Football · Tunisia League 1 · 22/08, 17:30
Prediction: Stade Tunisien vs CS Sfaxien
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.54Total
Stade Tunisien0.78
CS Sfaxien0.75
1X2
Stade Tunisien
Draw
CS Sfaxien
Markets
Under 1.5 goals 51%
Not both to score 56%
Most likely score
0-0
Recent form · 10 last
Stade Tunisien
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
CS Sfaxien
8-2-0 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Stade Tunisien
1–4–1
CS Sfaxien
(6 last)
- CS Sfaxien1-0Stade Tunisien
- Stade Tunisien0-0CS Sfaxien
- Stade Tunisien1-1CS Sfaxien
- CS Sfaxien1-2Stade Tunisien
- CS Sfaxien0-0Stade Tunisien
- Stade Tunisien0-0CS Sfaxien
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Stade Tunisien 1486 · CS Sfaxien 1588
| Stade Tunisien | Draw | CS Sfaxien | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 39% | 30% |
| Market | 34% | 33% | 33% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.54 goals · Bet365 line 1.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 73%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CS Sfaxien (rating 1486 vs 1588).
- Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Stade Tunisien | CS Sfaxien | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 0.8 | 1.6 / 0.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.4 | 0.9 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 50/40/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 3.6 | 1.7 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.8 / 0.4 | 3.9 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Stade Tunisien 1–4–1 CS Sfaxien
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04/26 Tunisia League 1 | CS Sfaxien | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Stade Tunisien |
| 29/10/25 Tunisia League 1 | Stade Tunisien | 0-0 HT 0-0 | CS Sfaxien |
| 12/04/25 Tunisia League 1 | Stade Tunisien | 1-1 HT 0-1 | CS Sfaxien |
| 26/12/24 Tunisia League 1 | CS Sfaxien | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Stade Tunisien |
| 10/05/24 Tunisia League 1 | CS Sfaxien | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Stade Tunisien |
| 10/03/24 Tunisia League 1 | Stade Tunisien | 0-0 HT 0-0 | CS Sfaxien |
Standings · Tunisia League 1
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Progres Sakiet Eddaier | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Avenir de La Marsa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Bizertin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Club Africain | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | CS Hammam Lif | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | CS Sfaxien | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | ES Hammam Sousse | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | ES Metlaoui | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Etoile Sportive Sahel | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | ES Zarzis | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Esperance de Tunis | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | JS Omrane | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Olympique de Beja | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Stade Tunisien | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | US Ben Guerdane | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | US Monastir | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Stade Tunisien | CS Sfaxien |
|---|---|---|
| AS Gabes | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| US Ben Guerdane | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Etoile Sportive Sahel | 1-1 D | 3-1 W |
| Avenir de La Marsa | 4-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Esperance de Tunis | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 1 L | 4 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: CS Sfaxien (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Stade Tunisien
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/05 | AS Gabes Tunisia League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 08/05 | US Ben Guerdane Tunisia League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 03/05 | Club Africain Tunisia League 1 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 29/04 | JS Omrane Tunisia League 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 26/04 | CS Sfaxien Tunisia League 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 11/04 | Bizertin Tunisia League 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 04/04 | ES Zarzis Tunisia League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 08/03 | Etoile Sportive Sahel Tunisia League 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 28/02 | Avenir de La Marsa Tunisia League 1 |
2-0 | 4-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 21/02 | Esperance de Tunis Tunisia League 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 7 | L |
CS Sfaxien
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/05 | Etoile Sportive Sahel Tunisia League 1 |
3-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 09/05 | Avenir de La Marsa Tunisia League 1 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 10 | 0 | W |
| 03/05 | Olympique de Beja Tunisia League 1 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 30/04 | Esperance de Tunis Tunisia League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 26/04 | Stade Tunisien Tunisia League 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 12/04 | AS Soliman Tunisia League 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 05/04 | JS Kairouanaise Tunisia League 1 |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 07/03 | US Monastir Tunisia League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 01/03 | AS Gabes Tunisia League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 15/02 | US Ben Guerdane Tunisia League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Stade Tunisien vs CS Sfaxien?
According to our model, the most likely result is a draw (36%). Probabilities: Stade Tunisien 33%, draw 36%, CS Sfaxien 31%.
How many goals are expected in Stade Tunisien vs CS Sfaxien?
The model expects 1.54 goals (Stade Tunisien 0.78 · CS Sfaxien 0.75), with a 51% chance of under 1.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Stade Tunisien vs CS Sfaxien?
The model gives a 56% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.