Football · Saudi Arabia Division 1 · 01/09, 18:20

Prediction: Al Orubah vs Al Zulfi

Team pages: Al Orubah · Al Zulfi

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.32Total

Al Orubah1.33

Al Zulfi0.98

1X2

44% 29% 27%

Al Orubah Draw Al Zulfi

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Al Orubah 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LWLWWWWDLD

Al Zulfi 3-5-2 (W-D-L)

DWDWLDDLWD

Head-to-head

Al Orubah 1–1 Al Zulfi (2 last)

Al Orubah0-1Al Zulfi
Al Zulfi1-2Al Orubah

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Al Orubah 1535 · Al Zulfi 1492

	Al Orubah	Draw	Al Zulfi
Our model	43%	30%	26%
Market	45%	28%	27%

Estimated total (ours) 2.32 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Al Orubah (rating 1535 vs 1492).
Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Al Orubah	Al Zulfi
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 0.6	1.6 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.3	0.6 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/60/10%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 5.8	2.3 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.2 / 0.2	2.7 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.00

X3.20

23.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.77

2 (+0.25)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.82

Under 2.251.98

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:11

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.00 → 2.00	Pinn 2.44 ★
X	3.20 → 3.20	Pinn 3.33
2	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12% Pinnacle margin 7.6%

Time*	1	X	2
12:05 +5’	2.00	3.20	3.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
13:09 +1’	2.44	3.33	2.73

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Al Orubah 1–0–1 Al Zulfi

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
22/04/26 Saudi Arabia Division 1	Al Orubah	0-1 HT 0-0	Al Zulfi
26/12/25 Saudi Arabia Division 1	Al Zulfi	1-2 HT 1-0	Al Orubah

Standings · Saudi Arabia Division 1

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Jeddah Club	2	2	0	0	4	0	6
2	Al-Ula	2	2	0	0	4	1	6
3	Al Okhdood	2	1	1	0	3	1	4
4	Al Zulfi	2	1	1	0	2	0	4
5	Hajer	2	1	0	1	3	5	3
6	Al Najma	2	1	0	1	2	2	3
7	Al Taee	2	1	0	1	4	5	3
8	Al Jabalain	2	1	0	1	2	3	3
9	Al Raed	2	1	0	1	3	3	3
10	Al-Saqer FC	2	0	2	0	1	1	2
11	Damac FC	2	0	2	0	0	0	2
12	Al-Bukayriyah FC	2	0	2	0	1	1	2
12	Al Wehda Mecca	2	0	2	0	1	1	2
14	Al Adalh	2	0	1	1	4	5	1
15	Al Jandal	2	0	1	1	2	3	1
16	Al-Anwar	2	0	1	1	0	1	1
16	Al Orubah	2	0	1	1	0	1	1
18	Al Jeel	2	0	0	2	0	3	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Al Orubah	Al Zulfi
Al Raed	0-1 L	2-2 D
Al-Ula	1-1 D	2-4 L
Al-Anwar	3-1 W	2-2 D
Jeddah Club	4-0 W	1-1 D
Al Wehda Mecca	2-0 W	0-0 D
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 1 L	0 W 4 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Al Orubah (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Al Orubah

LWLWWWWDLD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/08	Damac FC Saudi Arabia Division 1	0-0	0-0	1	7	D
22/08	Al Raed Saudi Arabia Division 1	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
18/05	Al-Ula Saudi Arabia Division 1	0-0	1-1	8	7	D
14/05	Al-Anwar Saudi Arabia Division 1	2-1	3-1	4	3	W
09/05	Jeddah Club Saudi Arabia Division 1	1-0	4-0	4	3	W
02/05	Al Wehda Mecca Saudi Arabia Division 1	1-0	2-0	5	4	W
27/04	Al Jandal Saudi Arabia Division 1	1-1	2-1	9	3	W
22/04	Al Zulfi Saudi Arabia Division 1	0-0	0-1	7	4	L
15/04	Al Raed Saudi Arabia Division 1	0-0	1-0	1	5	W
10/04	Al Faisaly Harmah Saudi Arabia Division 1	0-0	0-1	13	4	L

Al Zulfi

DWDWLDDLWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/08	Al Wehda Mecca Saudi Arabia Division 1	0-0	0-0	2	2	D
21/08	Al Jeel Saudi Arabia Division 1	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
14/05	Al-Ula Saudi Arabia Division 1	0-2	2-4	7	1	L
10/05	Al Raed Saudi Arabia Division 1	1-2	2-2	1	0	D
03/05	Jeddah Club Saudi Arabia Division 1	0-0	1-1	6	3	D
28/04	Al Taee Saudi Arabia Division 1	0-1	1-2	4	4	L
22/04	Al Orubah Saudi Arabia Division 1	0-0	1-0	6	4	W
13/04	Al Draih Saudi Arabia Division 1	1-1	1-1	2	3	D
07/04	Al-Arabi Al-Saudi Saudi Arabia Division 1	3-0	4-1	6	6	W
02/04	Al-Anwar Saudi Arabia Division 1	0-2	2-2	7	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Al Orubah vs Al Zulfi?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Al Orubah win (44%). Probabilities: Al Orubah 44%, draw 29%, Al Zulfi 27%.

How many goals are expected in Al Orubah vs Al Zulfi?

The model expects 2.32 goals (Al Orubah 1.33 · Al Zulfi 0.98), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Al Orubah vs Al Zulfi?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.