Football · Brazil Serie D · 08/08, 23:30
Prediction: Goiatuba vs ASA
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.85Total
Goiatuba0.88
ASA0.97
1X2
Goiatuba
Draw
ASA
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 57%
Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
0-0
Recent form · 10 last
Goiatuba
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
ASA
6-4-0 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Goiatuba 1539 · ASA 1578
| Goiatuba | Draw | ASA | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 30% | 35% | 35% |
| Market | 32% | 31% | 37% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.85 goals · Bet365 line 1.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 68%model estimate
Match keys
- High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 10.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Goiatuba | ASA | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 0.7 | 1.7 / 0.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.3 | 0.7 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 5.7 | 2.3 / 5.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.3 / 0.1 | 4.8 / 0.1 |
Standings · Brazil Serie D · Brasileiro Serie D 2026, Group A10
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CSA | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 8 | 21 |
| 2 | Juazeirense | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 9 | 17 |
| 3 | ASA | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 16 |
| 4 | Jacuipense | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 14 | 13 |
| 5 | CSE | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 9 |
| 6 | Atletico Alagoinhas | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 20 | 5 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Goiatuba
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Ferroviario Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 18/07 | Ferroviario Brazil Serie D |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 12/07 | Manauara EC Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 04/07 | Manauara EC Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 27/06 | Brasiliense Brazil Serie D |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 21/06 | Brasiliense Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 07/06 | Operario VG Brazil Serie D |
1-0 | 1-0 | 11 | 6 | W |
| 30/05 | Ceilandia Brazil Serie D |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 8 | D |
| 23/05 | Capital CF Brazil Serie D |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 16/05 | Mixto Brazil Serie D |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
ASA
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Cianorte Brazil Serie D |
2-0 | 5-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 18/07 | Cianorte Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 12/07 | Ivinhema Brazil Serie D |
1-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 07/07 | Ivinhema Brazil Serie D |
0-1 | 2-1 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 27/06 | CS Sergipe Brazil Serie D |
1-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 7 | W |
| 21/06 | CS Sergipe Brazil Serie D |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 13 | D |
| 14/06 | Jacuipense Brazil Serie D |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 30/05 | CSE Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 23/05 | CSA Brazil Serie D |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 16/05 | Juazeirense Brazil Serie D |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Goiatuba vs ASA?
According to our model, the most likely result is an ASA win (36%). Probabilities: Goiatuba 31%, draw 33%, ASA 36%.
How many goals are expected in Goiatuba vs ASA?
The model expects 1.85 goals (Goiatuba 0.88 · ASA 0.97), with a 51% chance of over 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Goiatuba vs ASA?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.