Football · Brazil Serie D · 16/08, 21:00

Prediction: SE Gama vs Sao Jose PA

Team pages: SE Gama · Sao Jose PA

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.07Total
SE Gama1.45
Sao Jose PA0.62
1X2
57% 28% 15%
SE Gama Draw Sao Jose PA
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 66% Not both to score 54%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
SE Gama 6-2-2 (W-D-L)
WWDWWLWLWD
Sao Jose PA 4-5-1 (W-D-L)
DWWDDWDWLD
Head-to-head
SE Gama 0–1–0 Sao Jose PA (1 last)
  • Sao Jose PA1-1SE Gama
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SE Gama 1548 · Sao Jose PA 1529
SE GamaDrawSao Jose PA
Our model56%29%15%
Market57%27%16%
Estimated total (ours) 2.07 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 10.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

SE GamaSao Jose PA
Goals for / against (FT)1.7 / 0.90.9 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)0.9 / 0.60.3 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/30/30%20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)4 / 5.72.2 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5 / 05.7 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · SE Gama 010 Sao Jose PA

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DateHomeScoreAway
08/08/26
Brazil Serie D
Sao Jose PA1-1
HT 0-0
SE Gama

Standings · Brazil Serie D · Brasileiro Serie D 2026, Group A16

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Blumenau EC 10613 14819
2 Marcilio Dias 10442 9516
3 Sao Joseense 10343 3413
4 Sao Jose PA 10343 6813
5 Brasil de Pelotas 10244 91210
6 Azuriz FC 10235 7119

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SE Gama

WWDWWLWLWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/08 Sao Jose PA
Brazil Serie D
0-0 1-1 15 D
26/07 America RN
Brazil Serie D
2-2 3-2 24 W
20/07 America RN
Brazil Serie D
0-1 0-1 45 L
12/07 Porto Velho EC
Brazil Serie D
0-0 2-0 117 W
04/07 Porto Velho EC
Brazil Serie D
0-2 0-2 L
28/06 Mixto
Brazil Serie D
1-0 1-0 54 W
20/06 Mixto
Brazil Serie D
2-0 2-1 87 W
07/06 Aparecidense
Brazil Serie D
0-1 2-2 74 D
31/05 Inhumas
Brazil Serie D
2-0 2-0 33 W
24/05 AC Primavera
Brazil Serie D
2-0 4-0 106 W

Sao Jose PA

DWWDDWDWLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/08 SE Gama
Brazil Serie D
0-0 1-1 55 D
26/07 Treze
Brazil Serie D
0-1 0-1 16 L
18/07 Treze
Brazil Serie D
1-1 2-1 27 W
12/07 Portuguesa RJ
Brazil Serie D
0-0 0-0 37 D
04/07 Portuguesa RJ
Brazil Serie D
1-0 1-0 49 W
27/06 Santa Catarina
Brazil Serie D
0-0 1-1 54 D
21/06 Santa Catarina
Brazil Serie D
0-1 1-1 64 D
07/06 Blumenau EC
Brazil Serie D
0-0 1-0 26 W
01/06 Sao Joseense
Brazil Serie D
0-0 1-0 85 W
24/05 Marcilio Dias
Brazil Serie D
1-0 1-1 15 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SE Gama vs Sao Jose PA?

According to our model, the most likely result is a SE Gama win (57%). Probabilities: SE Gama 57%, draw 28%, Sao Jose PA 15%.

How many goals are expected in SE Gama vs Sao Jose PA?

The model expects 2.07 goals (SE Gama 1.45 · Sao Jose PA 0.62), with a 50% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in SE Gama vs Sao Jose PA?

The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.