Football · Saudi Arabia Division 1 · 31/08, 19:40

Prediction: Al Taee vs Al Jandal

Team pages: Al Taee · Al Jandal

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.06Total

Al Taee1.87

Al Jandal1.19

1X2

52% 25% 23%

Al Taee Draw Al Jandal

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Al Taee 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

WWLLWWLLLW

Al Jandal 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

LWLLLLLWLD

Head-to-head

Al Taee 3–1–0 Al Jandal (4 last)

Al Taee2-1Al Jandal
Al Jandal1-1Al Taee
Al Taee1-0Al Jandal
Al Jandal2-3Al Taee

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Al Taee 1469 · Al Jandal 1444

	Al Taee	Draw	Al Jandal
Our model	52%	25%	23%
Market	52%	25%	23%

Estimated total (ours) 3.06 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Al Taee: 3-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Al Taee	Al Jandal
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.8	1.4 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.6	0.8 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/20/30%	30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4	1.2 / 3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0.3	3.7 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.73

X3.50

23.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.80

2 (+0.5)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.80

Under 2.52.00

Diff.: 0.7 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 11:08

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.55 → 1.73▲	Pinn 1.77
X	3.80 → 3.50▼	Pinn 3.63
2	4.75 → 3.90▼	Pinn 4.18 ★

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 12.1% Pinnacle margin 7.8%

Time*	1	X	2
14:13 +5’	1.55	3.80	4.75
17:19 +6’	1.67▲	3.60▼	4.00▼
11:00 +7’	1.73▲	3.50▼	3.90▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
17:10 +15’	1.72	3.70	4.39
10:06	1.77▲	3.63▼	4.18▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Al Taee 3–1–0 Al Jandal

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/05/26 Saudi Arabia Division 1	Al Taee	2-1 HT 1-0	Al Jandal
07/01/26 Saudi Arabia Division 1	Al Jandal	1-1 HT 0-1	Al Taee
14/03/25 Saudi Arabia Division 1	Al Taee	1-0 HT 0-0	Al Jandal
04/11/24 Saudi Arabia Division 1	Al Jandal	2-3 HT 2-2	Al Taee

Standings · Saudi Arabia Division 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Jeddah Club	2	2	0	0	4	0	6
2	Al-Ula	2	2	0	0	4	1	6
3	Al Okhdood	2	1	1	0	3	1	4
4	Al Zulfi	2	1	1	0	2	0	4
5	Hajer	2	1	0	1	3	5	3
6	Al Najma	2	1	0	1	2	2	3
7	Al Taee	2	1	0	1	4	5	3
8	Al Jabalain	2	1	0	1	2	3	3
9	Al Raed	2	1	0	1	3	3	3
10	Al-Saqer FC	2	0	2	0	1	1	2
11	Damac FC	2	0	2	0	0	0	2
12	Al-Bukayriyah FC	2	0	2	0	1	1	2
12	Al Wehda Mecca	2	0	2	0	1	1	2
14	Al Adalh	2	0	1	1	4	5	1
15	Al Jandal	2	0	1	1	2	3	1
16	Al-Anwar	2	0	1	1	0	1	1
16	Al Orubah	2	0	1	1	0	1	1
18	Al Jeel	2	0	0	2	0	3	0

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Al Taee	Al Jandal
Al Adalh	4-3 W	1-2 L
Jeddah Club	1-2 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 1 L	0 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Al Taee (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Al Taee

WWLLWWLLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/08	Al Adalh Saudi Arabia Division 1	2-0	4-3	6	2	W
22/08	Al Okhdood Saudi Arabia Division 1	0-0	0-2	–	–	L
13/05	Jeddah Club Saudi Arabia Division 1	1-1	1-2	4	3	L
09/05	Al Batin Saudi Arabia Division 1	0-1	1-4	0	2	L
03/05	Al Jandal Saudi Arabia Division 1	1-0	2-1	4	2	W
28/04	Al Zulfi Saudi Arabia Division 1	1-0	2-1	6	4	W
21/04	Abha Saudi Arabia Division 1	0-1	1-2	4	8	L
15/04	Al Faisaly Harmah Saudi Arabia Division 1	0-3	0-3	5	5	L
08/04	Al-Bukayriyah FC Saudi Arabia Division 1	1-0	2-0	5	2	W
04/04	Al Jabalain Saudi Arabia Division 1	1-0	1-0	2	6	W

Al Jandal

LWLLLLLWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/08	Al-Saqer FC Saudi Arabia Division 1	1-0	1-1	0	2	D
22/08	Al Najma Saudi Arabia Division 1	1-1	1-2	–	–	L
13/05	Al-Arabi Al-Saudi Saudi Arabia Division 1	2-0	3-2	2	4	W
09/05	Al Wehda Mecca Saudi Arabia Division 1	0-0	1-2	2	5	L
03/05	Al Taee Saudi Arabia Division 1	0-1	1-2	10	2	L
27/04	Al Orubah Saudi Arabia Division 1	1-1	1-2	2	3	L
20/04	Al Adalh Saudi Arabia Division 1	1-1	1-2	3	4	L
14/04	Al-Ula Saudi Arabia Division 1	1-0	1-2	0	3	L
07/04	Al Jubail Club Saudi Arabia Division 1	1-1	3-1	3	7	W
02/04	Jeddah Club Saudi Arabia Division 1	0-0	1-2	5	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Al Taee vs Al Jandal?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Al Taee win (52%). Probabilities: Al Taee 52%, draw 25%, Al Jandal 23%.

How many goals are expected in Al Taee vs Al Jandal?

The model expects 3.06 goals (Al Taee 1.87 · Al Jandal 1.19), with a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Al Taee vs Al Jandal?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.