Football · Saudi Arabia Division 1 · 22/08, 19:50

Prediction: Al Orubah vs Al Raed

Team pages: Al Orubah · Al Raed

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.37Total

Al Orubah1.25

Al Raed1.13

1X2

39% 28% 33%

Al Orubah Draw Al Raed

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Al Orubah 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WWLWLWWWWD

Al Raed 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LWDWLWLLDW

Head-to-head

Al Orubah 2–1–3 Al Raed (6 last)

Al Raed0-1Al Orubah
Al Orubah0-0Al Raed
Al Orubah0-4Al Raed
Al Raed3-1Al Orubah
Al Raed2-1Al Orubah
Al Orubah2-1Al Raed

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Al Orubah 1561 · Al Raed 1490

	Al Orubah	Draw	Al Raed
Our model	38%	30%	32%
Market	40%	26%	34%

Estimated total (ours) 2.37 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Al Orubah (rating 1561 vs 1490).
H2H favours Al Raed: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Al Orubah	Al Raed
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 0.6	1.9 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.2	1 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/60/0%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 6.3	2 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.3	3.8 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.25

X3.50

22.63

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.02

2 (+0.25)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.82

Under 2.51.98

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:59

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.25 → 2.25	Pinn 2.39
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.63 → 2.63	Pinn 2.85 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1% Pinnacle margin 7.8%

Time*	1	X	2
14:56 +4’	2.25	3.50	2.63

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
10:49 +28’	2.39	3.24	2.85

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Al Orubah 2–1–3 Al Raed

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/04/26 Saudi Arabia Division 1	Al Raed	0-1 HT 0-0	Al Orubah
21/12/25 Saudi Arabia Division 1	Al Orubah	0-0 HT 0-0	Al Raed
19/04/25 Saudi Arabia Pro League	Al Orubah	0-4 HT 0-1	Al Raed
23/11/24 Saudi Arabia Pro League	Al Raed	3-1 HT 2-1	Al Orubah
21/02/15 Saudi Arabia Pro League	Al Raed	2-1 HT 1-0	Al Orubah
30/08/14 Saudi Arabia Pro League	Al Orubah	2-1 HT 1-0	Al Raed

Standings · Saudi Arabia Division 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Al Zulfi	1	1	0	0	2	0	3
2	Al Adalh	1	0	1	0	1	1	1
2	Al Wehda Mecca	1	0	1	0	1	1	1
4	Al-Anwar	1	0	1	0	0	0	1
4	Al-Bukayriyah FC	1	0	1	0	0	0	1
6	Al Jabalain	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Al Jandal	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Al Najma	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Al Okhdood	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Al Orubah	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Al-Saqer FC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Al Taee	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Al-Ula	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Al Raed	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Damac FC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Hajer	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Jeddah Club	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	Al Jeel	1	0	0	1	0	2	0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Al Orubah	Al Raed
Al-Ula	1-1 D	1-2 L
Al-Anwar	3-1 W	0-1 L
Jeddah Club	4-0 W	2-0 W
Al Wehda Mecca	2-0 W	2-2 D
Al Zulfi	0-1 L	2-2 D
Al Faisaly Harmah	0-1 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 2 L	1 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Al Orubah (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Al Orubah

WWLWLWWWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/05	Al-Ula Saudi Arabia Division 1	0-0	1-1	8	7	D
14/05	Al-Anwar Saudi Arabia Division 1	2-1	3-1	4	3	W
09/05	Jeddah Club Saudi Arabia Division 1	1-0	4-0	4	3	W
02/05	Al Wehda Mecca Saudi Arabia Division 1	1-0	2-0	5	4	W
27/04	Al Jandal Saudi Arabia Division 1	1-1	2-1	9	3	W
22/04	Al Zulfi Saudi Arabia Division 1	0-0	0-1	7	4	L
15/04	Al Raed Saudi Arabia Division 1	0-0	1-0	1	5	W
10/04	Al Faisaly Harmah Saudi Arabia Division 1	0-0	0-1	13	4	L
04/04	Al Batin Saudi Arabia Division 1	1-0	3-1	6	4	W
08/03	Al-Arabi Al-Saudi Saudi Arabia Division 1	0-0	1-0	6	6	W

Al Raed

LWDWLWLLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/05	Abha Saudi Arabia Division 1	3-1	5-1	5	2	W
10/05	Al Zulfi Saudi Arabia Division 1	2-1	2-2	0	0	D
02/05	Al-Ula Saudi Arabia Division 1	0-1	1-2	6	4	L
27/04	Al Faisaly Harmah Saudi Arabia Division 1	1-0	1-2	3	4	L
21/04	Al Draih Saudi Arabia Division 1	2-0	3-1	3	6	W
15/04	Al Orubah Saudi Arabia Division 1	0-0	0-1	8	5	L
08/04	Jeddah Club Saudi Arabia Division 1	0-0	2-0	5	4	W
03/04	Al Wehda Mecca Saudi Arabia Division 1	1-0	2-2	–	–	D
07/03	Al Jabalain Saudi Arabia Division 1	1-1	3-1	4	5	W
01/03	Al-Anwar Saudi Arabia Division 1	0-1	0-1	2	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Al Orubah vs Al Raed?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Al Orubah win (39%). Probabilities: Al Orubah 39%, draw 28%, Al Raed 33%.

How many goals are expected in Al Orubah vs Al Raed?

The model expects 2.37 goals (Al Orubah 1.25 · Al Raed 1.13), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Al Orubah vs Al Raed?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.