Football · Ukraine Persha Liga · 09/08, 11:00

Prediction: Polissya Zhytomyr II vs FC Metalist Kharkiv

Team pages: FC Metalist Kharkiv

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.63Total
Polissya Zhytomyr II1.43
FC Metalist Kharkiv1.2
1X2
42% 28% 31%
Polissya Zhytomyr II Draw FC Metalist Kharkiv
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Polissya Zhytomyr II 6-3-1 (W-D-L)
WDWWWWDWDL
FC Metalist Kharkiv 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
LDLWDWWLLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Polissya Zhytomyr II 1583 · FC Metalist Kharkiv 1507
Polissya Zhytomyr IIDrawFC Metalist Kharkiv
Our model41%28%30%
Market42%27%31%
Estimated total (ours) 2.63 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Polissya Zhytomyr II (rating 1583 vs 1507).
  • Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Polissya Zhytomyr IIFC Metalist Kharkiv
Goals for / against (FT)2.9 / 0.51.4 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)1.4 / 0.30.5 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)70/30/0%20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)1.5 / 3.93.4 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.5 / 0.24.1 / 0.1

Standings · Ukraine Persha Liga

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 FC Viktoriya Sumy 3300 409
2 FK Kulykiv-Bilka 3210 537
3 Ahrobiznes Volochysk 3201 446
4 PFC Oleksandria 3120 855
5 UCSA 3120 765
6 SC Poltava 2110 414
7 Ingulets Petrovo 3111 464
8 FC Metalist Kharkiv 2101 433
9 Kolos Kovalivka II 3102 243
10 FC Chernigiv 2020 222
11 Lokomotiv Kyiv 3021 342
12 Nyva Ternopil 3021 232
13 Polissya Zhytomyr II 2011 341
14 Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk 3012 351
14 FC Probiy Horodenka 2011 351
16 FSC Feniks-Mariupol 2002 030

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentPolissya Zhytomyr IIFC Metalist Kharkiv
UCSA 2-2 D 2-0 W
FK Kulykiv-Bilka 0-0 D 1-2 L
Record vs common 0 W 2 D 0 L 1 W 0 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Polissya Zhytomyr II

WDWWWWDWDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
03/08 Ingulets Petrovo
Ukraine Persha Liga
1-1 1-2 56 L
25/07 UCSA
Ukraine Persha Liga
2-1 2-2 36 D
10/05 FC Uzhhorod
Ukraine Druha Liga
1-0 4-0 51 W
01/05 FC Atlet Kyiv
Ukraine Druha Liga
0-0 0-0 44 D
21/03 FK Real Pharma Odessa
Ukraine Druha Liga
4-0 6-0 23 W
24/10 FC Nyva Vinnytsia
Ukraine Druha Liga
2-0 2-0 75 W
12/10 FC Lisne
Ukraine Druha Liga
2-1 5-1 20 W
08/09 FC Atlet Kyiv
Ukraine Druha Liga
1-0 6-0 24 W
03/09 FK Kulykiv-Bilka
Ukraine Druha Liga
0-0 0-0 34 D
29/08 Nyva Ternopil II
Ukraine Druha Liga
1-0 3-0 64 W

FC Metalist Kharkiv

LDLWDWWLLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/08 FC Probiy Horodenka
Ukraine Persha Liga
3-1 3-1 115 W
26/07 FK Kulykiv-Bilka
Ukraine Persha Liga
0-0 1-2 65 L
01/06 Chernomorets Odessa
Ukraine Persha Liga
0-0 0-1 41 L
26/05 FC Chernigiv
Ukraine Persha Liga
0-1 2-1 64 W
23/05 UCSA
Ukraine Persha Liga
1-0 2-0 27 W
17/05 Vorskla Poltava
Ukraine Persha Liga
1-1 1-1 124 D
09/05 FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
Ukraine Persha Liga
0-0 3-0 13 W
02/05 Nyva Ternopil
Ukraine Persha Liga
0-1 0-2 L
25/04 FSC Feniks-Mariupol
Ukraine Persha Liga
0-0 1-1 56 D
17/04 Bukovyna Chernivtsi
Ukraine Persha Liga
0-2 1-2 43 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Polissya Zhytomyr II vs FC Metalist Kharkiv?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Polissya Zhytomyr II win (42%). Probabilities: Polissya Zhytomyr II 42%, draw 28%, FC Metalist Kharkiv 31%.

How many goals are expected in Polissya Zhytomyr II vs FC Metalist Kharkiv?

The model expects 2.63 goals (Polissya Zhytomyr II 1.43 · FC Metalist Kharkiv 1.2), with a 54% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Polissya Zhytomyr II vs FC Metalist Kharkiv?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.