Football · Ukraine Persha Liga · 09/08, 15:00
Prediction: FSC Feniks-Mariupol vs SC Poltava
Team pages: FSC Feniks-Mariupol · SC Poltava
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.27Total
FSC Feniks-Mariupol1.09
SC Poltava1.18
1X2
FSC Feniks-Mariupol
Draw
SC Poltava
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 60%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
FSC Feniks-Mariupol
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
SC Poltava
1-4-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FSC Feniks-Mariupol
2–1–3
SC Poltava
(6 last)
- FSC Feniks-Mariupol1-2SC Poltava
- SC Poltava3-0FSC Feniks-Mariupol
- SC Poltava0-2FSC Feniks-Mariupol
- FSC Feniks-Mariupol1-1SC Poltava
- SC Poltava0-4FSC Feniks-Mariupol
- FSC Feniks-Mariupol2-4SC Poltava
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FSC Feniks-Mariupol 1510 · SC Poltava 1453
| FSC Feniks-Mariupol | Draw | SC Poltava | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 31% | 36% |
| Market | 33% | 29% | 38% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.27 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 63%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FSC Feniks-Mariupol (rating 1510 vs 1453).
- H2H favours SC Poltava: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FSC Feniks-Mariupol | SC Poltava | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 0.7 | 0.8 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.2 | 0.3 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 10/40/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4.7 | 1.1 / 2.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.8 / 0 | 3.4 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FSC Feniks-Mariupol 2–1–3 SC Poltava
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/11/24 Ukraine Persha Liga | FSC Feniks-Mariupol | 1-2 HT 0-1 | SC Poltava |
| 22/09/24 Ukraine Persha Liga | SC Poltava | 3-0 HT 1-0 | FSC Feniks-Mariupol |
| 16/10/23 Ukraine Persha Liga | SC Poltava | 0-2 HT 0-0 | FSC Feniks-Mariupol |
| 11/08/23 Ukraine Persha Liga | FSC Feniks-Mariupol | 1-1 HT 0-0 | SC Poltava |
| 13/05/23 Ukraine Persha Liga | SC Poltava | 0-4 HT 0-1 | FSC Feniks-Mariupol |
| 15/04/23 Ukraine Persha Liga | FSC Feniks-Mariupol | 2-4 HT 1-1 | SC Poltava |
Standings · Ukraine Persha Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Viktoriya Sumy | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 9 |
| 2 | FK Kulykiv-Bilka | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 7 |
| 3 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 6 |
| 4 | PFC Oleksandria | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 5 |
| 5 | UCSA | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 5 |
| 6 | SC Poltava | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | Ingulets Petrovo | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 4 |
| 8 | FC Metalist Kharkiv | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| 9 | Kolos Kovalivka II | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| 10 | FC Chernigiv | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 11 | Lokomotiv Kyiv | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
| 12 | Nyva Ternopil | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| 13 | Polissya Zhytomyr II | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
| 14 | Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
| 14 | FC Probiy Horodenka | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
| 16 | FSC Feniks-Mariupol | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FSC Feniks-Mariupol | SC Poltava |
|---|---|---|
| Ahrobiznes Volochysk | 0-2 L | 3-0 W |
| Nyva Ternopil | 3-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 1 L | 1 W 1 D 0 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FSC Feniks-Mariupol
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 24/07 | FC Viktoriya Sumy Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 01/06 | FC Viktoriya Sumy Ukraine Persha Liga |
2-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 23/05 | FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 17/05 | FC Probiy Horodenka Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 09/05 | Nyva Ternopil Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 01/05 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk Ukraine Persha Liga |
2-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 25/04 | FC Metalist Kharkiv Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 19/04 | Ingulets Petrovo Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 1 | D |
| 12/04 | Bukovyna Chernivtsi Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
SC Poltava
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Nyva Ternopil Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 25/07 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 23/05 | Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 16/05 | Dynamo Kiev Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 13/05 | LNZ Lebedyn Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 10/05 | Shakhtar Donetsk Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-1 | 0-4 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 01/05 | FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
3-2 | 3-3 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 24/04 | Kolos Kovalivka Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 17/04 | Obolon Kyiv Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 10/04 | Polissya Zhytomyr Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-3 | 0-4 | 0 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FSC Feniks-Mariupol vs SC Poltava?
According to our model, the most likely result is an SC Poltava win (37%). Probabilities: FSC Feniks-Mariupol 33%, draw 30%, SC Poltava 37%.
How many goals are expected in FSC Feniks-Mariupol vs SC Poltava?
The model expects 2.27 goals (FSC Feniks-Mariupol 1.09 · SC Poltava 1.18), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in FSC Feniks-Mariupol vs SC Poltava?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.