Football · Ukraine Persha Liga · 31/07, 12:00

Prediction: UCSA vs PFC Oleksandria

Team pages: UCSA · PFC Oleksandria

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.63Total
UCSA1.08
PFC Oleksandria1.56
1X2
25% 28% 47%
UCSA Draw PFC Oleksandria
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
UCSA 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
WLDWLLLLWD
PFC Oleksandria 1-4-5 (W-D-L)
LDLLLWDDLD
Head-to-head
UCSA 0–1 PFC Oleksandria (1 last)
  • UCSA1-4PFC Oleksandria
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · UCSA 1469 · PFC Oleksandria 1451
UCSADrawPFC Oleksandria
Our model25%28%47%
Market25%28%47%
Estimated total (ours) 2.63 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

UCSAPFC Oleksandria
Goals for / against (FT)1.1 / 1.80.9 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)0.9 / 0.80.4 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/10/40%30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)1.8 / 3.72.1 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.7 / 0.13.9 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · UCSA 001 PFC Oleksandria

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
30/10/24
Ukraine Cup
UCSA1-4
HT 0-4
PFC Oleksandria

Standings · Ukraine Persha Liga

Swipe the table sideways →

#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 SC Poltava 1100 303
2 FK Kulykiv-Bilka 1100 213
3 Kolos Kovalivka II 1100 103
3 FC Viktoriya Sumy 1100 103
5 Ingulets Petrovo 1010 221
5 Polissya Zhytomyr II 1010 221
5 UCSA 1010 221
5 FC Probiy Horodenka 1010 221
9 FC Chernigiv 1010 111
9 Lokomotiv Kyiv 1010 111
9 Nyva Ternopil 1010 111
9 PFC Oleksandria 1010 111
13 FC Metalist Kharkiv 1001 120
14 Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk 1001 010
14 FSC Feniks-Mariupol 1001 010
16 Ahrobiznes Volochysk 1001 030

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentUCSAPFC Oleksandria
Nyva Ternopil 3-0 W 1-1 D
FC Livyi Bereh 1-3 L 0-1 L
Record vs common 1 W 0 D 1 L 0 W 1 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

UCSA

WLDWLLLLWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
25/07 Polissya Zhytomyr II
Ukraine Persha Liga
1-2 2-2 46 D
01/06 Nyva Ternopil
Ukraine Persha Liga
2-0 3-0 63 W
23/05 FC Metalist Kharkiv
Ukraine Persha Liga
0-1 0-2 57 L
15/05 Bukovyna Chernivtsi
Ukraine Persha Liga
0-3 0-5 L
08/05 FC Livyi Bereh
Ukraine Persha Liga
1-0 1-3 17 L
02/05 FC Chernigiv
Ukraine Persha Liga
0-1 0-2 59 L
25/04 Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk
Ukraine Persha Liga
2-1 2-1 W
19/04 FC Viktoriya Sumy
Ukraine Persha Liga
1-0 1-1 35 D
12/04 FC Probiy Horodenka
Ukraine Persha Liga
0-0 0-1 L
08/04 Ahrobiznes Volochysk
Ukraine Persha Liga
2-0 2-1 24 W

PFC Oleksandria

LDLLLWDDLD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
24/07 Nyva Ternopil
Ukraine Persha Liga
1-0 1-1 64 D
09/06 FC Livyi Bereh
Ukraine Vyscha Liga Play-Offs
0-1 0-1 45 L
05/06 FC Livyi Bereh
Ukraine Vyscha Liga Play-Offs
1-0 1-1 35 D
23/05 FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih
Ukraine Vyscha Liga
0-0 1-1 53 D
17/05 FC Rukh Lviv
Ukraine Vyscha Liga
2-0 3-1 24 W
12/05 FC Zorya Lugansk
Ukraine Vyscha Liga
0-0 1-2 56 L
08/05 Polissya Zhytomyr
Ukraine Vyscha Liga
0-0 1-2 30 L
02/05 Kolos Kovalivka
Ukraine Vyscha Liga
0-2 0-3 83 L
27/04 Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi
Ukraine Vyscha Liga
0-1 1-1 83 D
20/04 FC Veres Rivne
Ukraine Vyscha Liga
0-2 0-3 108 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in UCSA vs PFC Oleksandria?

According to our model, the most likely result is an PFC Oleksandria win (47%). Probabilities: UCSA 25%, draw 28%, PFC Oleksandria 47%.

How many goals are expected in UCSA vs PFC Oleksandria?

The model expects 2.63 goals (UCSA 1.08 · PFC Oleksandria 1.56), with a 53% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in UCSA vs PFC Oleksandria?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.