Football · Ukraine Persha Liga · 09/08, 13:00
Prediction: FC Probiy Horodenka vs FC Chernigiv
Team pages: FC Probiy Horodenka · FC Chernigiv
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.36Total
FC Probiy Horodenka1.44
FC Chernigiv0.92
1X2
FC Probiy Horodenka
Draw
FC Chernigiv
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
FC Probiy Horodenka
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
FC Chernigiv
1-4-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FC Probiy Horodenka
1–1
FC Chernigiv
(2 last)
- FC Chernigiv3-0FC Probiy Horodenka
- FC Probiy Horodenka1-0FC Chernigiv
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Probiy Horodenka | FC Chernigiv | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.3 | 1 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.6 | 0.5 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 5.5 | 0.3 / 2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.3 | 4.4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Probiy Horodenka 1–0–1 FC Chernigiv
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/12/25 Ukraine Persha Liga | FC Chernigiv | 3-0 HT 2-0 | FC Probiy Horodenka |
| 03/08/25 Ukraine Persha Liga | FC Probiy Horodenka | 1-0 HT 1-0 | FC Chernigiv |
Standings · Ukraine Persha Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Viktoriya Sumy | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 9 |
| 2 | FK Kulykiv-Bilka | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 7 |
| 3 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 6 |
| 4 | PFC Oleksandria | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 5 |
| 5 | UCSA | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 5 |
| 6 | SC Poltava | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | Ingulets Petrovo | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 4 |
| 8 | FC Metalist Kharkiv | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| 9 | Kolos Kovalivka II | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| 10 | FC Chernigiv | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 11 | Lokomotiv Kyiv | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
| 12 | Nyva Ternopil | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| 13 | Polissya Zhytomyr II | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
| 14 | Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
| 14 | FC Probiy Horodenka | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
| 16 | FSC Feniks-Mariupol | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FC Probiy Horodenka | FC Chernigiv |
|---|---|---|
| FC Metalist Kharkiv | 1-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Ingulets Petrovo | 2-2 D | 1-2 L |
| Ahrobiznes Volochysk | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Metalurg Zaporizhya | 3-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Chernomorets Odessa | 0-1 L | 2-2 D |
| UCSA | 1-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 2 L | 1 W 2 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Probiy Horodenka
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | FC Metalist Kharkiv Ukraine Persha Liga |
1-3 | 1-3 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 26/07 | Ingulets Petrovo Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 01/06 | Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-2 | 0-3 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 23/05 | FC Viktoriya Sumy Ukraine Persha Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 17/05 | FSC Feniks-Mariupol Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 10/05 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 03/05 | Ingulets Petrovo Ukraine Persha Liga |
1-0 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 25/04 | Metalurg Zaporizhya Ukraine Persha Liga |
2-1 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 18/04 | Chernomorets Odessa Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 12/04 | UCSA Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
FC Chernigiv
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | FK Kulykiv-Bilka Ukraine Persha Liga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 25/07 | Lokomotiv Kyiv Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 01/06 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 29/05 | Metalurg Zaporizhya Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 26/05 | FC Metalist Kharkiv Ukraine Persha Liga |
1-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 23/05 | Ingulets Petrovo Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-2 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 20/05 | Dynamo Kiev Ukraine Cup |
1-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 09/05 | Chernomorets Odessa Ukraine Persha Liga |
1-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 02/05 | UCSA Ukraine Persha Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 9 | W |
| 26/04 | Vorskla Poltava Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-2 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FC Probiy Horodenka vs FC Chernigiv?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Probiy Horodenka win (48%). Probabilities: FC Probiy Horodenka 48%, draw 29%, FC Chernigiv 23%.
How many goals are expected in FC Probiy Horodenka vs FC Chernigiv?
The model expects 2.36 goals (FC Probiy Horodenka 1.44 · FC Chernigiv 0.92), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in FC Probiy Horodenka vs FC Chernigiv?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.