Football · Austria Landesliga · 09/08, 16:00

Prediction: SK Pama vs Neusiedl

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.24Total

SK Pama1.62

Neusiedl1.62

1X2

38% 24% 38%

SK Pama Draw Neusiedl

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

SK Pama 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

WDWLDDDWLL

Neusiedl 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

LLLWWLLWLL

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SK Pama 1490 · Neusiedl 1450

	SK Pama	Draw	Neusiedl
Our model	37%	25%	37%
Market	39%	22%	39%

Estimated total (ours) 3.24 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SK Pama (rating 1490 vs 1450).
Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SK Pama	Neusiedl
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.2	1.7 / 2.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.6	0.8 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 4.7	2.7 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.2	2.8 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.30

X4.00

22.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.90

2 (0)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 31.80

Under 32.00

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 3.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:22

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
04:18 +4’	2.30	4.00	2.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · Austria Landesliga

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FV Austria XIII	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Floridsdorfer AC II	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FC 1980 Wien	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Hellas Kagran	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	First Vienna II	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	LAC Inter	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Post SV	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Red Star Penzing	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Simmeringer SC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Slovan HAC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Helfort 15	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	SV Schwechat	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Team Wiener Linien	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Sportunion Mauer	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	WAF Brigittenau	0	0	0	0	0	0

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

SK Pama

WDWLDDDWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/07	Parndorf Europe Friendlies	0-1	0-4	1	0	L
06/06	ASK Klingenbach Austria Landesliga	1-2	1-3	–	–	L
30/05	SPG Edelserpentin Austria Landesliga	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
24/05	SV Eberau Austria Landesliga	0-0	0-0	6	5	D
15/05	USV Halbturn Austria Landesliga	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
09/05	ASK Horitschon Austria Landesliga	0-0	0-0	5	7	D
01/05	SV Leithaprodersdorf Austria Landesliga	1-2	1-2	7	7	L
25/04	Oberpullendorf Austria Landesliga	1-0	3-1	5	2	W
19/04	Mattersburger Sportverein 2020 Austria Landesliga	1-1	1-1	4	4	D
11/04	Jennersdorf Austria Landesliga	0-0	3-0	–	–	W

Neusiedl

LLLWWLLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	Helfort 15 Europe Friendlies	1-2	2-3	8	0	L
03/06	SC Wiener Viktoria Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-2	2-5	1	5	L
28/05	FCM Traiskirchen Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-0	4-2	5	3	W
22/05	Wiener Sportclub Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-3	0-4	3	1	L
15/05	Favoritner AC Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	0-3	3	2	L
08/05	Sportunion Mauer Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-2	3-2	8	4	W
02/05	SC Retz Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	3-1	–	–	W
24/04	SV Gloggnitz Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-2	1-5	4	2	L
17/04	SV Leobendorf Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-1	2-3	5	7	L
14/04	Kremser SC Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	0-1	6	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SK Pama vs Neusiedl?

According to our model, the most likely result is a SK Pama win (38%). Probabilities: SK Pama 38%, draw 24%, Neusiedl 38%.

How many goals are expected in SK Pama vs Neusiedl?

The model expects 3.24 goals (SK Pama 1.62 · Neusiedl 1.62), with a 52% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in SK Pama vs Neusiedl?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.