Football · Saudi Arabia Division 1 · 31/08, 18:05

Prediction: Al-Bukayriyah FC vs Al Adalh

Team pages: Al-Bukayriyah FC · Al Adalh

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.66Total

Al-Bukayriyah FC1.47

Al Adalh1.19

1X2

42% 28% 30%

Al-Bukayriyah FC Draw Al Adalh

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Al-Bukayriyah FC 1-5-4 (W-D-L)

LLWDDDLLDD

Al Adalh 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LDLWWWWWDL

Head-to-head

Al-Bukayriyah FC 2–1–3 Al Adalh (6 last)

Al-Bukayriyah FC1-0Al Adalh
Al Adalh1-3Al-Bukayriyah FC
Al Adalh0-0Al-Bukayriyah FC
Al-Bukayriyah FC0-2Al Adalh
Al Adalh2-0Al-Bukayriyah FC
Al Adalh3-2Al-Bukayriyah FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Al-Bukayriyah FC 1463 · Al Adalh 1486

	Al-Bukayriyah FC	Draw	Al Adalh
Our model	42%	28%	29%
Market	43%	28%	30%

Estimated total (ours) 2.66 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Al Adalh: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Al-Bukayriyah FC	Al Adalh
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 1.3	1.6 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.8	0.7 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/20/60%	40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 3.6	2 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.2 / 0.2	4.9 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.10

X3.25

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.90

2 (+0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.52.00

Under 2.51.80

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 14:07

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.05 → 2.10▲	Bet365 2.10
X	3.40 → 3.25▼	Bet365 3.25
2	3.10 → 3.00▼	Pinn 3.41 ★

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 11.7% Pinnacle margin 7.7%

Time*	1	X	2
14:10 +6’	2.05	3.40	3.10
17:20 +3’	2.20▲	3.25▼	2.80▼
13:53 +15’	2.10▼	3.25	3.00▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
17:10 +12’	2.33	3.17	2.99
14:06 +1’	2.10▼	3.25▲	3.41▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 2.5

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Al-Bukayriyah FC 2–1–3 Al Adalh

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/03/26 Saudi Arabia Division 1	Al-Bukayriyah FC	1-0 HT 1-0	Al Adalh
21/11/25 Saudi Arabia Division 1	Al Adalh	1-3 HT 1-1	Al-Bukayriyah FC
23/05/25 Saudi Arabia Division 1	Al Adalh	0-0 HT 0-0	Al-Bukayriyah FC
21/01/25 Saudi Arabia Division 1	Al-Bukayriyah FC	0-2 HT 0-2	Al Adalh
19/08/24 Saudi Arabia Division 1	Al Adalh	2-0 HT 0-0	Al-Bukayriyah FC
06/05/24 Saudi Arabia Division 1	Al Adalh	3-2 HT 1-2	Al-Bukayriyah FC

Standings · Saudi Arabia Division 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Jeddah Club	2	2	0	0	4	0	6
2	Al-Ula	2	2	0	0	4	1	6
3	Al Okhdood	2	1	1	0	3	1	4
4	Al Zulfi	2	1	1	0	2	0	4
5	Hajer	2	1	0	1	3	5	3
6	Al Najma	2	1	0	1	2	2	3
7	Al Taee	2	1	0	1	4	5	3
8	Al Jabalain	2	1	0	1	2	3	3
9	Al Raed	2	1	0	1	3	3	3
10	Al-Saqer FC	2	0	2	0	1	1	2
11	Damac FC	2	0	2	0	0	0	2
12	Al-Bukayriyah FC	2	0	2	0	1	1	2
12	Al Wehda Mecca	2	0	2	0	1	1	2
14	Al Adalh	2	0	1	1	4	5	1
15	Al Jandal	2	0	1	1	2	3	1
16	Al-Anwar	2	0	1	1	0	1	1
16	Al Orubah	2	0	1	1	0	1	1
18	Al Jeel	2	0	0	2	0	3	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Al-Bukayriyah FC	Al Adalh
Al-Anwar	0-0 D	2-1 W
Al Batin	0-0 D	1-1 D
Al Taee	0-2 L	3-4 L
Abha	1-2 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	0 W 2 D 2 L	2 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Al Adalh (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Al-Bukayriyah FC

LLWDDDLLDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/08	Al Okhdood Saudi Arabia Division 1	0-1	1-1	3	3	D
21/08	Al-Anwar Saudi Arabia Division 1	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
14/05	Al Draih Saudi Arabia Division 1	1-2	2-3	5	2	L
09/05	Al Faisaly Harmah Saudi Arabia Division 1	0-1	0-2	0	0	L
03/05	Al Batin Saudi Arabia Division 1	0-0	0-0	0	7	D
28/04	Jeddah Club Saudi Arabia Division 1	0-1	1-1	8	5	D
21/04	Al-Arabi Al-Saudi Saudi Arabia Division 1	1-0	1-1	5	1	D
13/04	Al-Anwar Saudi Arabia Division 1	2-0	2-1	5	4	W
08/04	Al Taee Saudi Arabia Division 1	0-1	0-2	5	2	L
03/04	Abha Saudi Arabia Division 1	0-2	1-2	1	7	L

Al Adalh

LDLWWWWWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/08	Al Taee Saudi Arabia Division 1	0-2	3-4	11	2	L
21/08	Al Wehda Mecca Saudi Arabia Division 1	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
13/05	Al Jubail Club Saudi Arabia Division 1	1-0	2-0	2	4	W
09/05	Abha Saudi Arabia Division 1	1-0	1-0	1	2	W
02/05	Al-Anwar Saudi Arabia Division 1	1-0	2-1	0	5	W
27/04	Al Jabalain Saudi Arabia Division 1	0-1	2-1	2	7	W
20/04	Al Jandal Saudi Arabia Division 1	1-1	2-1	10	4	W
14/04	Al Wehda Mecca Saudi Arabia Division 1	1-3	1-4	4	7	L
09/04	Al Batin Saudi Arabia Division 1	0-1	1-1	7	10	D
04/04	Al-Ula Saudi Arabia Division 1	1-1	1-4	11	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Al-Bukayriyah FC vs Al Adalh?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Al-Bukayriyah FC win (42%). Probabilities: Al-Bukayriyah FC 42%, draw 28%, Al Adalh 30%.

How many goals are expected in Al-Bukayriyah FC vs Al Adalh?

The model expects 2.66 goals (Al-Bukayriyah FC 1.47 · Al Adalh 1.19), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Al-Bukayriyah FC vs Al Adalh?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.