Football · Austria Landesliga · 31/07, 19:00

Prediction: SV Donau Klagenfurt vs SAK Klagenfurt

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.79Total

SV Donau Klagenfurt1.3

SAK Klagenfurt1.48

1X2

33% 25% 42%

SV Donau Klagenfurt Draw SAK Klagenfurt

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

SV Donau Klagenfurt 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

LWDWDWWWWW

SAK Klagenfurt 4-5-1 (W-D-L)

DWLWDDDWDW

Head-to-head

SV Donau Klagenfurt 2–3–1 SAK Klagenfurt (6 last)

SV Donau Klagenfurt2-1SAK Klagenfurt
SAK Klagenfurt1-1SV Donau Klagenfurt
SV Donau Klagenfurt1-3SAK Klagenfurt
SAK Klagenfurt2-2SV Donau Klagenfurt
SV Donau Klagenfurt3-1SAK Klagenfurt
SAK Klagenfurt1-1SV Donau Klagenfurt

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SV Donau Klagenfurt 1587 · SAK Klagenfurt 1529

	SV Donau Klagenfurt	Draw	SAK Klagenfurt
Our model	32%	28%	40%
Market	35%	23%	43%

Estimated total (ours) 2.79 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SV Donau Klagenfurt (rating 1587 vs 1529).
H2H favours SV Donau Klagenfurt: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SV Donau Klagenfurt	SAK Klagenfurt
Goals for / against (FT)	2.2 / 0.8	1.4 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.2	0.7 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	70/30/0%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.2 / 5.3	1.8 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5 / 0	3.2 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.60

X4.00

22.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.90

2 (-0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 3.252.00

Under 3.251.80

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:11

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.60 → 2.60	Bet365 2.60
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
01:07 +4’	2.60	4.00	2.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · SV Donau Klagenfurt 2–3–1 SAK Klagenfurt

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/04/26 Austria Landesliga	SV Donau Klagenfurt	2-1 HT 0-1	SAK Klagenfurt
23/08/25 Austria Landesliga	SAK Klagenfurt	1-1 HT 0-0	SV Donau Klagenfurt
04/05/25 Austria Landesliga	SV Donau Klagenfurt	1-3 HT 0-1	SAK Klagenfurt
27/09/24 Austria Landesliga	SAK Klagenfurt	2-2 HT 1-2	SV Donau Klagenfurt
08/05/24 Austria Landesliga	SV Donau Klagenfurt	3-1 HT 2-0	SAK Klagenfurt
15/09/23 Austria Landesliga	SAK Klagenfurt	1-1 HT 0-0	SV Donau Klagenfurt

Standings · Austria Landesliga

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FV Austria XIII	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Floridsdorfer AC II	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FC 1980 Wien	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Hellas Kagran	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	First Vienna II	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	LAC Inter	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Post SV	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Red Star Penzing	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Simmeringer SC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Slovan HAC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Helfort 15	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	SV Schwechat	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Team Wiener Linien	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Sportunion Mauer	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	WAF Brigittenau	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SV Donau Klagenfurt	SAK Klagenfurt
SVG Bleiburg	2-1 W	2-2 D
SV Spittal/Drau	2-0 W	2-2 D
TSU Matrei	3-0 W	3-0 W
ATSV Wolfsberg	3-3 D	0-0 D
KAC 1909	3-0 W	2-1 W
Lendorf	0-2 L	0-0 D
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 1 L	2 W 4 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: SV Donau Klagenfurt (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SV Donau Klagenfurt

LWDWDWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/06	SVG Bleiburg Austria Landesliga	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
29/05	SV Spittal/Drau Austria Landesliga	0-0	2-0	8	6	W
23/05	ASKO Kottmannsdorf Austria Landesliga	2-0	3-0	–	–	W
17/05	SV Dellach/Gail Austria Landesliga	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
13/05	VST Volkermarkt Austria Landesliga	2-1	4-1	2	6	W
08/05	ATUS Ferlach Austria Landesliga	0-0	1-1	9	6	D
03/05	TSU Matrei Austria Landesliga	1-0	3-0	–	–	W
30/04	ATSV Wolfsberg Austria Landesliga	2-1	3-3	4	8	D
25/04	KAC 1909 Austria Landesliga	2-0	3-0	7	1	W
18/04	Lendorf Austria Landesliga	0-0	0-2	2	3	L

SAK Klagenfurt

DWLWDDDWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/06	TSU Matrei Austria Landesliga	0-0	3-0	4	3	W
29/05	ATSV Wolfsberg Austria Landesliga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
22/05	KAC 1909 Austria Landesliga	2-0	2-1	4	2	W
17/05	Lendorf Austria Landesliga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
13/05	SV Spittal/Drau Austria Landesliga	1-2	2-2	4	2	D
08/05	Austria Klagenfurt II Austria Landesliga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
03/05	St Veit SC Austria Landesliga	2-1	2-1	–	–	W
30/04	TSV Grafenstein Austria Landesliga	1-0	1-4	3	5	L
25/04	Nussdorf Austria Landesliga	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
17/04	SVG Bleiburg Austria Landesliga	0-1	2-2	5	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SV Donau Klagenfurt vs SAK Klagenfurt?

According to our model, the most likely result is an SAK Klagenfurt win (42%). Probabilities: SV Donau Klagenfurt 33%, draw 25%, SAK Klagenfurt 42%.

How many goals are expected in SV Donau Klagenfurt vs SAK Klagenfurt?

The model expects 2.79 goals (SV Donau Klagenfurt 1.3 · SAK Klagenfurt 1.48), with a 58% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in SV Donau Klagenfurt vs SAK Klagenfurt?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.