Football · Austria Landesliga · 08/08, 17:30

Prediction: SAK Klagenfurt vs KAC 1909

Team pages: SAK Klagenfurt · KAC 1909

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.33Total

SAK Klagenfurt2

KAC 19091.32

1X2

53% 23% 25%

SAK Klagenfurt Draw KAC 1909

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

SAK Klagenfurt 4-5-1 (W-D-L)

WLWDDDWDWD

KAC 1909 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

WDDDLLLLLW

Head-to-head

SAK Klagenfurt 3–1–2 KAC 1909 (6 last)

SAK Klagenfurt2-1KAC 1909
KAC 19093-1SAK Klagenfurt
SAK Klagenfurt1-0KAC 1909
KAC 19091-3SAK Klagenfurt
SAK Klagenfurt1-2KAC 1909
KAC 19091-1SAK Klagenfurt

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SAK Klagenfurt 1529 · KAC 1909 1450

	SAK Klagenfurt	Draw	KAC 1909
Our model	52%	24%	24%
Market	53%	22%	25%

Estimated total (ours) 3.33 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SAK Klagenfurt (rating 1529 vs 1450).
H2H favours SAK Klagenfurt: 3-1-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SAK Klagenfurt	KAC 1909
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.1	1.3 / 2.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.4	0.8 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/50/10%	10/60/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 3.8	2.6 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0	1.1 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.70

X4.10

23.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.90

2 (+0.75)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 31.80

Under 32.00

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.35

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 06:07

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.75 → 1.70▼	Bet365 1.70
X	4.00 → 4.10▲	Bet365 4.10
2	3.40 → 3.60▲	Pinn 3.98 ★

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 11% Pinnacle margin 12.7%

Time*	1	X	2
13:35 +11’	1.75	4.00	3.40
17:47 +6’	1.85▲	3.90▼	3.10▼
06:03 +4’	1.70▼	4.10▲	3.60▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
06:06 +1’	1.62	3.89	3.98

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · SAK Klagenfurt 3–1–2 KAC 1909

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/05/26 Austria Landesliga	SAK Klagenfurt	2-1 HT 2-0	KAC 1909
18/10/25 Austria Landesliga	KAC 1909	3-1 HT 2-0	SAK Klagenfurt
17/04/25 Austria Landesliga	SAK Klagenfurt	1-0 HT 1-0	KAC 1909
15/08/23 Austria Landesliga	KAC 1909	1-3 HT 0-1	SAK Klagenfurt
06/05/22 Austria Landesliga	SAK Klagenfurt	1-2 HT 1-1	KAC 1909
10/09/21 Austria Landesliga	KAC 1909	1-1 HT 0-0	SAK Klagenfurt

Standings · Austria Landesliga

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FV Austria XIII	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Floridsdorfer AC II	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FC 1980 Wien	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Hellas Kagran	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	First Vienna II	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	LAC Inter	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Post SV	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Red Star Penzing	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Simmeringer SC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Slovan HAC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Helfort 15	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	SV Schwechat	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Team Wiener Linien	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Sportunion Mauer	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	WAF Brigittenau	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SAK Klagenfurt	KAC 1909
St Veit SC	3-3 D	1-1 D
Lendorf	0-0 D	3-2 W
SV Spittal/Drau	2-2 D	1-4 L
Austria Klagenfurt II	0-0 D	1-1 D
TSV Grafenstein	1-4 L	0-0 D
Nussdorf	2-0 W	3-2 W
Record vs common	1 W 4 D 1 L	2 W 3 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

SAK Klagenfurt

WLWDDDWDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/07	St Veit SC Austria Landesliga	1-1	3-3	–	–	D
05/06	TSU Matrei Austria Landesliga	0-0	3-0	4	3	W
29/05	ATSV Wolfsberg Austria Landesliga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
22/05	KAC 1909 Austria Landesliga	2-0	2-1	4	2	W
17/05	Lendorf Austria Landesliga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
13/05	SV Spittal/Drau Austria Landesliga	1-2	2-2	4	2	D
08/05	Austria Klagenfurt II Austria Landesliga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
03/05	St Veit SC Austria Landesliga	2-1	2-1	–	–	W
30/04	TSV Grafenstein Austria Landesliga	1-0	1-4	3	5	L
25/04	Nussdorf Austria Landesliga	1-0	2-0	–	–	W

KAC 1909

WDDDLLLLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/07	Lendorf Austria Landesliga	1-1	3-2	4	4	W
03/07	Austria Klagenfurt Europe Friendlies	2-2	2-6	4	0	L
26/06	Atus Velden Europe Friendlies	0-1	1-6	3	0	L
03/06	SV Spittal/Drau Austria Landesliga	1-1	1-4	4	0	L
29/05	Lendorf Austria Landesliga	0-2	0-4	–	–	L
22/05	SAK Klagenfurt Austria Landesliga	0-2	1-2	5	2	L
17/05	Austria Klagenfurt II Austria Landesliga	1-1	1-1	3	1	D
14/05	St Veit SC Austria Landesliga	1-1	1-1	8	1	D
08/05	TSV Grafenstein Austria Landesliga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
03/05	Nussdorf Austria Landesliga	2-0	3-2	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SAK Klagenfurt vs KAC 1909?

According to our model, the most likely result is a SAK Klagenfurt win (53%). Probabilities: SAK Klagenfurt 53%, draw 23%, KAC 1909 25%.

How many goals are expected in SAK Klagenfurt vs KAC 1909?

The model expects 3.33 goals (SAK Klagenfurt 2 · KAC 1909 1.32), with a 54% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in SAK Klagenfurt vs KAC 1909?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.