Football · Brazil Serie D · 08/08, 22:00

Prediction: Sao Jose PA vs SE Gama

Team pages: Sao Jose PA · SE Gama

Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.89Total
Sao Jose PA0.79
SE Gama1.1
1X2
25% 34% 41%
Sao Jose PA Draw SE Gama
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 58% Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
0-0
Recent form · 10 last
Sao Jose PA 4-5-1 (W-D-L)
DDWWDDWDWL
SE Gama 7-1-2 (W-D-L)
WWWDWWLWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sao Jose PA 1533 · SE Gama 1555
Sao Jose PADrawSE Gama
Our model25%34%41%
Market24%34%41%
Estimated total (ours) 1.89 goals · Bet365 line 1.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 10.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Sao Jose PASE Gama
Goals for / against (FT)0.8 / 0.51.9 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 0.31 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/60/20%40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2.2 / 3.84.2 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.4 / 0.35.4 / 0

Standings · Brazil Serie D · Brasileiro Serie D 2026, Group A16

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Blumenau EC 10613 14819
2 Marcilio Dias 10442 9516
3 Sao Joseense 10343 3413
4 Sao Jose PA 10343 6813
5 Brasil de Pelotas 10244 91210
6 Azuriz FC 10235 7119

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sao Jose PA

DDWWDDWDWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
26/07 Treze
Brazil Serie D
0-1 0-1 16 L
18/07 Treze
Brazil Serie D
1-1 2-1 27 W
12/07 Portuguesa RJ
Brazil Serie D
0-0 0-0 37 D
04/07 Portuguesa RJ
Brazil Serie D
1-0 1-0 49 W
27/06 Santa Catarina
Brazil Serie D
0-0 1-1 54 D
21/06 Santa Catarina
Brazil Serie D
0-1 1-1 64 D
07/06 Blumenau EC
Brazil Serie D
0-0 1-0 26 W
01/06 Sao Joseense
Brazil Serie D
0-0 1-0 85 W
24/05 Marcilio Dias
Brazil Serie D
1-0 1-1 15 D
17/05 Brasil de Pelotas
Brazil Serie D
0-0 0-0 64 D

SE Gama

WWWDWWLWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
26/07 America RN
Brazil Serie D
2-2 3-2 24 W
20/07 America RN
Brazil Serie D
0-1 0-1 45 L
12/07 Porto Velho EC
Brazil Serie D
0-0 2-0 117 W
04/07 Porto Velho EC
Brazil Serie D
0-2 0-2 L
28/06 Mixto
Brazil Serie D
1-0 1-0 54 W
20/06 Mixto
Brazil Serie D
2-0 2-1 87 W
07/06 Aparecidense
Brazil Serie D
0-1 2-2 74 D
31/05 Inhumas
Brazil Serie D
2-0 2-0 33 W
24/05 AC Primavera
Brazil Serie D
2-0 4-0 106 W
17/05 Brasiliense
Brazil Serie D
1-1 3-2 49 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sao Jose PA vs SE Gama?

According to our model, the most likely result is an SE Gama win (41%). Probabilities: Sao Jose PA 25%, draw 34%, SE Gama 41%.

How many goals are expected in Sao Jose PA vs SE Gama?

The model expects 1.89 goals (Sao Jose PA 0.79 · SE Gama 1.1), with a 51% chance of under 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Sao Jose PA vs SE Gama?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.