Football · Austria Landesliga · 08/08, 18:00

Prediction: ATUS Ferlach vs TSU Matrei

Team pages: ATUS Ferlach

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.92Total

ATUS Ferlach1.46

TSU Matrei1.46

1X2

38% 24% 38%

ATUS Ferlach Draw TSU Matrei

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

ATUS Ferlach 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LLDDLWLWLW

TSU Matrei 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

LWLLWLLWLW

Head-to-head

ATUS Ferlach 1–1 TSU Matrei (2 last)

ATUS Ferlach2-0TSU Matrei
TSU Matrei2-0ATUS Ferlach

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · ATUS Ferlach 1476 · TSU Matrei 1473

	ATUS Ferlach	Draw	TSU Matrei
Our model	37%	27%	37%
Market	39%	22%	39%

Estimated total (ours) 2.92 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	ATUS Ferlach	TSU Matrei
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 2.7	0.9 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 1.2	0.3 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/30/60%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1 / 2	2 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0	3 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.30

X4.00

22.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.90

2 (0)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 31.82

Under 31.98

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:47

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.30 → 2.30	Pinn 2.44 ★
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	2.30 → 2.30	Pinn 2.38

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12% Pinnacle margin 12.6%

Time*	1	X	2
13:35 +13’	2.30	4.00	2.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
08:52 +2’	2.44	3.38	2.38

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · ATUS Ferlach 1–0–1 TSU Matrei

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/04/26 Austria Landesliga	ATUS Ferlach	2-0 HT 0-0	TSU Matrei
22/08/25 Austria Landesliga	TSU Matrei	2-0 HT 1-0	ATUS Ferlach

Standings · Austria Landesliga

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FV Austria XIII	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Floridsdorfer AC II	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FC 1980 Wien	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Hellas Kagran	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	First Vienna II	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	LAC Inter	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Post SV	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Red Star Penzing	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Simmeringer SC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Slovan HAC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Helfort 15	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	SV Schwechat	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Team Wiener Linien	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Sportunion Mauer	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	WAF Brigittenau	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	ATUS Ferlach	TSU Matrei
Austria Klagenfurt II	1-4 L	3-0 W
St Veit SC	4-3 W	0-2 L
TSV Grafenstein	0-5 L	1-3 L
Nussdorf	4-2 W	1-0 W
SVG Bleiburg	0-1 L	0-1 L
SV Donau Klagenfurt	1-1 D	0-3 L
ASKO Kottmannsdorf	2-2 D	2-0 W
SV Dellach/Gail	0-5 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 4 L	3 W 0 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: TSU Matrei (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

ATUS Ferlach

LLDDLWLWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/07	SV Spittal/Drau Austria Landesliga	0-0	1-0	3	2	W
02/06	Austria Klagenfurt II Austria Landesliga	1-2	1-4	1	1	L
29/05	St Veit SC Austria Landesliga	2-0	4-3	–	–	W
23/05	TSV Grafenstein Austria Landesliga	0-2	0-5	–	–	L
16/05	Nussdorf Austria Landesliga	2-2	4-2	–	–	W
13/05	SVG Bleiburg Austria Landesliga	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
08/05	SV Donau Klagenfurt Austria Landesliga	0-0	1-1	2	6	D
03/05	ASKO Kottmannsdorf Austria Landesliga	1-2	2-2	–	–	D
30/04	SV Dellach/Gail Austria Landesliga	0-2	0-5	–	–	L
24/04	VST Volkermarkt Austria Landesliga	0-1	0-4	–	–	L

TSU Matrei

LWLLWLLWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/07	ASKO Kottmannsdorf Austria Landesliga	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
05/06	SAK Klagenfurt Austria Landesliga	0-0	0-3	4	3	L
29/05	Austria Klagenfurt II Austria Landesliga	1-0	3-0	–	–	W
22/05	St Veit SC Austria Landesliga	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
16/05	TSV Grafenstein Austria Landesliga	0-1	1-3	–	–	L
14/05	Nussdorf Austria Landesliga	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
09/05	SVG Bleiburg Austria Landesliga	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
03/05	SV Donau Klagenfurt Austria Landesliga	0-1	0-3	–	–	L
01/05	ASKO Kottmannsdorf Austria Landesliga	0-1	2-1	–	–	W
25/04	SV Dellach/Gail Austria Landesliga	0-0	0-1	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in ATUS Ferlach vs TSU Matrei?

According to our model, the most likely result is a ATUS Ferlach win (38%). Probabilities: ATUS Ferlach 38%, draw 24%, TSU Matrei 38%.

How many goals are expected in ATUS Ferlach vs TSU Matrei?

The model expects 2.92 goals (ATUS Ferlach 1.46 · TSU Matrei 1.46), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in ATUS Ferlach vs TSU Matrei?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.