Division
0-0 2-1 46 W
10/03 Municipal Liberia
Costa Rica Primera Division
0-0 0-1 38 L

FC Aserri

LDWLDLDLDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/08 Santa Ana
Costa Rica Segunda
0-0 0-1 53 L
12/04 Cariari Pococi
Costa Rica Segunda
2-1 2-2 32 D
04/04 Escorpiones de Belen FC
Costa Rica Segunda
0-5 0-8 40 L
31/03 AD Carmelita
Costa Rica Segunda
0-0 0-0 112 D
27/03 Santa Ana
Costa Rica Segunda
2-2 2-3 45 L
19/03 Cariari Pococi
Costa Rica Segunda
0-1 2-2 74 D
13/03 Futbol Consultants Desamparados
Costa Rica Segunda
1-4 2-6 61 L
10/03 CS Uruguay de Coronado
Costa Rica Segunda
1-0 1-0 17 W
03/03 Pitbulls Santa Barbara
Costa Rica Segunda
0-0 0-0 38 D
22/02 Escorpiones de Belen FC
Costa Rica Segunda
0-0 0-2 44 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Guadalupe FC vs FC Aserri?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Guadalupe FC win (61%). Probabilities: Guadalupe FC 61%, draw 21%, FC Aserri 18%.

How many goals are expected in Guadalupe FC vs FC Aserri?

The model expects 3.09 goals (Guadalupe FC 2.07 · FC Aserri 1.03), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Guadalupe FC vs FC Aserri?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.