Football · Brazil Serie D · 08/08, 22:00
Prediction: Uberlandia vs CSA
Team pages: Uberlandia · CSA
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.37Total
Uberlandia1.2
CSA1.17
1X2
Uberlandia
Draw
CSA
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Uberlandia
3-5-2 (W-D-L)
CSA
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Uberlandia 1517 · CSA 1559
| Uberlandia | Draw | CSA | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 30% | 34% |
| Market | 36% | 29% | 35% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.37 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 62%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CSA (rating 1517 vs 1559).
- High corners: 11 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 11.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Uberlandia | CSA | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 0.8 | 2.3 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.1 | 0.9 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 60/40/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 4 | 3.6 / 7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.8 / 0.2 | 5.4 / 0.2 |
Standings · Brazil Serie D · Brasileiro Serie D 2026, Group A11
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Uberlandia | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 8 | 18 |
| 2 | Betim FC | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 9 | 15 |
| 3 | CRAC | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 13 |
| 4 | Ivinhema | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 13 |
| 5 | ABECAT Ouvidorense | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 12 |
| 6 | Operario FC MS | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 9 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Uberlandia
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Portuguesa Desportos Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 18/07 | Portuguesa Desportos Brazil Serie D |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 7 | W |
| 12/07 | Serra Branca EC Brazil Serie D |
2-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 7 | D |
| 04/07 | Serra Branca EC Brazil Serie D |
1-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 4 | W |
| 27/06 | Rio Branco ES Brazil Serie D |
0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 21/06 | Rio Branco ES Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 14/06 | ABECAT Ouvidorense Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 8 | L |
| 31/05 | Ivinhema Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 10 | D |
| 24/05 | CRAC Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 19/05 | Betim FC Brazil Serie D |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
CSA
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Sao Luiz Brazil Serie D |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 19/07 | Sao Luiz Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 14/07 | Betim FC Brazil Serie D |
2-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 10 | W |
| 04/07 | Betim FC Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 27/06 | Lagarto Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 21/06 | Lagarto Brazil Serie D |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 14/06 | Atletico Alagoinhas Brazil Serie D |
2-0 | 7-1 | – | – | W |
| 31/05 | Jacuipense Brazil Serie D |
1-0 | 1-1 | 12 | 6 | D |
| 23/05 | ASA Brazil Serie D |
1-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 7 | D |
| 17/05 | CSE Brazil Serie D |
1-0 | 5-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Uberlandia vs CSA?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Uberlandia win (36%). Probabilities: Uberlandia 36%, draw 30%, CSA 35%.
How many goals are expected in Uberlandia vs CSA?
The model expects 2.37 goals (Uberlandia 1.2 · CSA 1.17), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Uberlandia vs CSA?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.